Earlier quoted context omitted.
well, no. a reputation system could prevent poor predictors from hijacking threads, attenuate their moderation power, overall decrease the influence they have. and obviously that would take time to have an effect. im not sure how you could not understand that. i dont understand why you bring up reading peoples comment history. thats totally unrelated
> i dont understand why you bring up reading peoples comment history. thats totally unrelated Comment history != submission history. Maybe I just plain don't understand what you're on about at all.
The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"
271–279 of 279 posts
Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"
#272Earlier quoted context omitted.
this is mental gymnastics. i really think HN would be better with a reputation system so that posts like these will be checked for accuracy after the fact. accounts that accumulate tons of wrong predictions can be labeled and easily ignored. it would help with this problem where a huge wave of the same wrong opinion floods the comments and everyone else gets greyed out. why do we let wave after wave after wave happen…
Here's an idea: decide if you believe the article all on your own, through independent research or your gut.
Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"
#273Earlier quoted context omitted.
Ideally, yes - but the US is lacking in rail infrastructure, so the US *needs* zero-emission, road-based, logistics solutions. (Disclaimer: Non-expert, but Tesla owner since Q1 2018) I think EV trucks, as a concept is fine, but battery-swapping makes much more sense than using a nonremovable battery-pack that's 5-10x the size of a sedan-sized battery-pack.
> the US needs zero-emission, road-based, logistics solutions. I worked on a SAE HEV Challenge car back in the 1990's. There is no such thing as a zero-emissions transportation solution. Let's say you managed to make a solar-powered skateboard navigate existing sidewalks and deliver packages. (Which is not going to happen.) You would still need to build the solar cells and computer boards, which are NOT zero-emission…
Easiest way to slash CO2 emissions literally overnight? Enforce speed limits, fuel consumption per trip scales (in the countryside) as v^2.
EVs? A nasty joke anyone able to grasp opportunity cost can understand.
If we really wanted to slash CO2 consumption we'd:
- lower speed limits
- Encourage delivery and contractor vehicles to go hybrid
- Since we've slashed vehicle speeds, lower safety standards
- Encourage motorcycle licensing (and promote motorcycle EVs. The only EVs that make sense)
- Force manufacturers to provide information, tooling and parts to keep vehicles on the road longer
- Encourage CNG LPG conversions
Etc.
Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"
#274Earlier quoted context omitted.
Prius is just a little gas engine in a little and aerodynamic car. They can have a tiny gas engine because the electric helps acceleration from a standstill. The batteries are just weight on the highway
> The batteries are just weight on the highway Weight is only relevant to acceleration (which is partially recovered), hills (partially recovered), and rolling resistance which is only ~5% of energy usage. Even with a consistent load on the highway the batteries can help by removing parasitic loads on the engine like alternators, a/c compressors, and power steering pumps. Depending on torque demand and specifics of t…
I agree with everything you said, except for this. Is this really true? The Geo Metro is rated 53 mpg highway. The 80s VW diesels had good mpg too.
Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"
#275Earlier quoted context omitted.
Not quite. otto cycle is most efficient at full throttle due to throttle valve pump losses. Diesels are most thermodynamically efficient at low throttle because it takes time to combust the fuel. During this time the piston expands and the compression ratio drops. You can see the derivation and formulas in Faires (and older edition. Even the 70s edition lacked the chapter). Actually just comparing the the PV diagram…
> Diesels are most thermodynamically efficient at low throttle I think you meant 'low RPM'. Low throttle doesn't always equate low RPM and VV.
First a nitpick that is unfortunately important - diesels' don't have a throttle; what we call throttle is the fuel cutoff ratio, or how long we inject fuel for.
This is important because what distinguishes Otto and Diesel cycles is not the fuel, but the form of ignition. Otto cycle analysis is assumed instant, whereas diesel cannot be assumed instant. Car otto engines are fast enough that a diesel-like cycle is used for advanced analysis.
Low rpm and low throttle improve diesel's efficiency for the same reason - the injected fuel has more time to burn without the piston expanding.
As [1] points out in page 180:
"Study of equation (62) shows that as r e increases, the bracketed factor increases, and the efficiency decreases (Fig 99) Therefore, the lower fuel cutoff ratios are conducive to higher efficiencies but larger ratios result m greater power "
Also, very interesting, Diesel's efficiency is lower than Otto all else being equal. However, due to knocking, gasoline (octane ~ 90) engines have low compression ratios and lower efficiency than Diesels. However an otto methane (octane of 130) engine would kick diesels' butts
[1] https://archive.org/details/in.ernet.dli.2015.134070/page/n1...
Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"
#276Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Diesels are most thermodynamically efficient at low throttle I think you meant 'low RPM'. Low throttle doesn't always equate low RPM and VV.
See [1] for reference. First a nitpick that is unfortunately important - diesels' don't have a throttle; what we call throttle is the fuel cutoff ratio, or how long we inject fuel for. This is important because what distinguishes Otto and Diesel cycles is not the fuel, but the form of ignition. Otto cycle analysis is assumed instant, whereas diesel cannot be assumed instant. Car otto engines are fast enough that a di…
As for high octane kicking diesel's butts: yes, but that fuel is far more expensive so it tends to be diesel that wins that particular contest in the economy department.
Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"
#277Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The batteries are just weight on the highway Weight is only relevant to acceleration (which is partially recovered), hills (partially recovered), and rolling resistance which is only ~5% of energy usage. Even with a consistent load on the highway the batteries can help by removing parasitic loads on the engine like alternators, a/c compressors, and power steering pumps. Depending on torque demand and specifics of t…
"but I think those are the main reasons why a number of hybrids have highway EPA ratings 10-15 mpg higher than the highest MPG ICE car ever produced." I agree with everything you said, except for this. Is this really true? The Geo Metro is rated 53 mpg highway. The 80s VW diesels had good mpg too.
Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"
#278Earlier quoted context omitted.
You can't heat a house on backup electricity, unless it's in the form of an entirely separate full fat distribution along side the primary, the way the gas lines or oil trucks are along side the power lines. And this means diffent modes too, one up on poles, the other buried. Not both together and both subject to the same risks at the same time. Anything less, and you are losing something you currently have. Which is…
With a generator or an EV/powerwall a heat pump can keep at least part of the house warm in a power outage. When the gas goes out there’s no alternative. The furnace is just off. When the gas went out my parents survived on electric space heaters and blankets for a week.
Electricity serves as a backup for gas because it's the grid, or a generator, not a battery. A big generator works for efficient heat pumps, but in the all-electric future (if it comes too fast like now, before we actually have enough grid and better storage), there will be no generators or gas to fuel them. There will be batteties and solar that can do everything light and nothing heavy. Even with a generator, it needs to be a pretty big generator that most people don't have, and if you tried to use space heaters you could only use a couple small ones and you've maxxed out the generator. A big but not crazy generator can run a whole house heat pump, and that almost uses up the entire generator.
Whole house non portable generators can run on piped natural gas, which gives you not only heat but electricity while the power is out.
If you only have power, there is no effective backup for it, unless as I said you actually have an entire 2nd grid that duplicates the efgective entire 2nd grid that is the gas pipes. Different physical distribution infrastructure (so 2 sets of independant cables) operated by 2 different organizations, in 2 different physical locations (one buried, one not, whena truck takes out a pole, it doesn't affect the buried, when a backhoe or ice heaving takes out a buried, it doesn't affect the poles, etc)
That level of redundancy sounds outlandish but we actually have that right now, and will be losing it.
Maybe it's not valuable enough to maintain, but there is no way around the fact that it is something that will be lost.
Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"
#279Earlier quoted context omitted.
With a generator or an EV/powerwall a heat pump can keep at least part of the house warm in a power outage. When the gas goes out there’s no alternative. The furnace is just off. When the gas went out my parents survived on electric space heaters and blankets for a week.
A generator that can run heaters, even a heat pump, for more than 10 minutes, needs to burn natural gas or propane or gasoline or deisel. You can't store enough in batteteries. Electricity serves as a backup for gas because it's the grid, or a generator, not a battery. A big generator works for efficient heat pumps, but in the all-electric future (if it comes too fast like now, before we actually have enough grid and…
I honestly can't see the benefit to gas service to a house. I have no idea why anyone would chose it for a new construction in 2023 when we have so many options for electrification. It's cheap now but it's still a fossil fuel and prices will go up over the life of the home. The same way 1950s constructions faced expensive conversion from oil to gas the current cohort of natural gas homes will be electrified, or demolished to make room for electrified homes.