Can you use your "free will"? Try your hand

Post by vjk800 » Tue, Oct 31, 2023, 11:33 AM UTC

vjk800 wrote: post #120

After reading how it works, I can get to around 50% by doing the following: pick a pattern of f's and d's of length between 1-5. Type that pattern. Pause for a second or two. Then change the pattern. Patterns can be, for example: only d's four times; alternate between f and d three times; single f; one f for every two d's two times. In fact, now that I "get it", I don't even need to consciously pick a specific patter…

Post by tankenmate » Tue, Oct 31, 2023, 11:37 AM UTC

yreg wrote: post #112

I think the framing of this experiment is bad. It is actually about challenging the user to come up with a random sequence, which is pretty difficult without a coin to flip, an irrational number to copy, etc. When I just "randomly" mash the keys, the prediction rate is around 70%. I have to intentionally focus to avoid patterns as much as I can and then I'm able to pull it down to 54%. Dan Ariely[1] did a similar spi…

Post by gloosx » Tue, Oct 31, 2023, 11:43 AM UTC

kleiba wrote: post #67

First try: 0% prediction accuracy. What is trying to achieve?

Post by thfuran » Tue, Oct 31, 2023, 11:51 AM UTC

yreg wrote: post #103

ozim wrote: post #100

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is it true? From my point of view, that someone can predict what I will do from past behavior does not imply I don't have a free will. Only way that would prove I don't have a free will is someone who would predict my behavior without knowing anything about my past, like a fortune teller that would tell my friend (because if fortune teller tells it to me it might be self fulfilling prophecy :D) something I would do;…

I think it is true. If something could predict all your actions with 100% certainty then you have no free will - you have no ability to decide for a different outcome than the one that is predetermined. Although if it wasn't like that and you could do truly random decisions, I'm not sure what that says about your free will either. If I had to guess, I don't think I have a free will. In my opinion my actions are a det…

Post by jowea » Tue, Oct 31, 2023, 12:09 PM UTC

ozim wrote: post #100

praptak wrote: post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If your behaviour can be predicted then you don't have free will. Obviously you can argue whether this really predicts human behaviour or even the above implication itself (for example I think compatibilism kinda disagrees with it) but I'd say it is related.

Is it true? From my point of view, that someone can predict what I will do from past behavior does not imply I don't have a free will. Only way that would prove I don't have a free will is someone who would predict my behavior without knowing anything about my past, like a fortune teller that would tell my friend (because if fortune teller tells it to me it might be self fulfilling prophecy :D) something I would do;…