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AI demand is already shrinking

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51–60 of 116 posts

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#51

There's a special place in hell for Substack writers that regurgitate other people's journalism under flashy headlines without contributing anything new.

Are you referring to the a36z sponsored conference for thought leaders? IIRC, "Flat Blocks of World Coin Eats Softest Chain Wares Con, 2024 And Beyond."

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#52

Initially, I loved chatting w/ LLMs and exploring ways to 'jailbreak' them to do things not intended. But, I feel like the novelty has worn off.

Agreed a few months ago I had multiple daily conversations with ChatGPT. Anymore I might open it once in a day if that and usually just for some "generate a short presidential speech about why (this song) is cool" or something.

Stable Diffusion is a different story I'm constantly generating something but it's more about playing with the tech than actually making a meaningful product for me. I just enjoy seeing what cool stuff I can make it do.

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#54
> With every passing day, OpenAI looks more like Napster or the many defunct piracy platforms—it relies on the creativity of others to make a buck. And there are plenty of laws against that.

This seems like an interesting comparison.

Napster didn’t take over the record industry of course. But, people don’t buy physical albums anymore for the most part, either. The founder of Spotify called Napster part of his inspiration.

Napster was the half formed idea that resulted from the technical aspects getting ahead of the legal and business ones. Modern music streaming was a business-friendly response to it, a necessary response, something almost as convenient as file sharing.

This OpenAI stuff is weird because, imagine if Sony had invested heavily in Napster and tried to build products around it before people worked out the legal issues. What would streaming look like now, if Napster had been able to borrow some legitimacy and lawyers from incumbents? (And also if Napster had been able to buy a bunch of hardware that enabled business models that, like, Kazaa or Limewire weren’t able to replicate).

IMO the final version wouldn’t look much like p2p file sharing, but it also might not look like the, basically, record industry storefront streaming we have now.

I think we’re in weird times. I don’t think the LLMs will look much like what OpenAI has now in the end, but I wonder if they’ll end up less pushed aside than Napster, given the support they’ve already got.

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#55
Microsoft/ChatGPT !== AI

The open model community is absolutely exploding right now. It's honestly the most exciting moment we've had in tech for the last 20 years. The hype may have slowed publicly, but the plateau of productivity is in full effect here.

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#56

Bing's implementation is worthless dogshit. Using Bing's market share as a measure to gauge the general demand for AI does not provide an accurate representation.

This. Microsoft applied corporate sensibilities to a wonderful product and mangled the fuck out of it.

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#57
post #15

If I’m any indication. It was really useful when it first came out but now all the answers seem so boilerplate. I’m back to search being more useful.

Something about searching and parsing through content myself just feels so satisfying. Being able to dive deep and find parts that are meaningful for the context I'm driving towards just makes the whole experience more enjoyable then having an AI tell me what meaning is based on training.

I prefer searching when I know what to search for, but I really like GPT for figuring out terminology and concepts when researching unfamiliar matters. But I agree, doing the actual leg work of researching and collecting data is ultimately still best done manually. I tend to use a combination quite often though.

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#59

It really looks like ChatGPT suffered from some form of "initial over hype syndrome". I'm not underestimating it, actually I think the application of transformers to do what ChatGPT is capable of doing is something really impressive, novel and caught the world by surprise. I'm sure we'll find many equally impressively good applications for it. But people eventually found its limitations. And did it quite fast. People…

This is my experience. I was initially sceptical, then wowed, then stopped using it entirely when I found out how utterly wrong it was about something it really should have been able to do well.

I gave it a programming problem I was having a hard time with, and it came up with the same incorrect answer I had. I explained which part of the answer was wrong, and why. It's response was to apologise, acknowledge that part as being incorrect ... then give me the exact same answer again. I explained that it had given me the same answer, and it apologised, acknowledged it's mistake, and gave the same answer.

If any tool I use behaved like that, I would not use that tool, as the dangers far outweigh any benefits.

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#60

It really looks like ChatGPT suffered from some form of "initial over hype syndrome". I'm not underestimating it, actually I think the application of transformers to do what ChatGPT is capable of doing is something really impressive, novel and caught the world by surprise. I'm sure we'll find many equally impressively good applications for it. But people eventually found its limitations. And did it quite fast. People…

Does it pass the ketchup test? Maybe it's as fundamental as people don't like being lied to.
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