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AI demand is already shrinking

honest-broker.com

11–20 of 116 posts

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#14
The "ugly numbers" boil down to Bing failing to gain market share, and ChatGPT reporting 10% fewer visitors on their site in June. Both of these numbers do not, in fact, reveal AI demand is shrinking. There are dozens of other sites offering products similar to ChatGPT, and most people with serious needs have already switched to APIs and/or are exploring with their own in-house model.

This article boils down to wishful thinking from an author who clearly despises AI.

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#16
The author clearly has an axe to grind, this is a pretty low quality article. He cites declining usage numbers of ChatGPT without any mention of school holiday, and he seems to be limited to considering ChatGPT as the only AI up for discussion. The stagnation of bing search is interesting to be sure, but that’s a far cry from damning these models to a passing fad.

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#17
TLDR; Well for LLMs there is a hype cycle that the author presupposes we are coming up to. So they have rediscovers the concept of a AI winter.

LLMs are also built upon Reddit so it is interesting that the author says people are going back to Reddit. At that point why not have OpenAI buy Reddit and just operate it at a loss.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter?wprov=sfti1

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#18
"The areas where AI has been implemented make clear how poorly it performs.

AI potentially creates a situation where millions of people can be fired and replaced with bots—so a few people at the top continue to promote it despite all these warning signs.

But even these true believers now face huge legal, regulatory, and attitudinal obstacles"

They are saying that AI performs poorly, that it threatens to automate millions of jobs, and that it faces challenges by people who are fighting against it.

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#19
It really looks like ChatGPT suffered from some form of "initial over hype syndrome". I'm not underestimating it, actually I think the application of transformers to do what ChatGPT is capable of doing is something really impressive, novel and caught the world by surprise. I'm sure we'll find many equally impressively good applications for it.

But people eventually found its limitations. And did it quite fast. People learned that it is not as trustworthy as initially thought and it is also very convincing when it is wrong. It maybe very interesting to generate texts, to startup small code for functions, to query information it has "cataloged", find some trivial mistake, make suggestions and... well, not much more than that. It may save time to boot projects, but it is not capable of managing anything larger than its "memory".

I think people are now actually more impressed by things it can't do easily. It can't play hangman, chess, tic-tac-toe... It got the phase of the Moon wrong when I asked it "What was the phase of the Moon when John Lennon was killed".

So, once people get hit by one of its mistakes or limitations, it sticks more than the "impressive part". That means, people will certainly ask themselves "Should I trust a thing that can't even play tic-tac-toe?"

Re: AI demand is already shrinking

#20
Strikes me as way, way premature to be making such strident conclusions at this stage. We have barely even got to the point where orgs can run these models in-house on their own data, which is where the strongest perceived benefits have been proposed.

I’m something of a skeptic myself. I’m not convinced LLMs are as disruptive as the hype says. But they’re not nothing, and it’s still early.

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