31–40 of 201 posts
How is it possible to make an introduction to something that doesn't exist?
Earlier quoted context omitted.
> It's not a concern for any current living generations How much would you be willing to bet? I understand the skepticism, but to assign 0% probability to it happening in our lifetimes seems excessively low.
Betting against business as normal is a lose-lose scenario. AGI never exceeds humans: You lose the bet. AGI exceeds humans, but recursive self-improvement is impossible: Authoritarian dystopia. Your winnings belong to whoever controls the AGI. AGI exceeds humans, and recursive self-improvement is possible: Extinction of all biological life. There are no winnings.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
The real danger in the next few years will be the extreme operating speed of the types of fairly general purpose AIs that we already have such as GPT. This will increase to be dozens of times faster than what humans are capable of. That creates a very strong type of leverage for operators and an incentive to remove slow humans from the loop. Overall transfer of control to these types of systems may lead to a precario…
I don't want be too human-centric, but to be completely honest we haven't seen the slightest proof that human intelligence is not something special. I know lots of animals are pretty clever, none approach us in any practical sense. While it looks like an evolutionairy fluke that can be approached or even exceeded by other species - either on this or another planet - in the blink of an eye, I think that's actually mor…
Have we seen the slightest proof of opposite?
> I know lots of animals are pretty clever, none approach us in any practical sense.
What senses might you consider as enough practical? Have you heard about Koko? What do you think about corvidae?
Earlier quoted context omitted.
The real danger in the next few years will be the extreme operating speed of the types of fairly general purpose AIs that we already have such as GPT. This will increase to be dozens of times faster than what humans are capable of. That creates a very strong type of leverage for operators and an incentive to remove slow humans from the loop. Overall transfer of control to these types of systems may lead to a precario…
I don't want be too human-centric, but to be completely honest we haven't seen the slightest proof that human intelligence is not something special. I know lots of animals are pretty clever, none approach us in any practical sense. While it looks like an evolutionairy fluke that can be approached or even exceeded by other species - either on this or another planet - in the blink of an eye, I think that's actually mor…
The main thing I am talking about is speed of output. You can already see huge increases in say old GPT-3.5 versus GPT-3.5-turbo or old GPT-4 to new.
We know for a fact that the hardware inference speed can be increased by using faster (currently prohibitively expensive) memory or by packing more onto a chip. There are design for new memory-based computing paradigms.
It's already clear that AI is superintelligent in certain domains or aspects. Such as the ability to exchange information with other agents.
Computer hardware efficiency has relentlessly increased. It would be a total break with history if it suddenly stopped.
How is it possible to make an introduction to something that doesn't exist?
"The best way to predict the future is to invent it." - Alan Kay
[0] https://www.wired.com/2011/05/0525arthur-c-clarke-proposes-g...
Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't want be too human-centric, but to be completely honest we haven't seen the slightest proof that human intelligence is not something special. I know lots of animals are pretty clever, none approach us in any practical sense. While it looks like an evolutionairy fluke that can be approached or even exceeded by other species - either on this or another planet - in the blink of an eye, I think that's actually mor…
> we haven't seen the slightest proof that human intelligence is not something special. Have we seen the slightest proof of opposite? > I know lots of animals are pretty clever, none approach us in any practical sense. What senses might you consider as enough practical? Have you heard about Koko? What do you think about corvidae?