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The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X

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Re: The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X

#511
post #322

Here’s a better comparison. The thing that really hurt the Eurozone was the 2011 - 2013 recession that the US did not experience. Plus there’s a slower growth rate even in the good times. https://freedomandprosperity.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/... That said, these numbers are very misleading and do not show well what a person’s life looks like in the US. By my own anecdotal estimation, in the EU low and medium in…

>The thing that really hurt the Eurozone was the 2011 - 2013 recession that the US did not experience. This is true, but understated in a crucial manner. By global standards, the greatest enduring strength of the US economy has been its ability to recover from downturns. More than anything else, that has pulled it ahead of competitors time and time again. When the early '80s financial crisis hit Japan with a lost dec…

A lot of that ability to pull out of recessions is due to a central bank that can lower rates more than other countries without risking inflation. I suspect this is due to the USD’s status as world reserve currency, if we print too much there’s a whole global market for dollars. If we inflate a little bit, we take not just from our own citizen savers but from governments and citizens all over the world. It’s like we get to tax the whole planet and spend at home.

Re: The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X

#512

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is just plain wrong. The millions of refugees came from Syria. The US was hardly bombing Syria at all, it just bombed Libya. Actually it was mostly EU countries, in particular France, that pushed for fighting the Assad regime at the time. The Obama government didn't even want to be involved at first.

> The US was hardly bombing Syria at all, it just bombed Libya. I was mostly thinking of Syria and Daesh, and had forgotten about Libya. A non-insignificant chunk of refugees headed to Europe transit through Libya - which didn't use to be the case before Gaddafi was deposed.

Relevant:

https://www.businessinsider.com/qaddafi-warns-france-if-i-go...

Re: The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X

#513
post #228

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’d like to point out that the open door policy to refugees came because Europe was trying to escape the demographic trap and the collapse of the social safety net. The hope was that young refugees would become net positive GDP contributors for decades, an idea borrowed from the US. If that has failed, it’s due to a failure of integration. Europe can actually be quite a racist place and in many ways the US is better…

>I’d like to point out that the open door policy to refugees came because Europe was trying to escape the demographic trap and the collapse of the social safety net. This sounds like post hoc justification. If you want immigrants, wouldn't you want to pick the best and brightest, rather than whoever washes up on your shore?

I think a lot of it comes down to political possibility. Lots of EU countries are quite homogeneous and have thousand year old cultures. Importing labor is a harder sell than in the US where everyone is just a few generations removed from immigrants anyway. Europeans were sold the humanitarian angle to get the door open.

Re: The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X

#514

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Most of it is due to the opioid crisis in the US afaik.

Covid, overdoses & accidents accounted for 2/3 of the decline; https://www.health.harvard.edu/blog/why-life-expectancy-in-t...

Eh, sure, but here it's worth pointing out that obesity is a significant factor in covid deaths.

Re: The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X

#515

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What about: - Your access to mRNA vaccines - Your access to cleaner air due to electric car adoption - Ditto for energy security and renewable sources of electricity - Your chance of dying in a car going down due to new safety features - Your access to crazy advanced cancer treatments that are making progress at almost miraculous paces - Your much improved ability to work from home, cutting out ~2 hours of commuting…

The pace things are improving is exponential. You're off your tree. Coal usage is at an all time high while the climate is collapsing. We're living on an exponential growing crisis is maybe what you should be saying.

>Coal usage is at an all time high while the climate is collapsing

For the vast majority of people in the world hasn't changed enough to have any noticeable impact on their lives.

Re: The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X

#516
post #96

Note this chart shows nominal dollars, not PPP-adjusted. The EU has certainly kept up with the US when looking at PPP GDP from 2008 to 2022: US grew from $14.8T to $25.5T EU grew from $14.3T to $24.3T What that means is that the prices of goods are inflated in the US compared to similar goods in the EU. That's all. Want something interesting? Look at China who grew from $10.0T to $30.3T over the same period (!) Sourc…

[dead]

Re: The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X

#517
I would not be surprised if a large share of this growth could be attributed to the enormous expansion of domestic oil and gas production. The timeframe also coincides with the beginning of the shale gas and oil boom. If my understanding of GDP is correct, onshoring of energy production should have a direct effect on economic activity as measured by GDP.

Re: The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X

#518

Earlier quoted context omitted.

These stats drive me up the wall because the US is more diverse than every single European country . The life expectancy in California is 81 and in Alabama it’s 74. That’s the difference between the UK and like, Latvia. This matters because when you look at these crude aggregate stats, people naively assume that it means that everything is a bit worse but the actual American story is usually more like broad prosperit…

What a weird way of framing it. The USA is compared with EU, so it doesn't matter if USA is more diverse than single european countries. As you point out, EU is also very diverse.

these oversimplified averages don’t really reflect anyone’s actual situation either

Re: The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X

#519
post #228

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’d like to point out that the open door policy to refugees came because Europe was trying to escape the demographic trap and the collapse of the social safety net. The hope was that young refugees would become net positive GDP contributors for decades, an idea borrowed from the US. If that has failed, it’s due to a failure of integration. Europe can actually be quite a racist place and in many ways the US is better…

>I’d like to point out that the open door policy to refugees came because Europe was trying to escape the demographic trap and the collapse of the social safety net. This sounds like post hoc justification. If you want immigrants, wouldn't you want to pick the best and brightest, rather than whoever washes up on your shore?

Immigration is unpopular in the polls. If you're doing proper, structured labor immigration, it needs a political debate on who we want and in how many numbers. With refugees you can just pull on the heart strings, "how can we turn away people fleeing from war?"

The US has something similar with its illegal immigration from Mexico. Every politician since Clinton has pledged to stop illegal immigration but nobody actually does anything about it, because they know that that their labor is essential to the country, and replacing the illegal immigration with legal immigration is too much of a political sore point.

Re: The US economy and the EU were the same size in 2008, the US is now nearly 2X

#520
post #322

Here’s a better comparison. The thing that really hurt the Eurozone was the 2011 - 2013 recession that the US did not experience. Plus there’s a slower growth rate even in the good times. https://freedomandprosperity.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/... That said, these numbers are very misleading and do not show well what a person’s life looks like in the US. By my own anecdotal estimation, in the EU low and medium in…

>The thing that really hurt the Eurozone was the 2011 - 2013 recession that the US did not experience. This is true, but understated in a crucial manner. By global standards, the greatest enduring strength of the US economy has been its ability to recover from downturns. More than anything else, that has pulled it ahead of competitors time and time again. When the early '80s financial crisis hit Japan with a lost dec…

Those other countries do not have a world reserve currency. Them adjusting monetary policy is not big enough to contribute to something like the arab spring, their imports aren't in essence subsidized by their nation peers, etc.
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