Earlier quoted context omitted.
People need to start thinking of politically-impactful truths in terms of probability distributions and outcome possibility spaces, rather than absolutely. If it were a lab leak, there are probably a handful of eyewitnesses. Any information (not leak; was leak) would have serious ramifications to the political systems of the two largest economies in the world (the US and China). What are the chances that we'll ever h…
> Can you imagine how many scarce resources would have been mispent if SARS-CoV-2 had begun with worldwide knowledge that China was responsible? OTOH if we knew that China was responsible, won't the future be better served by putting safeguards to prevent a worse thing happening again?
First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources
291–300 of 792 posts
Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources
#292When the virus was first discovered, it was important to pin down who and where Patient zero was.
Now? Pure politicking. It isn't even a slow news day!
Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources
#293Earlier quoted context omitted.
> I haven't seen a single discussion of this that doesn't immediately dove-tail into various other conspiracies or whistles. None ever will from your perspective if you're citing "head nods" and dog whistles.
I don't know what that's supposed to mean. No, sorry not sorry, I don't really put much stock in the analysis of people that immediately link this into their unsubstantiated handwavey global conspiracies. I've seen articles, research, professionals talking about the evidence. Which aren't headnods and whistles. And I read it. And that's why I don't have any strong opinion, contrary to whatever I think is being implie…
> None ever will from your perspective if you're citing "head nods" and dog whistles.
It means that if you consider mentioning the lab leak theory an automatic dogwhistle for bioweapon then of course every single discussion about these lab leak immediately dove-tails into various other conspiracies or whistles. It's circular reasoning and you're making it impossible to express nuance.
Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources
#294Earlier quoted context omitted.
People need to start thinking of politically-impactful truths in terms of probability distributions and outcome possibility spaces, rather than absolutely. If it were a lab leak, there are probably a handful of eyewitnesses. Any information (not leak; was leak) would have serious ramifications to the political systems of the two largest economies in the world (the US and China). What are the chances that we'll ever h…
> Can you imagine how many scarce resources would have been mispent if SARS-CoV-2 had begun with worldwide knowledge that China was responsible? OTOH if we knew that China was responsible, won't the future be better served by putting safeguards to prevent a worse thing happening again?
Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources
#295Earlier quoted context omitted.
Honestly, odds are high I did have an early covid case. Was like an asthma attack with a few nights of fever. And I had every symptom. (Though, my understanding is loss of smell came and went as symptoms? I can't remember what the final call on that was.) I never got a confirmed test, as they weren't testing then. Mostly irrelevant, as I don't think it would change anything else. Keep your distance and try not to get…
My understanding is that the loss of smell from early COVID tends to be fairly profound. It makes food disgusting. You can burn food on the stove and not smell it even after the fire alarm goes off. And it recovers slowly. It isn't like the usual changes in taste/smell during an infection which are mostly due to the symptoms of rhinitis and clear up when they clear up.
Had a similar thing happen a year ago, where I couldn't even smell menthol rub. Could breath, just couldn't smell. That time, though, I was testing and never got a positive test. I thought, at the time, the general idea was that loss of smell wasn't a thing, anymore. Maybe not?
Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources
#296Earlier quoted context omitted.
It is peculiar how all of these recent "conspiracy theories" as named by corporate media eventually turn out to be true.
It is peculiar that not many of these conspiracy theories eventually turn out to be true. See Twitter's own lawyers: https://edition.cnn.com/2023/06/06/tech/twitter-files-lawyer...
Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources
#297I have no definitive opinion on the origin of Sars-Cov-2 (will we know the truth one day?), but I don't think the lab leak theory is crazy.
Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources
#298I don't trust this article at all . > Sources within the US government say that three of the earliest people to become infected with SARS-CoV-2 were Ben Hu, Yu Ping, and Yan Zhu. All were members of the Wuhan lab suspected to have leaked the pandemic virus. > It is unclear who in the U.S. government had access to the intelligence about the sick WIV workers, how long they had it, and why it was not shared with the pub…
All you need to do is take a quick look at one of the author's other stories[1] and your skepticism will grow further. [1] https://substack.com/@shellenberger
Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources
#299I keep asking myself, "who gives a shit?". When the virus was first discovered, it was important to pin down who and where Patient zero was. Now? Pure politicking. It isn't even a slow news day!
Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources
#300> "If you knew that this was likely a lab-enhanced pathogen, there are so many things you could have done differently" I'm curious - if we knew in March 2020 that covid came from a lab, what _would_ we have done differently?
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/covid-coronavirus-pandemic-...