Live data from Hacker News

New York City will charge drivers going downtown

cnn.com

631–640 of 700 posts

Re: New York City will charge drivers going downtown

#631

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Without ceremony, you have changed arguments. Originally you were saying those people simply don’t exist. As many a police investigator has noted, changing one’s stories is the surest sign of dishonesty. But even if we ignore this, by induced demand, open streets will simply invite more traffic. The difference is the wealth distribution of the present traffic.

> Originally you were saying those people simply don’t exist. Sorry, when I said "if you're poor, you probably aren't driving in Manhattan in the first place," I didn't mean to imply that zero low-income people drive private vehicles there. However, I do believe that the population of drivers in Manhattan is overwhelmingly higher income. Separately, I believe that the vast majority of private vehicles should be banne…

Doing that you’ll get a couple billionaires per hour. Why not just ban driving in the city altogether? (This isn’t just a rhetorical question, really, why not just do that instead of this BS?)

Ironically I think everyone knows the answer which is that this isn’t about congestion. This is about lining pockets as much as possible.

Re: New York City will charge drivers going downtown

#632

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you're poor, you probably aren't eating anyway. And in all honesty, if you are eating, you probably should stop doing that. If you're poor, you probably aren't getting your cancer cured anyway. And in all honesty, if you are getting chemotherapy, you probably should stop doing that. See how none of this makes sense?

No. As far as I'm concerned, nobody should be driving in Manhattan. Private vehicles shouldn't even be allowed here. Congestion pricing is a compromise.

It’s a bad compromise, one that leads to gentrification instead of betterment. Just rip off the bandaid by banning cars.

Re: New York City will charge drivers going downtown

#633

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A parking space takes up about 200 ft² (not counting things like the width of the travel lane between parking spaces), and office rent in Manhattan runs about $7-8/ft² each month. Chances are, even at well over $1000/month, the parking infrastructure is still effectively below the cost of the space it takes up.

On the other hand, a parking space is a bare concrete slab, or even a lift holding several cars over a bare concrete slab; and an office building is ... not.

As I understand it, parking buildings are actually more expensive to construct due to the engineering requirements

Re: New York City will charge drivers going downtown

#634

Earlier quoted context omitted.

10% is an absolutely huge number when we are talking about making public policy, you can’t just round that up.

What else do 90% of people agree upon? We should put 90% of transit funds to car things but we don’t. That 10% is basically over served when you look at it this way. But yeah policy should be built around what 90% of people think. In this case it’s that people want cars. And it makes sense because they make life so much better.

I have a car but that doesn’t mean I want things built around cars. I have a car because I need it not because I want it. Having to have a car makes my life actively worse.

You’re making a significant leap by assuming that car ownership implies car support.

Re: New York City will charge drivers going downtown

#635

Earlier quoted context omitted.

NYC transplants always like to make this argument. I would rather see lots of smaller cars and more ridesharing services. I think that would be even better than trains. Its my unpopular opinion but I would say in an ideal world, get rid of the trains. NYC is a perfect place to roll out a driverless car taxi service. You can make it so that you don't need to own a car but when you're traveling with people there is no…

That’s not even remotely feasible. There isn’t nearly enough road space to accommodate all of the trips via train right now.

"That’s not even remotely feasible"

Strong words, how do YOU know?

Get rid of buses and trains and replace them with 3 types of vehicles, 2 person, 4 person and 8 person. Keep reserves of vehicles in the train tunnels.

How can the contributors of HN not see a perfect application for variable packet sizes?

Re: New York City will charge drivers going downtown

#636

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Only a fraction of the US population work and thus commute. Of those that commute, that 80% do not have equal road usage. Even within that community, there is a subsidy going on. So, yes, there is a ton of subsidization going on (and this is not always bad) > Drivers simply pay for their road use through various taxes, and not directly. I think this is the point, notably because those 'indirect' payments are also pay…

> Only a fraction of the US population work and thus commute. The fraction that doesn't work is either too young to pay taxes anyway, or they had used road commutes before they retired. Everybody else are within the margin of error. Additionally, if you are not using a car for commute, you're likely to be in the lower tax brackets and thus not paying (much) in taxes anyway. I had a paper looking at exact numbers book…

> The fraction that doesn't work is either too young to pay taxes anyway, or they had used road commutes before they retired. Everybody else are within the margin of error.

The argument that either everyone was already a tax-paying driver or will soon be one is hard to believe. Without data, I won't take that at face value.

Even that 'margin of error,' I think needs some examination. Any 'margin of error' means there is a subsidy. Notably, drivers are simply not paying the full cost of their road usage. If so, it would not matter at all whether there were retirees or not, the costs would be payed for entirely by drivers. That is not the case, ergo, drivers are subsidized. Now, let's argue about what that percentage is.

> So in practice, car owners don't get substantially subsidized by transit users.

This is moving the goal posts as far as I can tell. The statement is that car owners get subsidized by everyone else, not just transit users.

> So in practice, car owners don't get substantially subsidized by transit users. While the inverse is overwhelmingly true, transit users are massively subsidized by car users.

>> This is simply incorrect.

Per the reference: https://lacrossetribune.com/what-causes-roads-to-wear-out/ar...

“Cars usually do not have that much loading impact on the road,” said John Mueller, a DOT Highway Mainten-ance Engineer. “The main source is the water that sits in the joint that freezes and thaws.”

"It is once concrete deteriorates that traffic loads pack a punch. Large trucks can accelerate the process."

Thus, you have it the other way round. Weather deteriorates roads, then it is traffic that amplifies that damage.

We can still make the example more extreme, let's say that group of 300 are 1 mile away, and half take light rail. At this point, it's very clear that the 30 people living 10 miles away (perhaps even 50 miles!), are being subsidized considerably.

Regarding: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fourth_power_law, I think I understand what you are trying to get at. In my example, I was trying to keep things about equal and was assuming that both groups of people were driving similar cars. I would suspect in most realistic examples that are similar, that group that is 10 or 50 miles away are probably driving larger vehicles (and maybe farm equipment & logging trucks are more frequently on those roads).

Cutting to the chase though, we don't have to argue to what extent drivers are subsidized, there are numbers for that:

> A report published in the April of 2022 issue of Ecological Economics teased out the lifetime cost of driving a small car to be roughly $641,000, with society subsidizing about 41% of that cost. [1][2]

[1] https://stacker.com/society/how-driving-subsidized-america#:.... [2] https://www.thetelegraph.com/news/slideshow/How-driving-is-s...

Then there are more subsidies at play to keep oil cheap and gasoline artifically low in price, as well as the cost of purchasing cars, and the cost of parking is amortized to property owners [3]

[3] https://medium.com/radical-urbanist/cars-gets-billions-in-hi...

Re: New York City will charge drivers going downtown

#637

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Only a fraction of the US population work and thus commute. Of those that commute, that 80% do not have equal road usage. Even within that community, there is a subsidy going on. So, yes, there is a ton of subsidization going on (and this is not always bad) > Drivers simply pay for their road use through various taxes, and not directly. I think this is the point, notably because those 'indirect' payments are also pay…

> Only a fraction of the US population work and thus commute. The fraction that doesn't work is either too young to pay taxes anyway, or they had used road commutes before they retired. Everybody else are within the margin of error. Additionally, if you are not using a car for commute, you're likely to be in the lower tax brackets and thus not paying (much) in taxes anyway. I had a paper looking at exact numbers book…

> Additionally, if you are not using a car for commute, you're likely to be in the lower tax brackets and thus not paying (much) in taxes anyway.

Doesn't this directly contradict your point that car commuters are subsidized?

Re: New York City will charge drivers going downtown

#638

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Additionally, if you are not using a car for commute, you're likely to be in the lower tax brackets and thus not paying (much) in taxes anyway. To the contrary, those in the highest income brackets are the ones most likely to walk to work,[1] and also the most likely to be paying more in taxes. 1. http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0739456X18796652 page 9, figure 'Work Trip Walking by Income and Density'

70% of the tax burden is carried by people making $120k/year or more. The argument that the poor pay more taxes than the rich is mental gymnastics with back injury. Similar to how some believe the rich get richer taking something the poor didn't have in the first place. It is all just class warfare used to divide and conquer.

"Low-income Americans face higher payroll tax rates than rich Americans. Americans with less than five-figure incomes pay an effective payroll tax rate of 14.1 percent, while those making seven-figure incomes or more pay just 1.9 percent.Low-income Americans face higher payroll tax rates than rich Americans. Americans with less than five-figure incomes pay an effective payroll tax rate of 14.1 percent, while those making seven-figure incomes or more pay just 1.9 percent."

> https://www.americanprogress.org/article/5-little-known-fact...

While the absolute numbers for the rich paying a lot more in taxes is true, when looking at effective tax rates, the rich are not actually being taxed enough for there to be equity in taxation.

"Billionaires in the US pay a smaller tax rate than most teachers and retail workers. "

"According to a 2021 White House study, the wealthiest 400 billionaire families in the US paid an average federal individual tax rate of just 8.2 percent. For comparison, the average American taxpayer in the same year paid 13 percent."

> https://www.oxfamamerica.org/explore/stories/do-the-rich-pay....

Indeed, that 8.2 percent is a whole heck of a lot of money; far more than the 13 percent coming from the average taxpayer.

Re: New York City will charge drivers going downtown

#639

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s not even remotely feasible. There isn’t nearly enough road space to accommodate all of the trips via train right now.

"That’s not even remotely feasible" Strong words, how do YOU know? Get rid of buses and trains and replace them with 3 types of vehicles, 2 person, 4 person and 8 person. Keep reserves of vehicles in the train tunnels. How can the contributors of HN not see a perfect application for variable packet sizes?

Would you also ban all private automobiles? I don't know how you're going to accommodate 1.3 million _extra_ car trips per day that currently (well, pre-covid) are handled by just the Lexington Avenue line alone. That's an insane amount of traffic. Streets would be completely gridlocked.

Re: New York City will charge drivers going downtown

#640

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Only a fraction of the US population work and thus commute. Of those that commute, that 80% do not have equal road usage. Even within that community, there is a subsidy going on. So, yes, there is a ton of subsidization going on (and this is not always bad) > Drivers simply pay for their road use through various taxes, and not directly. I think this is the point, notably because those 'indirect' payments are also pay…

> Only a fraction of the US population work and thus commute. The fraction that doesn't work is either too young to pay taxes anyway, or they had used road commutes before they retired. Everybody else are within the margin of error. Additionally, if you are not using a car for commute, you're likely to be in the lower tax brackets and thus not paying (much) in taxes anyway. I had a paper looking at exact numbers book…

One more thing that occurred to me, most US retirees still own cars, and still pay car tabs! That is kinda the issue, payment for driving is spread across US society rather than being the burden of those that use cars.

A strict counter-example, myself, I pay a _lot_ in property taxes and put almost zero wear on the roads. When I did last own a car, I was averaging about 500 miles per year.

This is really the point. Drivers must be subsidized because the cost of driving does not go up linearly with miles driven. For example, if someone just spent 24 hours driving rather than say 4 hours, their payments for driving upkeep does not go up 6 fold (they do not pay 6 times on car tabs, 6 times on car tax, 6 times on property taxes, etc.. they only pay gas tax as extra).

Now, this is kinda a tired argument, because it then goes to, "well, even if you don't use the roads, you still benefit." I sure do. Though, the issue is that the way things are incentivized, by spreading costs across everyone, we are put in a situation where otherwise unsustainably low density areas become incentivized.

Which goes exactly to the point of charging people to drive through downtown. Seemingly it is a very rare example of a disincentives to car culture. The argument that mass transit is subsidized seems a bit obvious (and is it is true that mass transit is very subsidized), though.. given all the incentives to drive, not having to pay the full cost per mile traveled as those costs are spread out - why the hell not drive everywhere? Why at all would anyone take mass transit when the cost to drive 5000 miles compared to 500 miles are so similar.

Let's look at the math: Driving 5000 miles (my last car got about 400 miles to the tank, at about 13 gallons), requires about 130 gallons of gas. At about $0.50 per gallon for tax, that is a payment of just $65 dollars in tax to go 10 times further. Car tabs alone are over $100 in WA state.

This hopefully illustrates really easily that users of the road are not paying proportionate to their usage of the road. This is a mixed bag, as I would very much not want farmers to have to pay the full cost of the roads connecting them to the overall transit grid. Yet, because how costs are shared, driving in a lot of ways is "too cheap" and the overwhelming incentive is to (unsustainably) drive everywhere. Further, because everything in the US is built with driving in mind, it makes it so everyone has to drive, whether they would want to or not. This is compounded in city policy with zoning laws that force there to be parking, force residential to be segregated from commercial that would otherwise for walkable neighborhoods. All that is to say, it's the second order effects of how we pay for driving that creates quite a number of sustainability issues and really diminish the quality of life we could have (quieter, less polluted, less time spent in commute, less time spent in traffic jams).

Post reply on HN