Live data from Hacker News

Container shipping has cratered, as ship owners try to avoid unprofitable trips

wsj.com

61–70 of 220 posts

Re: Container shipping has cratered, as ship owners try to avoid unprofitable trips

#61

> The rates for both trade lanes are hovering around 2019 levels, but fuel and labor expenses are higher now than before the pandemic. Hard to really feel like this is a crisis, since all of the reporting is how there was a brief, glorious period (for the companies) of 10x prices, and the crisis is that the period is ended.

Definitely feels like there should be a "law of headlines" coined to effect of - something must always either be surging catastrophically or plummeting disatrously.

The truth is, journalism has cratered. However, most are not ready to accept the truth, since they still believe the media are an essential part of democracy.

Re: Container shipping has cratered, as ship owners try to avoid unprofitable trips

#62
post #9

Isn't this just a sign that the Fed's tamping-down of inflation is working?

Their plan to curtail inflation has always been demand destruction. Which means callous layoffs, unemployment, and misery for the workforce. We are just now seeing the effects, so expect it to get worse from here. We are a few more earnings misses, fumble of the debt ceiling, and another bank collapse away from a depression.

> callous layoffs, unemployment, and misery for the workforce

US unemployment is hovering around 50 years lows. Probably better to look at the actual stats rather than listen to the constant doom-peddling that comes from the media.

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/unemployment-rate

Re: Container shipping has cratered, as ship owners try to avoid unprofitable trips

#63

> The rates for both trade lanes are hovering around 2019 levels, but fuel and labor expenses are higher now than before the pandemic. Hard to really feel like this is a crisis, since all of the reporting is how there was a brief, glorious period (for the companies) of 10x prices, and the crisis is that the period is ended.

Definitely feels like there should be a "law of headlines" coined to effect of - something must always either be surging catastrophically or plummeting disatrously.

Or plateauing unsustainably.

Re: Container shipping has cratered, as ship owners try to avoid unprofitable trips

#64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Definitely feels like there should be a "law of headlines" coined to effect of - something must always either be surging catastrophically or plummeting disatrously.

The law of headlines should also mention that they mention events in the future: “Today, we expect the president to meet with xyz and announce what they will do with abc”, building up the thrill, rather than reporting when it’s done and the announcement is made. Journalists talking about the future. That’s not journalism.

Yes, it is. Being aware of how the immediate future is shaped by already made decisions helps to inform people who wouldn’t otherwise know what’s pending. The contrary journalistic standard would be, well, the first chapter of Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy.

Re: Container shipping has cratered, as ship owners try to avoid unprofitable trips

#65

> The rates for both trade lanes are hovering around 2019 levels, but fuel and labor expenses are higher now than before the pandemic. Hard to really feel like this is a crisis, since all of the reporting is how there was a brief, glorious period (for the companies) of 10x prices, and the crisis is that the period is ended.

Definitely feels like there should be a "law of headlines" coined to effect of - something must always either be surging catastrophically or plummeting disatrously.

Or plateauing disappointingly?

Re: Container shipping has cratered, as ship owners try to avoid unprofitable trips

#66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Did the top 4 not have hug e profit growth and fit comfortably into your narrative? https://accountable.us/report-top-5-shipping-companies-saw-p... "Fits your narrative" is a relatively aggressive position to take against such a comment.

Seems the gains were short-lived, according to the linked report ("shipping profiteers", yea no narrative there), the market caps from the report (sourced April 1, 2022) vs today, from the same web site. Just 13 months later, most down by about 50%: Hapag - 63.7 - 34.9 Maersk - 54.6 - 28.9 Cosco - 40.3 - 25.2 Evergreen - 25.5 - 11.9 Orient - 18.5 - 9.3 https://companiesmarketcap.com/container-shipping/largest-co...

Yes, it’s almost like “Container shipping has cratered as ship owners try to avoid unprofitable trips”.

Re: Container shipping has cratered, as ship owners try to avoid unprofitable trips

#67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s not quite accurate. https://theloadstar.com/hapag-lloyd-racks-up-massive-3-4bn-p... > Putting the fifth-largest ocean carrier’s earnings into context, [their profit for the first three quarters of 2021 exceeded] its return from the whole of the past five years.

With all due respect, that appears to be cherry-picking. Why focus on the 5th largest company exclusively? Did the top 4 not have huge profit growth and fit comfortably into your narrative? There's also the accounting profits that may occur due to something other than simple operations, for example, if the company bought long-term fuel futures, they may have been taking an accounting loss every quarter until oil pric…

How about this article? There's even a nice graph.

https://www.transportandlogisticsme.com/smart-sea-freight/sh...

Re: Container shipping has cratered, as ship owners try to avoid unprofitable trips

#69

> The rates for both trade lanes are hovering around 2019 levels, but fuel and labor expenses are higher now than before the pandemic. Hard to really feel like this is a crisis, since all of the reporting is how there was a brief, glorious period (for the companies) of 10x prices, and the crisis is that the period is ended.

Did you ever do the exercise in economics class where you learn that a demand shock can bankrupt businesses in a supply chain?
Post reply on HN