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Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

futureoflife.org

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Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#51

Post by ethanbond »

mark_l_watson wrote: post #20

Although I have enjoyed listening to the Future Of Life podcasts for a few years, I think this public letter is not necessary. I do respect the signatories I recognize on the letter and I welcome listening to them, I think that we are so many years away from any of real AI that this is, as Andrew Ng has joked, like worrying about over population on Mars colonies. I have been heavily using GPT models for about 14 mont…

Is your expectation that it'll be easier to slow down research when we're closer to these being more utterly transformative(/destructive, depending on opinion)?

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#54

Post by ethanbond »

causalmodels wrote: post #42

Funny to see someone call for wide scale cooperation to stop training LLMs but can't seem to get people to cooperate on the embargo.

Human gene editing has been successfully halted ~worldwide, nuclear weapon development has been semi-successfully halted worldwide (a meaningful risk reduction), we're successfully changing energy mix worldwide (slowly but again, meaningfully).

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#55

Post by Animats »

JohnFen wrote: post #31
dougmwne wrote: post #3

[flagged]

I don't think laughing at people for their concerns is helpful. Especially when you don't seem to be bothered by the possibility that this is a civilization-ending development. For the record, I don't think it is, personally. But people are terrified, and not taking their fear seriously and dealing with it compassionately is a recipe for serious, and unnecessary disaster.

A civilization-ending development, no.

A job-ending development for many people, yes.

The chattering classes see themselves becoming obsolete. Fast. They're freaking out. From professors of English literature to op-ed writers, word slingers are in trouble. Not novelists, though; none of these systems can hold a story together for any great length.

If everything you get paid for goes in and out over a wire, you're in trouble.

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#57

Post by JohnFen »

Animats wrote: post #55
JohnFen wrote: post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think laughing at people for their concerns is helpful. Especially when you don't seem to be bothered by the possibility that this is a civilization-ending development. For the record, I don't think it is, personally. But people are terrified, and not taking their fear seriously and dealing with it compassionately is a recipe for serious, and unnecessary disaster.

A civilization-ending development, no. A job-ending development for many people, yes. The chattering classes see themselves becoming obsolete. Fast. They're freaking out. From professors of English literature to op-ed writers, word slingers are in trouble. Not novelists, though; none of these systems can hold a story together for any great length. If everything you get paid for goes in and out over a wire, you're in…

It's not just the chattering classes that are freaking out. It's the majority of ordinary people that I've talked with.

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#58

Post by jakeinspace »

m_ke wrote: post #41

GPT-4 might be close to the best we'll get on the general LLM model front for a while since they trained on a huge chunk of web text. Next real advances will probably be in tuning them for specific applications in medicine, law, accounting, marketing, coding and etc. As someone running a one man company I can't wait for the cost of accounting, legal and copywriting to approach 0. Cost of shipping products will also g…

I’m not sure I’m looking forward to the politics that would come out of 10-20% of the previously middle class becoming instantly redundant and out of (middle-salary) work. That’s the fast path to fascism, unless we’re able to quickly implement UBI and other major societal overhauls.

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#60

Post by layer8 »

mark_l_watson wrote: post #20

Although I have enjoyed listening to the Future Of Life podcasts for a few years, I think this public letter is not necessary. I do respect the signatories I recognize on the letter and I welcome listening to them, I think that we are so many years away from any of real AI that this is, as Andrew Ng has joked, like worrying about over population on Mars colonies. I have been heavily using GPT models for about 14 mont…

How much of the book is written by GPT?
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