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Block: Inflated user metrics and “frictionless” fraud facilitation

hindenburgresearch.com

21–30 of 324 posts

Re: Block: Inflated user metrics and “frictionless” fraud facilitation

#21

This is bad for Block. I hope. It's incredible that since 2008 it actually seemed immensely easier to skirt regulations and laws (under the banner of 'innovation'), and not just in finance. Just about all of silicon valley seems to have run the longest and broadest grift we've seen. This year's gonna get real interesting.

More like 1998. But yeah, the model of tech-washing has increased in popularity since then. The example that most readily comes to mind is Uber, and they started in 2009.

Re: Block: Inflated user metrics and “frictionless” fraud facilitation

#23
"CEO Jack Dorsey has publicly touted how Cash App is mentioned in hundreds of hip hop songs as evidence of its mainstream appeal. A review of those songs show that the artists are not generally rapping about Cash App’s smooth user interface—many describe using it to scam, traffic drugs or even pay for murder."

Hindenburg made a music video compiling the references that is...uh...worth watching: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=StjWk3Mj-M4

Re: Block: Inflated user metrics and “frictionless” fraud facilitation

#24
I didn't know Square had changed their name to Block. Looks like it happened in December 2021: https://investors.block.xyz/news/news-details/2021/Square-In...

That said this really seems overblown. The report seems to mostly just talk about Cash App. Square Payments, Weebly and TIDAL are not even mentioned. Afterpay is mentioned but that was a 2022 acquisition so the problems likely predate Block's involvement.

It feels weird that they're using Cash App to indict the company as a whole. A single product in their portfolio doesn't justify calling the whole company a fraud.

Re: Block: Inflated user metrics and “frictionless” fraud facilitation

#26

Did anyone read the report? The summary is quite short. Seems like a nothing-burger.

It reads a lot like what Wells Fargo did, re opening accounts, only targeting the criminal demographic.

Wells Fargo took advantage of black people and minorities, I wouldn't call them the criminal demographic. They were also the victims.

Re: Block: Inflated user metrics and “frictionless” fraud facilitation

#27
post #17
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It is already down to 58 from yesterday close at 72 how much will the short sellers make if it opens at 58$ in half hour?

72$ puts expiring Friday are 2.54$ 60$ puts expiring this Friday March 24 are 25 cents at yesterday close So if they open at 6.54$ and 1.25$ respectively the short seller (hindenberg) potential gains from sq block short via short term puts are 6.54-2.54 = 4x100 = 400$ per contract 1.25-.25 = 1*100 =100$ per contract If they had bought 1000 contracts of each that is 400k and 100k respectively for the 72$ and 60$ sq pu…

I feel like $500k wouldn't come close to paying for the two years of research that went into this report.

Re: Block: Inflated user metrics and “frictionless” fraud facilitation

#28

[flagged]

The report is extremely long, but having gone through the bullet points, the case seems quite overstated.

There are in fact millions of people who use Cash App, though it's probably less popular overall than Venmo. I know this because my wife and her friends will mention it and Venmo when talking about splitting bills. (Given the technical challenges Wells Fargo has had lately, I'm not sure who trusts Zelle.)

A lot of the claims amount to criticisms of Block's address verification functionality. But that doesn't mean Block engaged in fraud, perhaps they just have crappy address verification tech. Short of sending a human investigator out to physically verify that a given person really is located at a given address, I'm not sure what foolproof methods people use to eliminate that kind of fraud. The "let's send you a postcard with a code" method I've seen from legacy banks seems quite easy to exploit as well, just a bit slower.

The last question about merchant fees isn't fraud at all, but regulatory avoidance. Maybe the government will shut this down, or maybe they've found a loophole that Congress may want to close. It's unclear.

The least persuasive part of the report was the implication that rap lyrics imply Cash App facilitates crime.

Re: Block: Inflated user metrics and “frictionless” fraud facilitation

#29
Isn’t this pretty bad for the Block, Inc leadership. KYC and money laundering laws are one of the few corporate laws that can result in doing actual jail time.

In addition, politics being what it is, with the SVB “bailout” the Biden administration will be looking for something to show that they are not coddling Silicon Valley. Throwing a few execs in jail would send the message.

Re: Block: Inflated user metrics and “frictionless” fraud facilitation

#30
post #14

This is bad for Block. I hope. It's incredible that since 2008 it actually seemed immensely easier to skirt regulations and laws (under the banner of 'innovation'), and not just in finance. Just about all of silicon valley seems to have run the longest and broadest grift we've seen. This year's gonna get real interesting.

> Just about all of silicon valley seems to have run the longest and broadest grift we've seen. What do you mean by this

Wouldnt know what the OP refers to but silicon valley has been skirting regulations and running as close to a ponzi scheme as humanly possible, the likes of uber with blitzscaling, esentially growing their userbase with venture capital only to increase the amount of venture capital they can get to 'eventually' make a profit. Or SVB wanting to not be regulated because they hold less than 250B only to fail with terrible consequences. Then theres the numerous crypto startups that promise return on stake funded by new depositors to pay the old depositors. Money was cheap but in an economic downturn any weakness will result in investors leaving, cash drying up. So whoever cannot show profits will quickly wither and cause chain reactions in similar weak companies. I'm sure you can find an amazing list on hindenburg and you'll see most of them are tech companies because thats where the biggest venture capital pie was between 2008 and now.
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