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Launch HN: Electric Air (YC W23) – Heat pump sold directly to homeowners

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Re: Launch HN: Electric Air (YC W23) – Heat pump sold directly to homeowners

#721
post #588

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm looking at this 36,000 BTU/h unit for $3,750. Pre-charged line sets make it accessible to homeowners https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08FGLMZB8?_encoding=UTF8&aaxitk=e...

Looking at these US prices with envy. Heat pumps are just becoming a thing in Europe and currently installers are looking to earn a quick buck. I've not seen an install under 20k in the UK lately, bolting on to existing radiators. Also Europe seems to be heavily into air-to-water systems.

My wife paid 4000 euros for a heatpump in Finland, last year. Mostly to be used for cooling during the summer, rather than for heating in the winters (since there is "district heating" available for that).

Seemed pretty cheap, and the installation only took a day.

Re: Launch HN: Electric Air (YC W23) – Heat pump sold directly to homeowners

#722
Great idea. I've read some people's comments. There are a lot of companies in the UK that sell their equipment, and use contractors to install them (Worcester Bosch for boilers, even Tesla uses external contractors to install the chargers). I think you can do it. There was a heat pump company with similar approach in the UK that went bust recently, so maybe research what they did wrong.

Re: Launch HN: Electric Air (YC W23) – Heat pump sold directly to homeowners

#723
Speaking here from New Zealand, where central heating/thermostats are basically unheard of, outside of offices and schools. Heatpumps are very common in homes, usually high-wall mounted ones like this:

https://www.mitsubishi-electric.co.nz/heatpump/i/69337B/stan...

We have the approx 12 year old variant of the above heatpump in our current house, and in our previous house paid to install a similar thing.

The hardware cost for one of those is $2900 NZD, plus another few for install, leading to a total cost of around $5000-6000 NZD ($3000 - $3700) USD approx. While that is still a fair chunk of change, it's less than a quarter of the cost of the $14,000 USD that Electric Air is launching with.

It's not ideal, you end up with a single climate controlled part of your house, and the rest relies on leaving the doors open. The fully ducted electric air system (which I assume lets you heat/cool individual rooms) would certainly be a lot nicer, but the massive price differential means that only the really super rich elite level houses would ever install one. The other 99% of the market is happy with the "good enough" solution of a wall-mounted heatpump.

One other thing - Water drainage from a heatpump in cooling mode is a common problem. Installers need to run pipes out through walls to drain away condensed water, and while they ideally can use gravity, sometimes install location means a water pump is required. We have one of those; some years ago the pump failed leading to a lot of soaked carpet in our living room. Hopefully electric air has a good reliable solution there!

Finally: When installing heatpumps, this requires the indoor unit (source of cold/hot air) to be connected via heatpipe to the outdoor unit. This almost always involves drilling holes through interior and exterior walls (often brick). Because of the potential for things to go wrong, I'd never recommend a DIY / home contractor to install such a thing. You want a reputable company that warranties their work, has something at stake, and that you can have recourse against, if they screw it up.

Good luck!

Re: Launch HN: Electric Air (YC W23) – Heat pump sold directly to homeowners

#724

Speaking here from New Zealand, where central heating/thermostats are basically unheard of, outside of offices and schools. Heatpumps are very common in homes, usually high-wall mounted ones like this: https://www.mitsubishi-electric.co.nz/heatpump/i/69337B/stan... We have the approx 12 year old variant of the above heatpump in our current house, and in our previous house paid to install a similar thing. The hardware…

Oh BTW, a small bit more feedback

> Better air quality is achieved through a thermostat with PM2.5 and CO2 sensors, as well as an air quality module on the air handler that controls HEPA filtration, fresh air intake and modification of the home’s humidity

This is very nice, but in the grand scheme of things nobody cares about these. They just want a warm house in winter and a cool one in summer. If air quality/filtering were a free/cheap addon that'd be great, but not if it means the unit costs significantly more.

OTOH, that gives you a very nice market segmentation mechanic. Provide a lower-cost unit without things like CO2 sensors and HEPA filters, and charge a fat margin to upgrade to the fancy one for those richer people who have the luxury of such things.

Re: Launch HN: Electric Air (YC W23) – Heat pump sold directly to homeowners

#726
post #588

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm looking at this 36,000 BTU/h unit for $3,750. Pre-charged line sets make it accessible to homeowners https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08FGLMZB8?_encoding=UTF8&aaxitk=e...

Looking at these US prices with envy. Heat pumps are just becoming a thing in Europe and currently installers are looking to earn a quick buck. I've not seen an install under 20k in the UK lately, bolting on to existing radiators. Also Europe seems to be heavily into air-to-water systems.

>are just becoming a thing

where do you life? in germany they are available for years already. friends built new homes with them 5-6 years ago and back then it was already established

in all differen varities. air or with geothermal pipes in your yard (either surface or drilled)

Re: Launch HN: Electric Air (YC W23) – Heat pump sold directly to homeowners

#727
post #639

I've seen other construction related businesses try to go direct and it is extremely difficult. By going direct to the homeowner you are targeting the venn diagram union of "people who are willing & able to do the work themselves" and "people who will pay more" How are you going to build your service network? You say you will "connect them with a contractor to do the actual install." But contractors make their money…

> By going direct to the homeowner you are targeting the venn diagram union of "people who are willing & able to do the work themselves" This is meant to be installed by a professional contractor, not the homeowner. > How are you going to build your service network? Compensate the contractors fairly and act as lead gen. > Who are the decision makers in your target market exactly? Homeowners. Not targeting multiunit r…

> > How are you going to build your service network? > Compensate the contractors fairly and act as lead gen.

I used to work at a company which makes security and access control systems (swipe cards, electronic locks, etc).

They created a consumer-level system (as opposed to the big Enterprise ones they were known for) and tried to create a distribution model which appears to be how you're thinking about it. The idea was they'd build a network of contractors ("Installers"). Customers would buy direct from the company, who would then forward a request to your local installer (lead gen). The company would cut the installers in for some percentage of the ongoing subscription revenue cost, plus whatever margin they added at install time.

This failed miserably. The company learned within the space of a couple of years, that all the good installers want to build a relationship with (and critically, to bill) the customer, they don't want to be a behind-the-scenes referral on someone else's website. Few signed up, and the ones that did, weren't incentivized to prioritize it highly. They put it lower down on their job lists, which led to customers having to wait a long time and experiencing poor service in some cases. Not great. The company also struggled tremendously to drum up interest. Because security systems (like HVAC) come with maintenance/repairs/etc, the market had evolved into one centered around companies/individuals looking around at their local providers first, picking the "best" one, and then choosing a product based on what the provider was offering or what they recommended, much like you would with a Plumber or Electrician.

Maybe the HVAC industry is sufficiently different from Security and this model might work for you? From what I saw though, there's a lot of overlap there and I'm not optimistic.

After a year or two, the company pivoted to a model where they formed partnerships with contractors/installers and moved away from the direct-to-consumer model. At the time I left, this was proving much more successful of a model. The partnership model involved more revenue share, training, and a bunch of other stuff I wasn't involved in, but critically, it meant that when an end-customer went to their local security system provider and asked them what was good, they'd be highly likely to recommend my ex-company's product. That was the clincher.

I hope that's of some use @cmui

Re: Launch HN: Electric Air (YC W23) – Heat pump sold directly to homeowners

#728
post #666

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Europe as a whole has been utilizing heat pumps for residential heavily over the past decade. With global temperatures rising, heat pump installs in OECD countries are skyrocketing as the climate becomes uncomfortable for larger and larger groups of people. In the Netherlands, I can purchase a minisplit with installation for under €4k. It could get cheaper if I wanted something less powerful. While your point about "…

Where are you looking for I’m a bit concerned about what happens when it freezes. Can the outdoor unit still I operate?

I live in Brabant, so that likely explains the discrepancy in pricing.

Re: Launch HN: Electric Air (YC W23) – Heat pump sold directly to homeowners

#730
post #639

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> By going direct to the homeowner you are targeting the venn diagram union of "people who are willing & able to do the work themselves" This is meant to be installed by a professional contractor, not the homeowner. > How are you going to build your service network? Compensate the contractors fairly and act as lead gen. > Who are the decision makers in your target market exactly? Homeowners. Not targeting multiunit r…

> A natural gas furnace requires ~150cfm airflow per 10kbtu heat produced, while a heat pump requires 330cfm per 10kbtu. How do you arrive at these figures? First, you are stating flow numbers at total energy which does not make sense. Second, airflow requirements at certain power (not energy you cite) come from heat exchanger size and temperature gradient. What are operational parameters of the reference natgas heat…

Heat pump output temp is lower than a furnace's. Thus, it needs to move more air to inject the same heating power.

In Europe, where the traditional working fluid is usually water in water radiators, this has been a big issue in popularizing heat pumps. Radiators sized right for hot water from electric or gas furnaces were undersized for heat pumps and their lower output temp. This required expensive replacing of the water network and radiators.

Heat pumps in new builds are popular for heated floors, which are great.

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