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Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
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Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#112Never ever.
The two world wars artificially lowered life expectancy, so everything that comes after seems to be better, but does not need to be better.
Furthermore, the world wars cherry-picked the genetically fittest, so a few generations will profit, but the effect will level out.
Than it is very clear, that genetically influenced body size correlates negatively with LE. And people are getting bigger every generation.
Furthermore, the decline of infant mortality will level out.
The effects of the decadent life style and the question of meaningfulness of LE vs health span have already be mentioned by other commenters.
To come to an end, LE is a rather stupid single value estimator of the rather complex mortality graph.
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#113Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'm 29 and healthy to my knowledge. I see a doctor every year. Is there anything in particular I should be doing?
Most doctors (in the US anyway) don't cover things until there is a problem. For example, someone can eat a diet that will lead to heart disease. But, doctors won't tell them to make changes until problems are already showing up. This has to do with the way billing works for healthcare in the US. It's billed as sick care. And, most doctors have almost no training on things like nutrition. So the impact of that isn't…
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Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#114If average life expectancy starts to close 100. What will the retirement age be? Will we have lot more 80 year olds working? And will their quality of life be good? I don't see much actually changing the aging process itself. Just making people survive longer.
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Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#115Earlier quoted context omitted.
The data tells me you are completely wrong in your assertion. Life expectancy (in the US) has been on a very steady and continuous increase. https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/life... However, lifespan is a crude metric. Healthspan is really what we should be targeting. I don't want to live to 150 if 60 of those years are spend miserable in a nursing home hooked up to machines keeping me alive.
Your chart show’s declining life expectancy from 2014-2018, but it’s recent data also disagrees with other sources. “In 2021, an American was expected to live 76.1 years—down 2.8 years from the 2014 peak of 78.9 years. This backslide has erased all life expectancy gains since 1996, according to recent data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.” https://publichealth.jhu.edu/2022/life-expectancy-is-decli…
Is this adjusted for the pandemic?
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#116This is not likely. Life expectancy is going down while chronic disease is going up. Most of it has to do with lifestyle in ways the average person isn't aware of. The health care system is more capable than ever before. But, lifestyles that are poor to long term health are taking the trend in the opposite direction.
I talked to a heart surgeon in his late 50s about 10 years ago. "Who knows, we'll all probably live to 100!" I said, lightheartedly (don't remember the exact context).
"No", he said, "my generation might, yours is too unfit, too young, to live that long".
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#117Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'm 29 and healthy to my knowledge. I see a doctor every year. Is there anything in particular I should be doing?
You're fine until 40. Then you have to earn your existence. You'll slowly begin lifting, stretching, vegetarian eating, cutting out other foods like sugar and saturated fat, getting the proper supplements such as D, B12. Also bringing in lots of fiber, mixing sitting and standing, various forms of stress relief like breathing, meditation, etc. Smart things to get started on now include: skin care, at least SPF and mo…
>You're fine until 40. Then you have to earn your existence
Save up with better health and fitness before your 40 and being 40 won't exactly feel like the end of the world. Before 40 is when you should be doing all the things you note.
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#118Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'm 29 and healthy to my knowledge. I see a doctor every year. Is there anything in particular I should be doing?
Exercise regularly, ideally a mix of weights and cardio. Eat fruits and vegetables. Don't get too fat. That's pretty much it.
I would add, "don't drink alcohol", "don't smoke/vape anything", but that's just me.
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#119The optimism reminds me of all of the "In the year 2000, cars will fly!" of yore.
100 doesn’t sound extremely optimistic. Jimmy Carter is 98. Kissinger is 100. Munger is 99. Buffett is 92, Dick Van Dyke is 97, Mel Brooks is 96,… The body can last well into the late 90’s. It’s probably just a matter of treating people who get heart disease, cancer(s), etc that will get more people there.
Ok, but for 100 to be the average life expectancy, we’d have to either shift the curve so that half of people live much longer than 100, and really tighten the distribution, so that deaths at 60 and 70 don’t happen anymore. Something like 85-115.
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#120Earlier quoted context omitted.
Exercise regularly, ideally a mix of weights and cardio. Eat fruits and vegetables. Don't get too fat. That's pretty much it.
I would add, "don't drink alcohol", "don't smoke/vape anything", but that's just me.
Smoking sure, but mild alcohol use is pretty prevalent in all the blue zones.