https://grizzlybulls.comIt's a freemium subscription service to the algorithmic trading models / hedging systems I've been developing over the last few years. 2022 performance:
SPX (benchmark): -18.77%
Free models:
TA - Mean Reversion Basic (https://grizzlybulls.com/models/ta-mr-basic): -9.93%
TA - Trend Basic (https://grizzlybulls.com/models/ta-trend-basic): -17.79%
Vix Basic (https://grizzlybulls.com/models/vix-basic): -20.45%
Premium models:
Vix Advanced (https://grizzlybulls.com/models/vix-advanced): -17.9%
Vix - TA Advanced (https://grizzlybulls.com/models/vix-ta-advanced): -16.14%
Vix - TA Macro Advanced (https://grizzlybulls.com/models/vix-ta-macro-advanced): -3.15%
Vix - TA Macro Monetary Policy Extreme (https://grizzlybulls.com/models/vix-ta-macro-mp-extreme): +0.56%
The models use no leverage and are always either 100% long the S&P 500 or 0% long (in cash). These are not HFT, averaging one trade per 2-4 weeks on average depending on the model. You can see active signals for the free models by checking the site frequently, or if you subscribe to one of the premium plans you'll get email or text notifications as well.
In 2022, all but one of the models beat the SPX on an absolute performance basis, some substantially so with the top model returning positive absolute returns with a +19.33% outperformance gap. However, it was still a much worse year than 2021 as the unprecedented reversal of Fed policy in response to 40 year high inflation proved to make a challenging backdrop.
Full 2022 performance report: https://grizzlybulls.com/blog/models-performance-update-q4-2...
My take on the EMH, in short I believe in the 95% EMH, but that 5% makes all the difference and perfectly explains how legendary traders like RenTech, TwoSigma and David E Shaw have been able to outperform the market consistently for decades: https://grizzlybulls.com/blog/time-in-the-market-vs-timing-t...