Live data from Hacker News

“Copycat” layoffs won’t help tech companies or their employees

gsb.stanford.edu

91–100 of 310 posts

Re: “Copycat” layoffs won’t help tech companies or their employees

#91
post #18

This really depends on the percentage of the workforce your laying off. A small %2-%6 one is really getting rid of people you don't want, but it's too much of a pain in the ass to do the entire PIP & political process to do so, or they're toxic / unproductive but well positioned that firing them is hard. A streamlined 'just pick people' layoff process helps with all of those issues. The bottom %5 percentile people th…

Let’s see what shakes out of the town-hall meeting next week.

Re: “Copycat” layoffs won’t help tech companies or their employees

#92
post #14

> instead of laying off 10% of their workforce, they had everybody take a 10% wage cut except for senior management, which took a larger cut. So instead of giving 100% of the pain to 10% of the people, they give 100% of the people 10% of the pain. This doesn't seem like a good strategy for tech. Cutting everyone's salary will dislodge your top performers who can get a better position even in poor market conditions.

> Cutting everyone's salary will dislodge your top performers who can get a better position even in poor market conditions. Will it? Are your top performers only there because of the pay? And how do you even determine who your top performers are? I see this sort of logic frequently and I don't even know how to measure it, much less believe it.

which is to say, in your org, the top performers are not the top paid? not great. sort of sounds like a way to lose your top performers if I'm honest.

Re: “Copycat” layoffs won’t help tech companies or their employees

#93
post #52
post #4

I love this point: "The tech industry layoffs are basically an instance of social contagion, in which companies imitate what others are doing." I really wish for a less supine tech press. I've not seen any of these titans of industry being held accountable for the apparent major mistakes of overhiring. And I'm not even talking actual consequences here; these people will surely get bonuses for this. I'd just like to s…

Do we have any evidence that the over-hiring was a mistake? Could companies not have seen the free money and decided to beef up their staff for short term gains in their roadmap, with the knowledge and intention that they will likely be cutting later while getting to keep all that intellectual output? I don't see why we put this past them.

Tech work is now seasonal you say?

Re: “Copycat” layoffs won’t help tech companies or their employees

#94
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Cutting everyone's salary will dislodge your top performers who can get a better position even in poor market conditions. Will it? Are your top performers only there because of the pay? And how do you even determine who your top performers are? I see this sort of logic frequently and I don't even know how to measure it, much less believe it.

> Are your top performers only there because of the pay In an ideal work environment, probably less so than other employees. But I think anyone who has their salary reduced is going to reevaluate their position, and those with more valuable skills are more likely to leave. The question is, what is more likely to cause a serious reevaluation, salary reductions or layoffs? I think for most tech companies, a single roun…

It's a strange balance. Either you get a pay cut with a job that might cut again, or your colleagues get laid off with the potential that it's you next time.

Either way you'll probably be thinking about interviewing, with a bit less urgency if you get to keep your job.

Re: “Copycat” layoffs won’t help tech companies or their employees

#95
post #31

The professor recommends across the board pay cuts as an alternative to layoffs. > One thing that Lincoln Electric, which is a famous manufacturer of arc welding equipment, did well is instead of laying off 10% of their workforce, they had everybody take a 10% wage cut except for senior management, which took a larger cut. So instead of giving 100% of the pain to 10% of the people, they give 100% of the people 10% of…

I think the problem with this strategy is that it causes the wrong people to leave. If you're a top performer, you're going to feel like a 10% pay cut is very unfair, and you're going to be able to get another job elsewhere fairly easily, even in this environment. If you're not performing particularly well, it probably doesn't feel as unreasonable, and even if you don't like it, it's tough to leave. When done correct…

> When done correctly, layoffs give 100% of the pain to 10% (or whatever) of the people

Have you been in a layoff? Not having a job anymore is not the only form of punishment.

I maintain it’s not even the most painful. Being a survivor can suck mightily.

Re: “Copycat” layoffs won’t help tech companies or their employees

#96
post #8

Not all of it is "copycat". During the pandemic consumer spending moved online. People purchased hardware to work from home, ordered more from Amazon and other online stores as opposed to physical stores, used online services such as Zoom and Microsoft Teams more. Tech companies responded to the increased demand by increasing the pace of hiring. Were they wrong to do so? Possibly, because they should have expected th…

Staff turnover in most companies is more than 15%. The same staff reduction could have been achieved by implementing a hiring freeze, moving people to strategic projects and putting underperforming staff on a performance management plan. However, as layoffs are now normal, it can be done without looking weak.

But if everyone is freezing far fewer people will leave.

Re: “Copycat” layoffs won’t help tech companies or their employees

#97
post #31

The professor recommends across the board pay cuts as an alternative to layoffs. > One thing that Lincoln Electric, which is a famous manufacturer of arc welding equipment, did well is instead of laying off 10% of their workforce, they had everybody take a 10% wage cut except for senior management, which took a larger cut. So instead of giving 100% of the pain to 10% of the people, they give 100% of the people 10% of…

I think the problem with this strategy is that it causes the wrong people to leave. If you're a top performer, you're going to feel like a 10% pay cut is very unfair, and you're going to be able to get another job elsewhere fairly easily, even in this environment. If you're not performing particularly well, it probably doesn't feel as unreasonable, and even if you don't like it, it's tough to leave. When done correct…

If you’re a top performer you bail as soon as there are layoffs anyways. I certainly do. It’s rarely a sign that anything good is in your future, they’re often performed poorly, and the work environment post-layoffs is incredibly bleak and disheartening.

If you have options there’s no good reason to stay.

Re: “Copycat” layoffs won’t help tech companies or their employees

#98
post #52
post #4

I love this point: "The tech industry layoffs are basically an instance of social contagion, in which companies imitate what others are doing." I really wish for a less supine tech press. I've not seen any of these titans of industry being held accountable for the apparent major mistakes of overhiring. And I'm not even talking actual consequences here; these people will surely get bonuses for this. I'd just like to s…

Do we have any evidence that the over-hiring was a mistake? Could companies not have seen the free money and decided to beef up their staff for short term gains in their roadmap, with the knowledge and intention that they will likely be cutting later while getting to keep all that intellectual output? I don't see why we put this past them.

Anecdotally, I've heard multiple stories of companies hiring staff, but not having any useful work to fill their time. Cases like product managers being hired but not assigned to any actual products, or engineers hired to infrastructure teams before the company has decided what infrastructure it wants. Although, these anecdotes are mostly from startups trying to scale and grow, not from FAANG-tier companies.

Re: “Copycat” layoffs won’t help tech companies or their employees

#99
post #31

The professor recommends across the board pay cuts as an alternative to layoffs. > One thing that Lincoln Electric, which is a famous manufacturer of arc welding equipment, did well is instead of laying off 10% of their workforce, they had everybody take a 10% wage cut except for senior management, which took a larger cut. So instead of giving 100% of the pain to 10% of the people, they give 100% of the people 10% of…

Even Stanford with its multi-deca Billions in endowment cuts technical staff. They may not call them layoffs but they do cut budgets and headcount. I don’t believe they reduce pay in lieu of headcount. They’re hypocrites! As others pony out, you risk having your best leave, unless they harbor true communist spirit and take one for the team.

Re: “Copycat” layoffs won’t help tech companies or their employees

#100
post #39
post #8

Not all of it is "copycat". During the pandemic consumer spending moved online. People purchased hardware to work from home, ordered more from Amazon and other online stores as opposed to physical stores, used online services such as Zoom and Microsoft Teams more. Tech companies responded to the increased demand by increasing the pace of hiring. Were they wrong to do so? Possibly, because they should have expected th…

> During the pandemic consumer spending moved online. I keep hearing this repeated as canon but is this quantified somehow? Did we really see a spike long enough for hiring sprees? And did it last until ... when? A few months ago? It seems intuitive but I'd really love to see numbers.

> In 2021, as people began returning to their pre-pandemic shopping habits, Amazon’s revenue growth decelerated to 22 percent with nearly $470 billion in revenue. And in the first nine months of 2022 (Amazon reports results for the final quarter of 2022 the first week in February), year-over-year revenue growth decelerated all the way to 10 percent. To make matters worse, Amazon’s core retail business lost more than $8 billion during that time frame, compared to an $8 billion profit during the same period the previous year. Jassy decided Amazon’s layoffs and cuts had to follow.

https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/recode/2023/1/19/23562702/a...

Post reply on HN