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NTSB: Cloud shot up vertically in front of plane before turbulence

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Re: NTSB: Cloud shot up vertically in front of plane before turbulence

#12

Turbulence happens, and it’s often not possible to see it coming. Air is transparent after all. I’ve never been on a flight in the US where the preflight safety briefing didn’t say that seat belts should remain fastened when you’re in your seat. But I’ve also never been on one where i haven’t observed people being pretty damn casual about it when we’re at cruise. It is probably time to specifically add something abou…

I think all airlines mention turbulence in the context of lap belts in their safety briefing. I know United does. Their passengers are no better behaved than what you've observed, though. Maybe there's a better way of getting the message across? Few people seem to pay any attention to the safety briefings, anyway. It's crazy.

Re: NTSB: Cloud shot up vertically in front of plane before turbulence

#13
post #5
post #3

Clouds form that quickly?

I've never seen one form out of clear air that quickly, as the pilot said local conditions were. I have flown a high performance jet alongside a rising cumulus and "raced" a column forming on the side that was rising quickly - it won, as in I ran out of climb capability before it did.

What was the result? You couldn't outrun the turbulence?

Re: NTSB: Cloud shot up vertically in front of plane before turbulence

#15
post #9

Having had a similar experience over the alps on air italia, this is why I never ever undo my belt unless I have to. The sign went on and 5 seconds later I felt myself physically leave the seat as we hit the worst turbulence I had ever felt. I rediscovered my appreciation for the rosary that day.

I'll sometimes keep my belt loose when the seatbelt sign is off for an extended period. I know I won't leave my seat in case of really bad turbulence but worst case I might rise up a few inches. Obviously if the plane broke apart, a seatbelt probably isn't going to save me but leaving it loose is a nice compromise between safety and comfort.

Re: NTSB: Cloud shot up vertically in front of plane before turbulence

#16

Turbulence happens, and it’s often not possible to see it coming. Air is transparent after all. I’ve never been on a flight in the US where the preflight safety briefing didn’t say that seat belts should remain fastened when you’re in your seat. But I’ve also never been on one where i haven’t observed people being pretty damn casual about it when we’re at cruise. It is probably time to specifically add something abou…

I think all airlines mention turbulence in the context of lap belts in their safety briefing. I know United does. Their passengers are no better behaved than what you've observed, though. Maybe there's a better way of getting the message across? Few people seem to pay any attention to the safety briefings, anyway. It's crazy.

Could just make an occupied seat's belt chime every n seconds it isn't buckled.

Re: NTSB: Cloud shot up vertically in front of plane before turbulence

#18

Turbulence happens, and it’s often not possible to see it coming. Air is transparent after all. I’ve never been on a flight in the US where the preflight safety briefing didn’t say that seat belts should remain fastened when you’re in your seat. But I’ve also never been on one where i haven’t observed people being pretty damn casual about it when we’re at cruise. It is probably time to specifically add something abou…

I think all airlines mention turbulence in the context of lap belts in their safety briefing. I know United does. Their passengers are no better behaved than what you've observed, though. Maybe there's a better way of getting the message across? Few people seem to pay any attention to the safety briefings, anyway. It's crazy.

Either you've never been on a plane before and are going to be nervous and likely listening to the safety briefing or you're an experienced flyer who's heard the speech many times and are going to do what you want. Air incidents are so rare that most people will never experience anything more than mild turbulence so they become complacent.

Re: NTSB: Cloud shot up vertically in front of plane before turbulence

#19
post #3

Clouds form that quickly?

They don't usually form out of nowhere that quickly, but they grow upwards that quickly in case of unstable air. Unstable in this context is a function of the temperature gradient of the air mass with altitude, a bit simplified: If the temperature in an air mass is decreasing rapidly with altitude you have unstable air.

What happens is that some parcel of air is pushed upwards by something (e.g. surface heating, wind over surface features, a cold front moving underneath). That parcel of air will cool down due to decreasing air pressure. But if that cooling down happens at a slower rate than how much cooler the surrounding air is, it will still be warmer and keep accelerate upwards more. This can repeat itself to cause rapidly rising air.

If there is a lot of moisture in that air, the effect is worse. Because at some point that air will have cooled to the condensation level where relative humidity becomes 100%, then the moisture that was in the air will condensate and form clouds. That condensation process will release latent heat, helping the rising air parcel to keep rising further and faster.

And these are exactly that kind of conditions that cause big cumulonimbus clouds to form, which are dangerous even to airliners. Around the tropics, these clouds grow much higher than in more northern or southern latitudes.

Source: The theory class for my airline transport pilot license. A meteorologist would probably tell you this info in much more scientific terms :-)

Re: NTSB: Cloud shot up vertically in front of plane before turbulence

#20

Before anyone Monday-morning quarterbacks this - no, there wouldn't have been anything the pilot flying could feasibly have done to avert this outcome in the "one to three seconds" between becoming aware of the updraft and entering it. Even if it were possible to turn sharply enough to avoid the column of rising air, a maneuver that hard would very likely cause as much havoc in the cabin as occurred in the actual eve…

Pretty sure we're armchair quarterbacking just agreeing here, but I would imagine any course of action other than smashing the seatbelt button would probably negatively influence the outcome. Turning will just increase baseline stress on the airframe so you might as well buckle up and get ready for any emergency adjustments after the turbulence is over.

Source: I've played some MS flight simulator and XP11 so I know a thing or two. About armchairs.

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