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Influencers and onlyfans people finally get their hands on the ultimate pill that will make their excrements, farts and bodily fluids smell good (maybe edible too? we'll see :D). I sense a big, evolving market, 1B in sales at the end of fiscal year.
- The inflation will not go down.
- More tech layoffs.
- OpenAI releases more products, gains even more popularity.
- China will keep improving self-sustainable energy alternatives, while we keep judging them and don't do anything about climate change; or, we do, but at a small scale compared to them.
- Apple releases an USB-C iPhone.
- Twitter will not fail as many predicted & will have more MAU than ever before Musk bought the company. Twitter Blue is globally released and many buy it, inspiring other social media platforms to do the same about their blue checkmarks.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
I intentionally made predictions that could be verified after a year but would also be minority views on this site, since repeating where I agree with the majority does not add to the debate. Sure, they won't all happen, but say, a 50% chance of happening or better, and made a sufficient number of them that I expect a lot of interesting predictions will take place. With the Turkey/Syria meeting, Erdogan has already b…
> If this was a Chinese message board or Russian message board, I could make opposite predictions and be met with much more interesting debate and intellectual curiosity, as their information control mechanisms aren't nearly as sophisticated, and as a society they tend to be much more pragmatic and intellectually curious. How do you mesh this with the fact that you can and will be arrested in Russia for calling the w…
As a simple example, there was an employee of a TV news station in Moscow that started screaming pro-Ukraine things on the air, on live TV. She was given a 100 ruble fine (for causing a disturbance) and released.
Meanwhile, people in the EU are actually imprisoned for supporting Russia. And of course Ukraine has death squads, and merely being accused of supporting Russia or being accused of speaking Russian is enough to end up in one of the filtration camps.
The two situations are not comparable at all.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Let's say somebody makes a prediction that something will happen, and it doesn't. You could evaluate the prediction differently if they gave it a 55% chance of happening vs a 95% chance.
Over many repeated experiments that might provide useful. But what if I predict with 100% certainty heads, and the coin comes up heads. Did we learn anything "useful" about my prediction?
So we are indeed talking about tens or hundreds of them, not just a single one.
- Research into fusion power will yield another significant breakthrough, leading to predictions that commercial applications may now be only 30 years away.
- Consumer AI tools will start producing short, badly-animated video clips of... anything you want, as long as it isn't (obviously) porn.
- Russia will somehow manage to spend all year losing its war against Ukraine without showing any willingness to accept defeat.
- Transition to EVs to pick up further.
- Musk gets off the Twitter ride somehow, most likely with a huge loss, both in funds and face.
- The new Gundam series gets an extension and becomes even more widely successful, ushering in a renaissance of Gundam animations.
- I don't think there will be The Great Recession.
1) ChatGPT replaces search engines making incredible progress in automation of relatively high skilled jobs. 2) Further deterioration of the world police area with authoritarian regimes growing more bold in territorial ambitions. Most concrete the Turkish Regime indirectly with supporting Azerbaijan aggression against Armenia and directly with further invasions into Northern Syria. 3) No end to the Ukraine war, still…
- USB 4, Series D will be defined, with 3 possible orientations, one each for display, power and data transfer - Saudi Arabia will release an ethical standards requirement for each of its Western tech company holdings. The exact definition will be confusingly progressive, which will put everyone on guard. - Google will cancel the Search product, with a press release that expounds beautifully about the future. They cl…
- Saudi Arabia will release an ethical standards requirement for each of its Western tech company holdings. The exact definition will be confusingly progressive, which will put everyone on guard. Al Jazeera by Saudi Arabia