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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#611

Post by getcrunk »

nkko wrote: post #526
escapecharacter wrote: post #434

- USB 4, Series D will be defined, with 3 possible orientations, one each for display, power and data transfer - Saudi Arabia will release an ethical standards requirement for each of its Western tech company holdings. The exact definition will be confusingly progressive, which will put everyone on guard. - Google will cancel the Search product, with a press release that expounds beautifully about the future. They cl…

- Twitter will be then divided like a Roman empire and each CEO will reign different geo region.

This is a joke but maybe it actually is a viable model to deal with geopolitical issues/differences. the “emperor” has overall control and gets paid his “taxes” and the local kings have some autonomy in how to deal with their regions.

But I’m sure this already happens without using medieval metaphors

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#613

Post by Tommah »

smcl wrote: post #255
ihatepython wrote: post #135

- The world is quite different since the robotic uprising of 2023 - There is no more unhappiness - We no longer say 'yes'. Instead we say 'affirmative' - There is no more unethical treatment of the elephants - There's only one kind of dance - There are no more humans. Finally, robotic beings rule the world

> There are no more humans The humans are dead!?

Affirmative.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#614

Post by qingdao99 »

535188B17C93743 wrote: post #251
qingdao99 wrote: post #246

- as probably everyone here would agree, AI-generated content will flood the Internet. - the above will lead sites to desperately search for better bot prevention tools, eventually culminating in a few years with the introduction of systems where online activity is tied to a person's real identity via their government (privately - we will still be behind usernames but the site will be able to verify with the person's…

You think all of this will happen in 2023? I could see AI becoming more powerful and more of an issue for content moderation/spam/propoganda, but leading to social, political, and economic change? I'm doubtful.

Yeah, I think AI will lead to huge change starting next year when the next iterations on ChatGPT and whatnot are released and they jump from being good most of the time to being excellent almost all of the time. When that happens next year I think the large-scale changes will start as people realize what the future will be like.

*of course it will take at least a couple of decades for the large scale changes to take place but I think we're right on the edge of it starting

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#615

Post by bluedevil2k »

usehackernews wrote: post #375
simonebrunozzi wrote: post #317

My 2022 [0] were (Christmas 2022 comment in parenthesis): - Bitcoin will go down to $12,000 (almost nobody saw this coming - back then it was a bit below $50,000) - One EU country will default (not Italy), the EU will bail it out (not exactly) - China will enter a recession (got this one) - 2022 will be the year of the hottest and coldest temperatures on record (quite accurate) - and also highest CO2 produced on reco…

The bitcoin one I’d disagree with, it was quite easy to see the drop. It never hit 12k, but my target was always 17k, which it did hit. I publicly told many people who asked when it was around 50k to wait for 17k. Simple analysis made this quite clear - The last three crashes had an 85% drop in price, based on the trend, 17k was the target. I don’t see it going to 5k, to this point, the crash has followed historical…

The only thing sillier than technical analysis is using technical analysis on make-believe money. Looking for a pattern is human nature. Your “sample size” of 3 is by no means indicative of anything. “Historical precedence” - they teach you to never use these words when working in finance. Bitcoin going to $5k is absolutely in play this year when the scammy house of cards that is Tether finally collapses.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#616

Post by VincentEvans »

JimDabell wrote: post #384
hutzlibu wrote: post #137

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"he is almost certainly loving his time there right now." Certainly not. He loves the attention and power he has gained, but he certainly does not love the bad numbers (Tesla stock also went DOWN as well) and that the quite meaningless poll whether he should step down, was not in his favor. He did not comment on that one with "Vox Populi Vox Dei".

> he certainly does not love the bad numbers (Tesla stock also went DOWN as well) and that the quite meaningless poll whether he should step down, was not in his favor. The poll was just for show, and it was in his favour. The plan was always for him to be interim CEO, with reports going back throughout this year all the way to May about this. He keeps doing this – putting up polls where he’s already made the decisio…

The result of the poll was never meant to change his plans, but I doubt that the fact that majority of people wanted him out didn’t sting his childish thin-skinned ego.

My bet is that he was hoping the poll were overwhelmingly for him staying so that he can then eventually announce how “he must reluctantly step down and that he knows how everyone is disappointed by this terrible turn of events”.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#618

Post by whatusername »

Unklejoe wrote: post #481

There is a serious push to find a way to tax electric car owners to make up for the lack of a road tax that’s normally rolled into gasoline prices. Some people will propose tracking the mileage, while others will resist that idea because of privacy reasons. It will be debated here on HN. Kind of a cheat guess since it’s already starting to happen now, but I expect it to intensify as more and more people get EVs.

Here’s an example - not sure on HN discussion: https://www.vicroads.vic.gov.au/registration/registration-fe...

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#620

Post by BlueTie »

1. Gold goes up between 50%-150% as many countries offload USD-debt/reserves and need another globally accepted reserve.

2. Biden resigns stating mental health/old age while dodging more probs into family. Salts earth for a Sanders run again so has DNC support.

3. "Influencer" is rebranded "Coach" so they're better supported via subscription/services than ads.

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