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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#451
post #211
post #144

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We've been leaning heavily into Vue3+TSX over at https://radiopaper.com which addresses some of these gripes. It's true there's more "magic" and ceremony around creating components than just a simple function, but not much – you just return what you expect to render from the `setup` component method and all is well. You also get niceties like well-typed props & emitted events, and even runtime prop data validation if…

Prop destructuring isn't necessary. A lot of people changed to accessing the props via property access and this is often a better approach for conciseness. Don't force yourself to do something stylistic if it doesn't fit!

Thanks for weighing in, that's good to know. After wondering if this could be auto-refactored, I came across https://github.com/jsx-eslint/eslint-plugin-react/blob/maste..., will definitely have to give that (with `--fix`) a try in the new year and see if I can get the team on board! – desire for typescript being a compelling factor.

Personally I do like the non-destructured `props.abc` throughout component code, really helps clarify at a glance where something is coming from, whether it's locally or externally defined, etc. Code style is an endless exercise in compromises/opinions though, even _with_ tools like eslint and prettier.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#452

Bold and seemingly contradictory predictions by me: -The rapid advances in AI slow down. Dalle and GPTchat will be an exception not a rule in the long run. The fraction of hard AI problems that can be solved with raw force of more parameters and training isn't that large. -Paradoxically, AI will change everything. The advances that are already here haven't caught on yet. Legal documents in particular occupy this swee…

Nice prediction but I think that lawyers will be the last to feel the change. You don't pay a lawyer for crafting a document, you pay a lawyer to take responsibility for the document and to foresee any possible problems.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#453

- USB 4, Series D will be defined, with 3 possible orientations, one each for display, power and data transfer - Saudi Arabia will release an ethical standards requirement for each of its Western tech company holdings. The exact definition will be confusingly progressive, which will put everyone on guard. - Google will cancel the Search product, with a press release that expounds beautifully about the future. They cl…

crust:

https://github.com/NishanthSpShetty/crust

https://github.com/uwplse/crust

https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-981-13-5953-8_...

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#454

According to ChatGPT (sorry!) Give me a summary of `Array.from(document.querySelectorAll('[indent="0"]')).map(a => a.parentNode.querySelector('.commtext').innerText).filter(a => a.length > 10 && a.length a.replace(/reply$/, '')).join('\n');` «These predictions discuss various expected events and developments in the year 2023. These include the rise of robotic beings and the end of human rule, changes in language and…

I had to ask it which were the most positive/negative predictions, and of course a short story in the style of William Shakespeare about how one prediction could be improved by linked data. This is what it came up with: ChatGPT: --- 8 Pessimistic Prediction: The potential for conflict between humans and artificial intelligence Short Story: Upon the rise of artificial intelligence, A fear did grip the hearts of humank…

The iambic pentameter isn't too bad, considering

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#455

- Tech jobs at FAANG no longer look attractive or stable. Google hits the final nail in the coffin (not necessarily involving the layoffs) - The age of smart assistants is over - Microsoft will make a huge mistake involving Windows -> governments and companies start making concrete transition to MacOS and Linux desktop (start in late 2023) - The all of above leads to a revolution of smaller companies, their boom, inn…

> governments and companies start making concrete transition to MacOS

Governments are more strapped for money than ever before, I don’t see them paying a huge Apple tax for no benefit at all.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#456
My very short term predictions (1-2 months) e.g. Russian invasion tend to be on point, but my middle term ones (1-2) years are far off, but let's give it a shot.

1. Breakthrough in large scale model training results in an order of magnitude decrease in computational requirements to train Neural Nets.

2. Russia detonates a tactical nuke ahead of Ukraine's assault on Crimea.

3. Putin dies of cancer or assassination.

4. Certain prominent billionaires that happen to own certain major social media platforms are found to be implicated with Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell.

5. Innocent trans people get incarcerated in Texas ( https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/ken-paxt... )

6. Multiple right-wing terrorist attacks during pride month. Attacks in gay bars and drag events (which are unrelated to LGBT people) increase to on average 1 per month across the whole year.

7. China will invade Taiwan or be ready for an invasion by 2024.

8. Hungary will be ousted from EU.

9. The church will push the populist Polish government towards more extreme behaviour against LGBT people.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#457
post #451
post #211

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Prop destructuring isn't necessary. A lot of people changed to accessing the props via property access and this is often a better approach for conciseness. Don't force yourself to do something stylistic if it doesn't fit!

Thanks for weighing in, that's good to know. After wondering if this could be auto-refactored, I came across https://github.com/jsx-eslint/eslint-plugin-react/blob/maste... , will definitely have to give that (with `--fix`) a try in the new year and see if I can get the team on board! – desire for typescript being a compelling factor. Personally I do like the non-destructured `props.abc` throughout component code, re…

One thing I'll add about `props.propertyAccess` over destructuring is that with TypeScript and a good IDE it gives you autocompletion.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#458

1. Deglobalization accelerates as the Bretton woods organisations become increasingly irrelevant and trade moves to being bloc and region based. 2. The web continues to fracture into separate Euro, Sino, Russo and Americano nets due to increasingly different views in privacy, surveillance, freedom of speech etc. SV companies are slow to pick up on this. 3. Tech layoffs in the Bay Area intensify. When hiring begins ag…

Globalization will always be too tempting to ignore when some countries have labor costs that are ten times lower than others. Large companies will continue to have enough political power to veto the laws that would be required to reverse globalization.

Globalization is a bit more than just companies setting up shop where labour is cheapest. It is a rules based order that relies on institutions like the World Bank, IMF, a bunch of treaties and other institutions and a set of norms about how relations between States should be constructed. It also relies on an elite consensus that globalization is good. I think there is a sense however that this consensus is breaking down, hence the turn towards nativism in various polities. The increasing willingness of China and Russia to flex their muscles and (re)build regional power blocks means that while international trade may not decrease it may no longer be "global" in the way it is now.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#459

Here is what I expect: 1, The Sunak Government will further undo the banking ring-fencing rules in England so large banks can play with British pension funds. Down the line (6-10 years), there will be a massive pension crisis in England. 2, The USA will start delivering ATACM missiles to Ukraine (this may prompt Russia to make an example: a nuclear detonation over the black sea or some Ukraine field as an attempt to…

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#460

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Year of the Linux again huh. Windows isn’t popular because it’s good, it’s popular because everyone knows it and Microsoft has good enough relations with every large organization in the world. MacOS is too expensive to seriously replace windows. Smart assistants will take off as chatGPT becomes commoditized, but it will look very different since you’ll have to pay for it.

Windows is popular with users, because they are afraid of Linux, not because they really know how to use it. Windows is popular with sysadmins because it is easier to administer a large enterprise with it.

Seriously. My joke when Windows users say they don't know how to use Linux is that they don't know how to use Windows either but that doesn't stop them.
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