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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#431

Post by kasey_junk »

brutusborn wrote: post #212
formerly_proven wrote: post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ordered by likelihood would be 6, 2, 1, 5, 4, 3 - 6.) being unfortunately a given (the question being where and when they'll attack) and and 3.) not very likely.

Why do you think 6 is a given? Has political tension in the US just got to breaking point?

The mass attacks on gay groups we’ve seen to date resemble hate crimes more than politically motivated terror attacks, so “political tension” isn’t really the right term.

The issue is that the right wing has steered very hard into anti-gay rhetoric in the last couple of cycles which convinces the sort of deranged people who commit mass hate attacks that they are doing something for a cause.

Combine that with the fetishization and availability of military style weapons and it’s pretty easy for a lone miscreant to kill a lot of people fast.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#432

Post by davidy123 »

According to ChatGPT (sorry!)

  Give me a summary of `Array.from(document.querySelectorAll('[indent="0"]')).map(a => a.parentNode.querySelector('.commtext').innerText).filter(a => a.length > 10 && a.length  a.replace(/reply$/, '')).join('\n');`
«These predictions discuss various expected events and developments in the year 2023. These include the rise of robotic beings and the end of human rule, changes in language and animal treatment, the rise in enrollment for history classes, the use of artificial intelligence in video game development, the continuation of the COVID-19 pandemic, changes in political leadership, the decline of single-page applications and client-side JavaScript, the potential for conflict between humans and artificial intelligence, and infrastructure changes within the technology industry. There are also predictions of changes in social media platforms, the adoption of Rust programming language, the decline of Tesla, and the end of the recession. Some of the predictions are cautious or negative, while others are more optimistic. It is not clear if these predictions have been accurately fulfilled or not.»

No idea why it gets the "tense" of the predictions wrong.

edit: larger sample

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#433

Post by huijzer »

bitL wrote: post #327

Russia will have unexpected gains in Ukraine and US will decide to directly intervene using armies from Poland, Baltic states, Romania, Slovakia, Czechia, starting the WW3, escalating beyond all prior limits rapidly. EU will get completely nuked within a day, destroying all cities above 100k, leaving only pockets of rural areas survivable. UK and Ireland will be swept by a massive tsunami from a nuke detonated underw…

From a Bayesian perspective, this seems unlikely (https://xkcd.com/1132/).

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#434

Post by escapecharacter »

- USB 4, Series D will be defined, with 3 possible orientations, one each for display, power and data transfer

- Saudi Arabia will release an ethical standards requirement for each of its Western tech company holdings. The exact definition will be confusingly progressive, which will put everyone on guard.

- Google will cancel the Search product, with a press release that expounds beautifully about the future. They claim to be taking it down to bring it back in Q2 2024 powered by a LLM.

- Someone will fork Rust and C and combine them together into something called Crust. This will become wildly popular.

- James Cameron's Avatar 3 will be leaked early by accident, exposing that the movies aren't actually CGI, and all the money has gone to creating a Jurassic Park-style horrible genetic experiment.

- Twitter will have 4 separate CEOs, and end the year as a public non-profit holding.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#435

Post by metaltyphoon »

bsuvc wrote: post #335

1. We will learn that one or more traditional banks have taken on cryptocurrency exposure and will need to be bailed out to prevent another financial crisis. 2. Politicians will introduce legislation to regulate AI, with the initial focus on copyright protection, but it will be defeated. Court cases are brought against companies for training ML using copyrighted data, setting up an eventual supreme court battle in co…

> Year of Linux desktop!

There is always a joker :D

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#436

Post by kasey_junk »

shahidkarimi wrote: post #420

My predictions for 2022: 1- The US economy and the USD will keep declining. 2- In various EU nations, certain religious people will cause unease and there will be numerous attacks. 2- The world's perspective on two-headed hybrid regimes will soften and begin to accept it. The chinese type system will continue to be adopted by nations in Asia and the Middle East. 3- After July, there will be another brief cryptocurren…

> USD will keep declining.

By what measure?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#437

Post by jolancer »

psychphysic wrote: post #57

The dead internet theory will become true. Machine generated (spam, AI, not reposts) and old posts from dead people or dead accounts will overwhelm new human generated content. The war in Ukraine will end with Russia relying increasingly on kamikazi drones. Around end of spring a peace will be brokered. Russia will retain most of its territory gained esp with respect to black sea access. Western Europe continued in r…

The amount of bogus content of how to use chatGPT to make money is going to be ridiculous. I think that is off to the raises as we speak.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#438

Post by desmondwillow »

escapecharacter wrote: post #434

- USB 4, Series D will be defined, with 3 possible orientations, one each for display, power and data transfer - Saudi Arabia will release an ethical standards requirement for each of its Western tech company holdings. The exact definition will be confusingly progressive, which will put everyone on guard. - Google will cancel the Search product, with a press release that expounds beautifully about the future. They cl…

100% Chaotic Neutral predictions. Love it.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#439

Post by pharmakom »

dmak wrote: post #55
coldlight wrote: post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Could you explain more (or link to an article) about how Vue is AngularJS (and how that's a problem)? Could be very useful as I'm a Vue fan and currently investing heavily careerwise.

It's just my personal opinion. When you learn React with JSX, you just need to know JS and everything else is pretty much predictable. Whereas in Vue, you have to learn JS and all the declaration markups of Vue (ex, v-bind, v-for, etc...); it's less predictable and someone who understands JS would still have to learn those things. Ex, if you knew how to write a loop in JS then you can write a loop to output React com…

I would add to your prediction:

we will see a trend away from React Hooks to something that feels less magical, but is also different from the old way of using class components.

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