Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

news.ycombinator.com

51–60 of 816 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#51

Here is what I expect: 1, The Sunak Government will further undo the banking ring-fencing rules in England so large banks can play with British pension funds. Down the line (6-10 years), there will be a massive pension crisis in England. 2, The USA will start delivering ATACM missiles to Ukraine (this may prompt Russia to make an example: a nuclear detonation over the black sea or some Ukraine field as an attempt to…

> 4.one massive strike in France ala 2018 Gilets Jaunes Oooh, come oooooon... There probably hasn't ever been a single year _without_ something resembling a "massive strike" in France. And we have yet-another-pension-reform coming up. It's like predicting there will be a massive barbecue in Texas :P

I didn't mean just strikes, I said "massive strikes"! :P

Burned vehicles, a few hands lost to a police grenade, maybe a death or two.

Sure it's a low hanging fruit, but the French executive power has been bypassing parliament with 49.3 rulings for the past year to get unpopular laws and welfare undoings through. Something's gotta break.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#52
- The use of AI will become mainstream with your average person using it directly - it becomes the first truly revolutionary technology change since smart phones were invented. Serious social questions start being raised.

- The war in Ukraine will continue on but not conclude, with many more casualties on both sides. Consequentially, the stock price of principal US defence contractors such as Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman will continue their significant upward trend.

- Once again, CO2 emissions will continue increasing globally. There will likely be some significant food shortages in part of the world.

- The UK will continue its economic descent, with more significant energy price increases and continued inflation.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#54
My bold predictions for 2023:

- The west will struggle with a shrinking economy

- More tech layoffs

- The fediverse will become mainstream

- In Iran, the old guard will start losing influence over the population

- Russia will use a tactical nuke in Ukraine

- China will invade Taiwan without admitting that

- The US won’t react to provocations

- The dominance of the dollar will be in doubt

- The stock market will crash (25-50%)

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#55
post #19

- We'll see a new social network born. My guess is that it will try to carve out a segment from Twitter and Tiktok due to the recent changes from Musk and U.S. government concerns, respectively. - People will start realizing Vue is just AngularJS all over again and will further converge towards React. There is already many signs of this in Vue3. - Cryptocurrency regulation will be an ongoing discussion, and nothing w…

Could you explain more (or link to an article) about how Vue is AngularJS (and how that's a problem)? Could be very useful as I'm a Vue fan and currently investing heavily careerwise.

It's just my personal opinion.

When you learn React with JSX, you just need to know JS and everything else is pretty much predictable. Whereas in Vue, you have to learn JS and all the declaration markups of Vue (ex, v-bind, v-for, etc...); it's less predictable and someone who understands JS would still have to learn those things. Ex, if you knew how to write a loop in JS then you can write a loop to output React components. In Vue, you have to learn how to use v-for. When you start talking about filters and other things, it gets overly complicated in Vue (like AngularJS).

Two-way binding was a thing in early AngularJS days similar to Vue, and they both found out through iteration that it's not as great in practice as in theory. I believe Vue3 is only one-way binding now? With the composition API, you're encouraged to use defineEmits as the callback mechanism to parent components similar to React's paradigm. When React came out, it was all one-way binding and it made sense and worked well.

Vue's composition API with the defineProps and defineEmits creates a similar component composition structure to React's effect hooks. However, the general structure of the component still requires Vue syntax (ex, , , etc...). In React, you just write a JS function and return what you expect to render.

Vue is also a bit too magical in how their props work especially when you are using . It's not obvious that props can be inherited unless you read the documentation. In React, it's just JavaScript and you get the props through the function arguments.

I think the common "strengths" of Vue are often applicable to all frontend frameworks, because it's all JavaScript at the end of the day. This is all just my opinion though.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#56

Here is what I expect: 1, The Sunak Government will further undo the banking ring-fencing rules in England so large banks can play with British pension funds. Down the line (6-10 years), there will be a massive pension crisis in England. 2, The USA will start delivering ATACM missiles to Ukraine (this may prompt Russia to make an example: a nuclear detonation over the black sea or some Ukraine field as an attempt to…

3 is interesting. How could one split up twitter? What would be the separate parts?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#57
The dead internet theory will become true.

Machine generated (spam, AI, not reposts) and old posts from dead people or dead accounts will overwhelm new human generated content.

The war in Ukraine will end with Russia relying increasingly on kamikazi drones. Around end of spring a peace will be brokered. Russia will retain most of its territory gained esp with respect to black sea access.

Western Europe continued in recession with the UK leading the pack in economic downturn.

It will become apparent we've lost the 1.5celcius cap to global temp rises and governments will stop caring accelerating demise.

The ISS will be taken out by some space junk. But no Kessler cascade.

Chinese space station becomes man's only ped-e-espace NASA refuses to work with them.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#58
post #27

- More gentleman layoffs at Google - At least 2 rounds of hard layoffs at Amazon, plus gentleman layoffs. No more Bezos billion dollar Prime Video projects. Shedding at least 10-12% of white collar work force to signal to the market they’re trying to prop the stock - The economic hard landing - Disney stock will fare much better under Iger - Additional rate hikes from the Fed, at least 100bps but maybe 150 - Twitter…

I tried searching, but what is a gentleman layoff?

I never layoff and tell.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#59
post #27

- More gentleman layoffs at Google - At least 2 rounds of hard layoffs at Amazon, plus gentleman layoffs. No more Bezos billion dollar Prime Video projects. Shedding at least 10-12% of white collar work force to signal to the market they’re trying to prop the stock - The economic hard landing - Disney stock will fare much better under Iger - Additional rate hikes from the Fed, at least 100bps but maybe 150 - Twitter…

I tried searching, but what is a gentleman layoff?

It's more commonly (but still not very commonly) called a "gentlemen's layoff", but confusingly seems to (also?) mean pretty much the opposite of what curtisblaine said: "Elon Musk and Jason Calacanis messaged about how return-to-office mandates could be used as a ‘gentlemen’s layoff’ to get workers to voluntarily quit" - https://archive.ph/tC9H4. No idea which sense birdymcbird intended.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#60

It's very interesting to go to last year's predictions ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 ) and search for the word "Russia".

- Starship makes a successful orbital flight.

- Russia won't start any overt military operations in Donbass, let alone Ukraine proper.

I'm sad this guy got both his predictions wrong.

Post reply on HN