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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#421

Post by SyzygistSix »

xtian wrote: post #358
SyzygistSix wrote: post #348

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Honestly it sounds like they are sick in their soul rather than coming from a place of logic or insight.

What’s your logic?

Russia will not have a sudden reversal in capabilities. China is not going to abandon its strategy of hedging its bets to tie itself to a sinking ship all of a sudden. Iran and Saudi Arabia will not have a sudden change of heart to adopt a completely opposite position. Zelensky is already to US liking and Ukraine has shown itself to be capable rather than on the verge of falling apart.

Basically OP was positing a complete reversal of existing realities that all just happen to align with enemies of the US all of a sudden becoming more capable and deciding to band together. In reality political alliances, as well as military and economic capabilities, don't do screaming 180 degree turnarounds.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#422

Post by rwmj »

testplzignore wrote: post #280

Going with some completely random things this year so that I look like a time traveler. - Magnitude 8 earthquake in British Columbia in November. - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup. - JWST breaks. - Lebron misses 64 games due to a right leg injury. - TCU wins the CFP. - Shipping is blocked for 2 weeks on the Mississippi River near Memphis. - Coinbase collapses. Cryp…

> - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup.

This is, errrr, very specific.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#423

Post by roge7331 »

smileysteve wrote: post #287
testplzignore wrote: post #280

Going with some completely random things this year so that I look like a time traveler. - Magnitude 8 earthquake in British Columbia in November. - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup. - JWST breaks. - Lebron misses 64 games due to a right leg injury. - TCU wins the CFP. - Shipping is blocked for 2 weeks on the Mississippi River near Memphis. - Coinbase collapses. Cryp…

Amazon has forked Chrome for "Silk Browser" on fire devices. Prime not required.

Missed opportunity

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#424

Post by philistine »

HDThoreaun wrote: post #394
mrazomor wrote: post #385

- Tech jobs at FAANG no longer look attractive or stable. Google hits the final nail in the coffin (not necessarily involving the layoffs) - The age of smart assistants is over - Microsoft will make a huge mistake involving Windows -> governments and companies start making concrete transition to MacOS and Linux desktop (start in late 2023) - The all of above leads to a revolution of smaller companies, their boom, inn…

Year of the Linux again huh. Windows isn’t popular because it’s good, it’s popular because everyone knows it and Microsoft has good enough relations with every large organization in the world. MacOS is too expensive to seriously replace windows. Smart assistants will take off as chatGPT becomes commoditized, but it will look very different since you’ll have to pay for it.

Wishing corporations of the world to be weened off Windows is like Immortan Joe telling the rabble below not to get hooked on water.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#425

Post by tootie »

tungle wrote: post #337
tootie wrote: post #270

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Contrarian take: AI continues to fizzle. ChatGPT is very impressive but so were the last ten breakthroughs in AI and none of them have proven very compelling. At least not for consumers. We'll see advances in some business processes related to text processing but that's about it. Who is going to make practical use of AI art? Maybe the low-end gaming market? I'm also bearish on writing even for low-touch marketing cop…

On Linux VM, if a program is given root privilege and it just execute whatever command ChatGPT spit out, then you'll got hell a problem solver/havoc wreaker.

The hit rate of AI is still in that phase of being right almost all the time and being spectacularly wrong 2% of the time. So actually pretty close to a good DevOps engineer.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#426

Post by roge7331 »

testplzignore wrote: post #280

Going with some completely random things this year so that I look like a time traveler. - Magnitude 8 earthquake in British Columbia in November. - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup. - JWST breaks. - Lebron misses 64 games due to a right leg injury. - TCU wins the CFP. - Shipping is blocked for 2 weeks on the Mississippi River near Memphis. - Coinbase collapses. Cryp…

> - NATO directly intervenes in Ukraine and pushes Russia out. WW3 trends on Mastodon.

You can do this right now with 4 friends depending on the instance!

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#427

Post by yashap »

- It turns out that a shocking amount of TSLA’s value was tied up in Elon’s personal brand. Tesla keeps crashing, hits a low of ~$50 (it’s currently at $123)

- The rumours about Putin having a serious medical condition are true, he dies of natural causes in 2023. Russia pulls out of Ukraine shorty after

- The recession ends, though not until late 2023

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#428

Post by ihatepython »

peteradio wrote: post #306
ihatepython wrote: post #135

- The world is quite different since the robotic uprising of 2023 - There is no more unhappiness - We no longer say 'yes'. Instead we say 'affirmative' - There is no more unethical treatment of the elephants - There's only one kind of dance - There are no more humans. Finally, robotic beings rule the world

Come on baby lick my battery.

Boogie, Robo-Boogie

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#429

Post by junon »

mysterydip wrote: post #128
arlk wrote: post #121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AI-generated Instagram celebrities are a thing since at least 2018

Would pop star Hatsune Miku (2007) count? https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hatsune_Miku

I think the implication is that people don't know they're AI. Everyone knows Hatsune Miku is a fictional character, namely due to vocaloid.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#430

Post by india_usa »

- Ukraine war spills into a mini world war 3. this will be the biggest news of 2023

- tech companies layoffs etc seems bad in retrospect and companies start hiring heavily

- twitter is back with bang

- every car is now EV ready for market in next few years

- india prepares for a massive election in 2024 and facebook pumps money into india

- covid is normalized

- Trump is no more leading candidate for GOP, Biden not a contendor for elections as well

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