-Chiefs win the Super Bowl
-Bruins win the Stanley Cup
-Nets win an NBA title
-Yankees win World Series
-People continue to spell the opposite of win, incorrectly, en masse, by “sounding it out”
Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
281–290 of 816 posts
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#2821. Deglobalization accelerates as the Bretton woods organisations become increasingly irrelevant and trade moves to being bloc and region based. 2. The web continues to fracture into separate Euro, Sino, Russo and Americano nets due to increasingly different views in privacy, surveillance, freedom of speech etc. SV companies are slow to pick up on this. 3. Tech layoffs in the Bay Area intensify. When hiring begins ag…
I think you're more or less spot on, but very far with the last one on UK. The economy is more resilient than you think, especially the City. I have a feeling the war ironically helped. It prevented the finance from moving out to the continent.
What was it about the war that prevented finance moving out to the continent?
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#283Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#284The war in Ukraine will effectively end.
How do you predict that it will end?
"If something cannot go on forever, it will stop." (1)
Can this war go on for many years at current intensity? No. Can it be sustained past the end of 2023? Maybe, maybe not. Can it continue to "slow burn" - possibly.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#285In the world: Euthanasia becomes a hot button issue and is legalized through referendums in most Western European countries. The Ukraine war ends after Russia starts gaining back territory in February, some kind of peace deal is reached, Ukraine loses the occupied territories and Europe agrees to pay for most of the reconstruction. We see the first feature-length movie with AI-generated video. On my end: I buy a hous…
Fingers crossed for your house hunting and your company :)
Thank you!
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#286Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Russia starts "testing" nukes and a deal is brokered that pisses off both Ukraine and Russia but allows them both to claim "victory", save face and not start a thermonuclear war (this is Henry Kissinger's take); or That seems like a bad precedent - nuclear blackmail and aggression works, you get rewarded with territory/concessions. It is certainly a possibility, but in a way loss of credibility for US/West. > US lo…
>That seems like a bad precedent We do it all the time with North Korea. >... - nuclear blackmail and aggression works, you get rewarded with territory/concessions. I don't think the concession would be territory, more likely a treaty to block NATO membership for Ukraine (say no Ukraine NATO membership for 20 years, or something like that). Possibly also deny access to join the EU (even though that idea has heavy ste…
> We do it all the time with North Korea.
Some food help is not comparable.
> I don't think the concession would be territory
If Russia "loses" Crimea, then it's an undeniable Russian fiasco and Putin has no way to claim the war as a success.
It sounds like a weird scenario where Russia threatens to use nukes and then leaves satisfied with no NATO membership. (worth reminding that this war wasn't about NATO at all)
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#287Going with some completely random things this year so that I look like a time traveler. - Magnitude 8 earthquake in British Columbia in November. - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup. - JWST breaks. - Lebron misses 64 games due to a right leg injury. - TCU wins the CFP. - Shipping is blocked for 2 weeks on the Mississippi River near Memphis. - Coinbase collapses. Cryp…
Amazon has forked Chrome for "Silk Browser" on fire devices. Prime not required.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#288Earlier quoted context omitted.
"but increasing probability Russia uses a tactical nuke in Ukraine." Not likely. They would have nothing to gain from it. In their narrative, they are protecting the ukrainians ( which are actually russians, whether they want or not) from the fascist ukrainians. Nuking russian soil does not go together with this and Putin struggles already to not loose his base. And any military advantage this would gain, would be of…
But... how else are we going to keep up the image that we're on the side of the good guys? People have been saying this shit for months, about how Russia will invade the rest of Europe, or drops nukes, or go crazy, and low and behold, they so far only did exactly what they said they were going to do, nothing more. If you cant support the war given those facts, and need to make up stories about nukes and total conques…
>how else are we going to keep up the image that we're on the side of the good guys?
Everything we are seeing and hearing from the people in the liberated areas seems to be working pretty well. I guess they bought into the narrative too.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#289Earlier quoted context omitted.
> There probably hasn't ever been a single year _without_ something resembling a "massive strike" Can't really remember one for this year. Then again, there are still five more days to.
> Can't really remember one for this year. One not massive in numbers, but massive as impact was concerned: oil refineries, only 2 months ago. It impacted the whole country for weeks. As the Gilets Jaunes happening didn't even involve any strike, I guess this one qualifies even better.
Right. I did get the feeling I was forgetting something. But as you say, it didn't feature the usual large-scale marches through Paris.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#290AI: - Composable language models will allow millions of people to collaborate on building/training AI without needing unusual GPUs or supercomputers - Large numbers will be prime factored using guesses generated by giant "AI" statistical models. No one will understand why it works. - The internet is flooded with AI generated non-sense - Search engines are forced to limit the sites they search to ones with verified hu…
Technology:
Two seat fully self driving cars will become popular in Asia. They will arrive at your house with a dinner table loaded with Sushi and alcohol. They will be used for dating and business meetings rather than transportation.