401–410 of 816 posts
It's very interesting to go to last year's predictions ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 ) and search for the word "Russia".
Bold and seemingly contradictory predictions by me: -The rapid advances in AI slow down. Dalle and GPTchat will be an exception not a rule in the long run. The fraction of hard AI problems that can be solved with raw force of more parameters and training isn't that large. -Paradoxically, AI will change everything. The advances that are already here haven't caught on yet. Legal documents in particular occupy this swee…
>First the plague, now the war, next the famine!
I'm noting no predictions on this page regarding the Colorado River and the drought in the US West. Will the drought continue? Get worse? Could it cause a famine? Or just widespread adoption of efficient watering systems?
Going with some completely random things this year so that I look like a time traveler. - Magnitude 8 earthquake in British Columbia in November. - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup. - JWST breaks. - Lebron misses 64 games due to a right leg injury. - TCU wins the CFP. - Shipping is blocked for 2 weeks on the Mississippi River near Memphis. - Coinbase collapses. Cryp…
Most unlikely thing on here.
1. More people will slowly come to the realization that electric cars are not as effective as originally thought. As a result, the government may shift their focus to hydrogen-powered vehicles as a new alternative. Ideally, making people think about all the other none starters the government has lead them, and their taxes merrily into. 2. Some people will become aware that their money is not as valuable as it once wa…
Bold and seemingly contradictory predictions by me: -The rapid advances in AI slow down. Dalle and GPTchat will be an exception not a rule in the long run. The fraction of hard AI problems that can be solved with raw force of more parameters and training isn't that large. -Paradoxically, AI will change everything. The advances that are already here haven't caught on yet. Legal documents in particular occupy this swee…
Other things that might become true:
- Autonomous cars drive better than the average human
- Robots starts to become a "real" marked
- The Ukraine war ends (Russia looses)
- Apple will no longer be the second most valuable company of the world
- The successor of the mobile phone is presented
- First satellites with telecom tower capabilities are launched to space
- Google presents the successor to Google Search
- Both popes die
- Twitter will be profitable and be more like a bank than a social media company
- PayPal will not reach the 100$ again
- Trump will be officially impeached (a comedy to watch for the rest of the world)
- The movie industry will start to produce movies again
Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's a bit weird to overpay for Twitter if you're expecting a downturn, no?
It’s not as weird when you consider he paid for a lot of it via Tesla stock. If you think both are going to plummet in value due to an imminent downturn, you’re really just swapping ownership in one for the other irrespective of the downturn. But it doesn’t seem like a genius plan of his – he wouldn’t have bothered fighting a lawsuit to get out of it if that was his plan all along.
The dead internet theory will become true. Machine generated (spam, AI, not reposts) and old posts from dead people or dead accounts will overwhelm new human generated content. The war in Ukraine will end with Russia relying increasingly on kamikazi drones. Around end of spring a peace will be brokered. Russia will retain most of its territory gained esp with respect to black sea access. Western Europe continued in r…
- Russian-Ukraine war loses its momentum on the eastern front, hot war continues. - Azerbaijan is launching full-scale invasion to Nagorno-Karabakh, taking it over in a Blitzkrieg with the support of Turkey. - Russia is forcing Armenia to join Russian Union State, massive protests in Yerevan. - Pro-Russian government is replacing Belorus president who is forced to resign, massibe protests in Minsk. - China is prepari…