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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#202
post #39

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I highly doubt WASM will gain much ground. It may for games, but I am willing to take a bet that there are more web apps out there than games.

WASM allows you to run code “isomorphically” on the front and back end, which is a convenience that will be hard to resist.

That's not often a requirement for many companies. Most companies end up with a different backend technology for a diverse range of reasons.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#203
A lot of people saying AI generated content will dominate search engines and the web in general. What will happen when AI kills all human generated content? There wont be new training data to scrape. What happens? Will it consume itself in a death spiral of bullshit content or will it make us so dependent that its bullshit content will become common sense to our future (even more) brain damaged selves?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#204

Someone on the UK will be found in their home, frozen to ice. The story will pass, Sunak government continues. Nurses get screwed, along with border force, train drivers, and everyone else. Inflation will come down but will still be high historically, governments will pretend it's a win. Central banks won't. SPX down 10%. Twitter has a major outage. Bitcoin touches 10k and 30k. At least one more explosion in the spac…

I also think Russia will mostly withdraw from Ukraine. What do you think will happen with Crimea? I think that will remain with Russia for a long, long time, like Turkish Cypress. The rebuilding process in Ukraine will take 20+ years and cost crazy 100s of billions of Euro. The damage looks similar to fire-bombed cities during World War II (both Germany and Japan).

And to be real: I am so sad about COVID-19 in China. I am sad because it is preventable but the gov't doesn't want to lose face and allow mRNA vaccines to be imported. I think millions of elderly people will die in China. It is a humanitarian crisis. Sorry to any Chinese people here that will lose grandparents to COVID-19. It is a shame.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#205

Here is what I expect: 1, The Sunak Government will further undo the banking ring-fencing rules in England so large banks can play with British pension funds. Down the line (6-10 years), there will be a massive pension crisis in England. 2, The USA will start delivering ATACM missiles to Ukraine (this may prompt Russia to make an example: a nuclear detonation over the black sea or some Ukraine field as an attempt to…

> 4.one massive strike in France ala 2018 Gilets Jaunes Oooh, come oooooon... There probably hasn't ever been a single year _without_ something resembling a "massive strike" in France. And we have yet-another-pension-reform coming up. It's like predicting there will be a massive barbecue in Texas :P

Covid rules calmed down french a lot

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#207
post #19

- We'll see a new social network born. My guess is that it will try to carve out a segment from Twitter and Tiktok due to the recent changes from Musk and U.S. government concerns, respectively. - People will start realizing Vue is just AngularJS all over again and will further converge towards React. There is already many signs of this in Vue3. - Cryptocurrency regulation will be an ongoing discussion, and nothing w…

The age of influencers is over, they are not cool anymore.

It's just getting started. We're on the verge of seeing the first few billionaire influencers emerge. That will definitely turn heads and drive more money towards that direction. We're also seeing the rise of the children of tech money (I forgot the name to reference this group of people), but they're going to be heavy on influencer lifecycles too.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#209
post #173

1. Deglobalization accelerates as the Bretton woods organisations become increasingly irrelevant and trade moves to being bloc and region based. 2. The web continues to fracture into separate Euro, Sino, Russo and Americano nets due to increasingly different views in privacy, surveillance, freedom of speech etc. SV companies are slow to pick up on this. 3. Tech layoffs in the Bay Area intensify. When hiring begins ag…

[flagged]

As some other has pointed out this sounds way too disruptive to be true (how exactly would 200k deaths change the entire prospect of the war?).

Why would the US need to replace zelensky with a "puppet"? Ukraine wants US boots in Ukraine.

China recovery of their GDP is going to happen how? They got multiple issues systemically destroying their GDP growth (pollution, corruption, housing market collapse, over fishing, bad policies being enforced with no room for negotiation, etc. ).

Just to name a few.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#210
- Cryptocurrencies will decline to pre pandemic prices and will begin to fade into irrelevance for the general public.

- Putin dies, Russia is destabilized.

- A new covid variant emerges from China, no one in the Western world will care.

- Everyone will talk about deglobalization, but in actuality the world will become even more globalized.

- 2023 will be the year a lot of people in 2030 will look back on as a golden age for new company formation.

- The US will see an openly atheist presidential candidate or a Senator will come out as an atheist.

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