Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

news.ycombinator.com

111–120 of 816 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#111
post #90

- Russian-Ukraine war loses its momentum on the eastern front, hot war continues. - Azerbaijan is launching full-scale invasion to Nagorno-Karabakh, taking it over in a Blitzkrieg with the support of Turkey. - Russia is forcing Armenia to join Russian Union State, massive protests in Yerevan. - Pro-Russian government is replacing Belorus president who is forced to resign, massibe protests in Minsk. - China is prepari…

Calm down Satan.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#112
post #49

1. More people will slowly come to the realization that electric cars are not as effective as originally thought. As a result, the government may shift their focus to hydrogen-powered vehicles as a new alternative. Ideally, making people think about all the other none starters the government has lead them, and their taxes merrily into. 2. Some people will become aware that their money is not as valuable as it once wa…

> 1. More people will slowly come to the realization that electric cars are not as effective as originally thought. As a result, the government may shift their focus to hydrogen-powered vehicles as a new alternative.

I'm 100% thinking the same, but I can't help myself think how this will be a disastrous change in some countries. For instance in Europe, fuel-based cars will be banned in 2030 and governments are actively pushing for electric. I think it might create a huge shift on the electric vehicle market tho.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#115
post #19

- We'll see a new social network born. My guess is that it will try to carve out a segment from Twitter and Tiktok due to the recent changes from Musk and U.S. government concerns, respectively. - People will start realizing Vue is just AngularJS all over again and will further converge towards React. There is already many signs of this in Vue3. - Cryptocurrency regulation will be an ongoing discussion, and nothing w…

The age of influencers is over, they are not cool anymore.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#116

- AI will progress faster. - OpenAI will get at least one more big competitor. - Ukraine war will continue, but it’ll be mostly forgotten by masses. - React will continue to grow. - Twitter won’t explode and will grow more with someone else at the helm. - Remote work will continue to grow. - Global economy will worsen. No crazy ones here.

> OpenAI will get at least one more big competitor.

Might be the time for Deepmind to attract the public's interest.

> Ukraine war will continue, but it’ll be mostly forgotten by masses.

I think the opposite, I believe the "war" as we know it will quickly end, replaced by a mix of cyberwarfare and terrorism in Ukraine, organised by some organisations linked with Russia?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#117
post #76
post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But... how else are we going to keep up the image that we're on the side of the good guys? People have been saying this shit for months, about how Russia will invade the rest of Europe, or drops nukes, or go crazy, and low and behold, they so far only did exactly what they said they were going to do, nothing more. If you cant support the war given those facts, and need to make up stories about nukes and total conques…

…exactly what they said? They were saying they are not going to invade as late as February 20, 2022. Then they said their objectives are total conquest on February 24, 2022 in a public TV address. They threatened nukes (everyone from Putin himself to TV pundits) for months until Xi publicly chided him. But I am impressed how one can take perhaps the most morally unambiguous conflict in the century so far and still ma…

Was there something ambiguous about destroying the most prosperous African nation?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#118

- Undisputed AGI chatbot. It doesn't get confused or off track anymore, no longer hallucinates false information confidently, and can handle any generic task at around 100 IQ (ChatAGP's current IQ is around 83.) There are no longer any questions that it is AGI, it is undisputed. - but it still can't assemble a sandwich for you because no cheap household robot hands. People realize that they could get a lot more value…

> Breakthrough treaty between Taiwan and China.

This is impossible on several levels. Most Chinese citizens are 100% convinced that Taiwan is a breakaway province and the mere idea of its independence is extremely offensive. Even if Xi himself were amenable to the idea of a treaty (which he is not — rather, he sees the “reclamation” of Taiwan as his opportunity to write himself into the history books), his government would not be so foolish as to shoot itself in the head.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#119
post #89

Can people please attach probabilities to their predictions? That way we can evaluate after the fact how well people did. Doing so is literally impossible without probabilities assigned.

> That way we can evaluate after the fact how well people did. How exactly do you propose to do that given the binary knowledge of the event occuring or not...

I guess you could attach the probability as weight to the event outcome, instead of taking a uniform mean. Not that without probabilities it’s “impossible”, it’s just a different metric
Post reply on HN