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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#61

Post by coldlight »

dmak wrote: post #55
coldlight wrote: post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Could you explain more (or link to an article) about how Vue is AngularJS (and how that's a problem)? Could be very useful as I'm a Vue fan and currently investing heavily careerwise.

It's just my personal opinion. When you learn React with JSX, you just need to know JS and everything else is pretty much predictable. Whereas in Vue, you have to learn JS and all the declaration markups of Vue (ex, v-bind, v-for, etc...); it's less predictable and someone who understands JS would still have to learn those things. Ex, if you knew how to write a loop in JS then you can write a loop to output React com…

Thanks, that's a clear and thorough explanation. Enjoy your Christmas!

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#62

Post by rippercushions »

scanr wrote: post #41

- text and image generating AI is hugely disruptive to education and content generation - Inflation eases, stock market recovers - A Twitter alternative breaks through. - One of the big tech companies joins the fediverse (Microsoft most likely) - TikTok starts to falter - additional regulation, banning, lack of profitability and decline in popularity take a toll - A fully autonomous drone is used in combat (edit: sou…

- An autonomous drone is used in combat

- Chinas ascendancy slows, Xi’s popularity wanes

- someone “marries” their virtual partner

I'm pretty sure all three of these have already happened.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#63

Post by sinlar-multiple »

azan_ wrote: post #47
sinlar-multiple wrote: post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>muh climate crisis Keep looping the same rhetoric over and over again, I'm sure it'll make a difference like it did when you people started doing it 50 yrs ago

What do you mean? Do you think that measurable increase of global temperature is a rhetoric and not a fact?

No but I think said increase is hardly influenced by human activity and is instead part of a cyclical behavior of Earth, which has been reconstructed by several studies (by reputable institutions I should add)

I'm fairly certain the biggest threat that human industry poses is the chemical and polymer poisoning of the environment.

Rising temperatures are only of concerns in the view that planetary conditions should be perpetually optimal for human comfort, which is a pretentious and unrealistic though process

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#64

Post by febin »

1. Chat GPT3 or Similar Tech Enabled Personalised Social Engineering Attacks From Stolen Data.

2. A new social network will rise that will have an explosion of reels made from Stable Diffusion tech.

3. Apple creating a dedicated program to encourage developers to build apps leverage M1/M2s GPU Capabilities.

4. Reserve Bank of India creating a CDBC enabled savings account program to allow citizens to hold money without intermediary banks.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#65

Post by hutzlibu »

birdymcbird wrote: post #15

- More gentleman layoffs at Google - At least 2 rounds of hard layoffs at Amazon, plus gentleman layoffs. No more Bezos billion dollar Prime Video projects. Shedding at least 10-12% of white collar work force to signal to the market they’re trying to prop the stock - The economic hard landing - Disney stock will fare much better under Iger - Additional rate hikes from the Fed, at least 100bps but maybe 150 - Twitter…

"but increasing probability Russia uses a tactical nuke in Ukraine."

Not likely. They would have nothing to gain from it. In their narrative, they are protecting the ukrainians ( which are actually russians, whether they want or not) from the fascist ukrainians. Nuking russian soil does not go together with this and Putin struggles already to not loose his base. And any military advantage this would gain, would be offset by massive upscaling of international aid. Also the russian army is in no shape anymore, to fight in fallout areas.

I expect a stalemate at the current frontlines, with not much changes in the long term.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#66

Post by phtrivier »

jensneuse wrote: post #26

It's very interesting to go to last year's predictions ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 ) and search for the word "Russia".

My general prediction is :

- next year will be a mixture of things continuing to happen as before, and completely unexpexted events (that will actually play out similarly than previous events, but from a while ago.)

- There will be strikes in France,

- coups in south America and / or Africa,

- very few plane crashes, an awful lot of car accidents

- and maybe a rocket malfunction.

- War in Russia will go on. (Apparently, half of all wars last more than a year :/ [1])

- A next wave from Belarus is almost a sure thing. Not sure why it would work better than last one.

- I don't know where it would make sense military wise for Russia to drop a tactical nuke. They will do if they find out.

- The first power cut in a major European country will change the game as far as public support goes.

- But gouvernements don't need public support to send weapons, they need industrial capability, so they will keep doing it.

- Also, famous people will die in January / February. (because babyboom + life expectancy + winter)

- Summer will be on average hotter than summers from the last decade.

- Except during my holidays, where it will rain cats and dogs.

- Finally, the year will end in December (high probability, high confidence)

[1] https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-does-it-end-what-past-wars...

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#68

Post by hakanderyal »

- AI will progress faster.

- OpenAI will get at least one more big competitor.

- Ukraine war will continue, but it’ll be mostly forgotten by masses.

- React will continue to grow.

- Twitter won’t explode and will grow more with someone else at the helm.

- Remote work will continue to grow.

- Global economy will worsen.

No crazy ones here.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#69

Post by dmak »

coldlight wrote: post #61
dmak wrote: post #55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's just my personal opinion. When you learn React with JSX, you just need to know JS and everything else is pretty much predictable. Whereas in Vue, you have to learn JS and all the declaration markups of Vue (ex, v-bind, v-for, etc...); it's less predictable and someone who understands JS would still have to learn those things. Ex, if you knew how to write a loop in JS then you can write a loop to output React com…

Thanks, that's a clear and thorough explanation. Enjoy your Christmas!

You're welcome! Happy holidays!

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#70

Post by BerislavLopac »

hikingsimulator wrote: post #51
phtrivier wrote: post #45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> 4.one massive strike in France ala 2018 Gilets Jaunes Oooh, come oooooon... There probably hasn't ever been a single year _without_ something resembling a "massive strike" in France. And we have yet-another-pension-reform coming up. It's like predicting there will be a massive barbecue in Texas :P

I didn't mean just strikes, I said "massive strikes"! :P Burned vehicles, a few hands lost to a police grenade, maybe a death or two. Sure it's a low hanging fruit, but the French executive power has been bypassing parliament with 49.3 rulings for the past year to get unpopular laws and welfare undoings through. Something's gotta break.

I doubt it, Russia can't fund or organise it like they did back then.
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