Earlier quoted context omitted.
I've never understood how stop losses are supposed to help. Traders read heaps of news, do God knows what technical analysis yet simple "moves bit too much in wrong direction" is supposed to be an acceptable exit strategy.
Same! When it's $100 I want to buy, but if the price falls to $80 i want to sell. Presumably i bought because I thought it was worth more than $100, it would only make sense for me to sell at $80 for a reason other than the price : fundamentals change, some bad event happening. If the only thing that changed is the price, I want to buy more at $80!
Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
131–140 of 255 posts
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#132Is it surprising that besides Ellison and Wang none of the other inner circle of FTX/Alameda has cut deals yet? There's at least 8 people that were likely aware of what was going on no? See: "Who's Who in the FTX Inner Circle" https://www.coindesk.com/layer2/2022/11/22/the-whos-who-of-t...
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#133Earlier quoted context omitted.
My conspiracy theory is that USDT is actually well backed, but the Tether people intentionally make it look shady so they can buy the dip and arbitrage against panic selling. Some volatility would actually increase their ability to profit.
Their general council, Stuart Hoegner, was head of compliance at Excapsa. Excapsa was the parent company of Ultimate Bet, an online poker site where they created a backdoor so that some favored parties could see their opponents cards. There's a lot of analogs here.
It doesn't stop there: that lawyer at Bitfinex you mentioned was working back then at Excapsa with Dan Friedberg, the top lawyer at FTX.
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#134Earlier quoted context omitted.
To answer that question you first have to figure out who they are. Tether mostly moves around, people don't hold it. That is to say, exchanges like Binance are heavily dependent on USDT. Those are the only venues you as an individual have to exchange tethers for USD (of course this is not the same as a redemption which is solely at Tether's discretion). Why would the exchanges ever come to Tether for the cash knowing…
HN has been talking about how Tether is a scam and how it will blow up AnyMomentNow(TM) for two years. Meanwhile, there was no talk on HN about Luna or FTX being a scam before they imploded. In finance, when everybody "knows" something, it's 99% likely to be false. Because there is a lot of money to be made knowing actual facts in finance.
These things go on for a long time, often in plain sight, so if that's what is making you feel better about it, stop.
On the other hand the Tether folks signed off on the NYAG settlement where they admitted among other things that basically their entire bankroll was in Hoegner's personal Bank of Montreal account for a while, and that for many years the numbers didn't add up in the slightest. Here, give 'er a skim. [1] And when you're done with that there's always the CTFC settlement. [2]
To quote the CFTC settlement:
> In fact Tether reserves were not “fully-backed” the majority of the time. [2]
If this is a witch hunt we found ourselves a coven.
> Meanwhile, there was no talk on HN about Luna or FTX being a scam before they imploded.
Maybe not on HN but among the crypto skeptics, they called it outright far in advance. Everyone here was too busy 'making money' to listen.
> In finance, when everybody "knows" something, it's 99% likely to be false. Because there is a lot of money to be made knowing actual facts in finance.
I mean basically all the things that were alleged for years were admitted in [1] and [2]. You're confused, crypto isn't finance. Crypto is a mob casino.
There is no money to be made in a mob casino by knowing 'actual facts.' Not any more than there was at Ultimate Bet by knowing that people could see your cards while Hoegner was director of compliance at their parent entity. Unless you're the one looking at the cards that knowledge is purely entertainment value.
[1] https://ag.ny.gov/sites/default/files/2021.02.17_-_settlemen...
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#135Earlier quoted context omitted.
But she’s highly regarded! It’s all just a little joke. Check out https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets . Also https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=jg85H26wyLk She certainly earned her sentence, and I have no sympathy for her. But isn’t it hard not to be at least a little impressed with the sheer scale of her losses? Getting in the record books for “most money lost by a single individual” is a hard thing to do in general.
I think Elon threw his hat in the ring for "most wealth lost by and individual in a single year." And I agree, it is a really tough game to play. And now the table stakes are basically unreachable by most.
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#136Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yes it is quite funny when people get surprised that a get rich scheme isn’t real.
Even those who aren't informed enough to know better than to be taken advantage of?
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#137Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think she'll probably do 36 months or so. Not nothing but also not life-destroying.
How are you calculating that?
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#138Earlier quoted context omitted.
My conspiracy theory is that USDT is actually well backed, but the Tether people intentionally make it look shady so they can buy the dip and arbitrage against panic selling. Some volatility would actually increase their ability to profit.
Their general council, Stuart Hoegner, was head of compliance at Excapsa. Excapsa was the parent company of Ultimate Bet, an online poker site where they created a backdoor so that some favored parties could see their opponents cards. There's a lot of analogs here.
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#139Earlier quoted context omitted.
Not particularly strange. There are whole web pages devoted to the "right time of day" to submit something to this site to catch the most early up votes.
Really? I didn’t know that. It makes sense that there would be patterns though.
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#140Earlier quoted context omitted.
HN has been talking about how Tether is a scam and how it will blow up AnyMomentNow(TM) for two years. Meanwhile, there was no talk on HN about Luna or FTX being a scam before they imploded. In finance, when everybody "knows" something, it's 99% likely to be false. Because there is a lot of money to be made knowing actual facts in finance.
Two years is nothing. It took the government 20 years to end the Madoff scam and for many of those years Markopolos was screaming about it at the top of his lungs. It wasn't until his family turned him in that the government acted in earnest - and only because he was about to close up shop and give whatever was left to his family a few days later. These things go on for a long time, often in plain sight, so if that's…