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Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

thetimes.co.uk

181–190 of 205 posts

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#181
post #55
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's also the only scenario that guarantees long-term stability. Also, it's not like we've hadn't been through this twenty years ago already, and the result was quite good.

How does it guarantee long-term stability?

By eliminating the main perpetrator - Russia. Smaller countries are manageable.

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#182

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The people of Russia don't seem to want this war, they are conscripted. (From what I've read from afar.) My understanding of Russian politics is that it is primarily driven by apathy: the population will support what the government does, so long as it doesn't affect them. Russian mobilization is a violation of that tacit agreement, which is why it seems that mobilization is being targeted more at marginal groups wi…

Apathy is one consequence of living in a post-truth society, created out of using decades of gaslighting and disinformation on your own people.

See also: The Russian Firehose Model of Propaganda

https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE198.html

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#183
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The Russian economy peaked in 2013 and has been going down hill since then Do you have anything substantial to back this claim? Cuz to me (actually living in Russia) it seems like exactly the opposite - the economy had been slowly decomposing up until the financial crisis of 2014, when the exchange rates had shifted so that roubles became cheaper. Until then it was extremely hard to build a sustainable business in…

The US likes GDP because it lets us report growth based on all sorts of unproductive financial instruments like interest payments on medical debt.

You're saying the quiet part aloud!

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#185

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe they would. But I doubt they're that suicidal.

Is that a chance you’d be willing to take?

I'd rather not, of course.

My point is only that "Russia would launch nukes" is an overstatement.

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#186
Url changed from https://archive.vn/6EXTd, which points to this. It's ok to post archive links in the comments, but please submit the original source as the story link.

"Please submit the original source. If a post reports on something found on another site, submit the latter."

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#187

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Chop that machine into 4 or 5 pieces and it's far less scary. Ask the people living on the Borders of Latvia, Estonia or Georgia what they think of that. These warlords won't respect borders. >even if they are capable of using them, they are at a more precarious position than eg. Putin at the helm of Mighty Russia. I think they have even more incentive to use them, far less consequences if they do. Losing your posit…

Milosevic of Serbia was taken to court. Gaddafi was captured and killed before any court could protect him. Putin is never going to stand trial, unless somehow Russia rats him out (but I struggle to imagine that). Smaller dictators can do less harm, not more.

>Putin is never going to stand trial, unless somehow Russia rats him out (but I struggle to imagine that).

I'm sure Serbs and Libyans had said the same about Milosevic and Gaddafi for years before they were removed from power.

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#188

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I will reiterate. Baltic states, Poland, Ukraine, Georgia, are constantly harassed and reminded that Russia doesn't really see them as sovereign states. They fly bombers into their airspaces (oops), deploys military manoeuvres at their borders, rambles about aiming their nukes at the capital cities. It actually invaded Ukraine for the second time in a decade! And even as this is all going on, Russia happily says, "he…

> They fly bombers into their airspaces (oops), deploys military manoeuvres at their borders, rambles about aiming their nukes at the capital cities. Your argument would be valid, if this was something exclusive to Russia, and not a common mutual thing between Russia and NATO. NATO bombers just as well fly into Russian airspace, NATO deploys military manoeuvres at Russian borders, and NATO states politicians are just…

>NATO bombers just as well fly into Russian airspace

What's the source on that claim?

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#189

Call it what you want. Russia is switching from export to internal consumption. Getting something like 30 years mortgage on house, was unheard of until recently. If West can run quantitative easing for 15 years, why not Russia?

Because the US dollar is the reserve currency of the world. This won't work if you're an isolated economy with a barely traded currency.

Some people argue if the US were to lose its reserve currency status, this is likely how it would start. Nations doing QE, against a tightening dollar, and starting to seek doing international trade in currencies other than dollars. Russia is doing this now. China is also seeking to do the same with Saudi Arabia (https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/dollar-...).

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#190

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> They fly bombers into their airspaces (oops), deploys military manoeuvres at their borders, rambles about aiming their nukes at the capital cities. Your argument would be valid, if this was something exclusive to Russia, and not a common mutual thing between Russia and NATO. NATO bombers just as well fly into Russian airspace, NATO deploys military manoeuvres at Russian borders, and NATO states politicians are just…

Russia has, in my lifetime, conducted no fewer than five invasions, all of which could be fairly characterized as driven by naked territorial aggression ("this land deserves to be ours"). In the same time, the US has invaded three times, none of which could be characterized as naked territorial aggression, even if you squint at it really, really hard.

I don't see how is this possible, are you counting each operation as a separate "invasion" so you get two invasions in Ukraine (2014 and in 2022) for Russia, then I imagine Syria and Georgia? But what is fifth - is it Transnistria/Abkhazia/Ossetia in 1990s? Then the US had 20+ invasions in the same sense (Yugoslavia, multiple ops in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen, and various countries in Africa) over your lifetime.
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