Live data from Hacker News

Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

thetimes.co.uk

21–30 of 205 posts

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because nukes. If Ukrainians push into Russia (which to be clear, they can’t for many other reasons aside from weapons), Russia would launch nukes and that could make the entirety of Europe uninhabitable for centuries.

Maybe they would. But I doubt they're that suicidal.

Is that a chance you’d be willing to take?

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because nukes. If Ukrainians push into Russia (which to be clear, they can’t for many other reasons aside from weapons), Russia would launch nukes and that could make the entirety of Europe uninhabitable for centuries.

>Because nukes. If Ukrainians push into Russia (which to be clear, they can’t for many other reasons aside from weapons) So this is like Vietnam (can't go into Cambodia or China) but with much larger counties? (To vastly oversimplify) (And sorry, I've been avoiding the news of the war since it's stressful)

No, I wouldn’t say so. Invading Russia is not on the table at all for anyone.

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#24

As a Ukrainian, good! This war should have a long cost to Russia. They are certainly causing long term damage to Ukraine by destroying Ukrainian culture where they can, using rape as a widespread war tactic, and relocating Ukrainian children to Russia “for their own good” (see any recent ISW report for details). Having said that, the real thing that appears to have happened in this war is that Putin is a KGB stooge,…

Question: Are there plans to get hostages in russia to get your citizens back? After all there are citys beyond the border?

Not that I am aware of. Children being relocated are being adopted into Russian families, they aren’t treated as hostages.

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#25
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's millions[1] between the number the have been drafted and the number that have fled, and that's taking the Kremlin at their word about how many people they drafted. Also Russia has a brewing demographics collapse, similar to what Japan is experiencing. This is going to royally fuck them for the next 50 years. I think the Ukraine invasion might be the beginning of the end for Russia as we know it, I wouldn't be su…

A disorderly failure of the Russian state is pretty much one of the nightmare scenarios.

Depends to whom.

To countries far away, but wary of, dunno, nukes going into the hands of terrorists, sure.

To countries bordering Russia who are intimidated and threatened (or invaded!) on a continuous basis, this is a definite improvement.

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#26
post #11

One reason that sanctions haven't had an apparent immediate effect is that the Russian economy was already in a slow downward spiral. The Russian economy peaked in 2013 and has been going down hill since then. The Russian society has already been hardened by these 9 years of "hard times" and not to forget the much harder times in the 1990s. Another reason is that Western companies stopped their sales in Russia while…

It would be so fun to be in IT in Russia right now. Software and film piracy is now completely legal because, if they aren’t selling it, it’s not theft. I could put pirated Windows on every workstation with no fear…

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Because nukes. If Ukrainians push into Russia (which to be clear, they can’t for many other reasons aside from weapons) So this is like Vietnam (can't go into Cambodia or China) but with much larger counties? (To vastly oversimplify) (And sorry, I've been avoiding the news of the war since it's stressful)

No, I wouldn’t say so. Invading Russia is not on the table at all for anyone.

I'm not saying they should, I'm picturing a situation where troops enter Ukraine then retreat to safety repeatedly.

I'll shut up now, I try to focus on policy positions, not the positions of troops :-)

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#29
post #11

One reason that sanctions haven't had an apparent immediate effect is that the Russian economy was already in a slow downward spiral. The Russian economy peaked in 2013 and has been going down hill since then. The Russian society has already been hardened by these 9 years of "hard times" and not to forget the much harder times in the 1990s. Another reason is that Western companies stopped their sales in Russia while…

It would be so fun to be in IT in Russia right now. Software and film piracy is now completely legal because, if they aren’t selling it, it’s not theft. I could put pirated Windows on every workstation with no fear…

Except for the fact that most pirated copies out there contain rootkits.

Re: Russia’s apparent resilience is being kept up by policy tricks and cash

#30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, I wouldn’t say so. Invading Russia is not on the table at all for anyone.

I'm not saying they should, I'm picturing a situation where troops enter Ukraine then retreat to safety repeatedly. I'll shut up now, I try to focus on policy positions, not the positions of troops :-)

Ah that. Sort of. Ukraine has carried out a few deep strikes inside Russia so far. Military targets are not off limits even hundreds of miles inside Russian borders. But a ground assault is a different thing because then yes Russia can claim that it is being invaded and resort to nukes. But this also isn’t necessary to win the war.
Post reply on HN