Great news for the US. Great news for Apple, AMD, and Nvidia. Not so good news for Taiwan. The fact that the whole tech world is dependent on chips produced in Hsinchu is a huge advantage for the safety of Taiwan. Moving the fabs and talent further away from the island will not benefit the people of Taiwan at all. TSMC with its global influence has been a huge factor for guaranteeing safety of the island and peace in…
It is categorically NOT a huge win for the stock. This is all happening because of US subsidies. The US has more expensive workers who are overall worse at the job and don't have the expertise to be compete with the people in Taiwan. The subsidies only make this a viable option for political reasons. The decision to create a fab in Arizona is strictly speaking unprofitable and essentially a economically irrational mo…
TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia
281–290 of 543 posts
Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia
#282Earlier quoted context omitted.
It is categorically NOT a huge win for the stock. This is all happening because of US subsidies. The US has more expensive workers who are overall worse at the job and don't have the expertise to be compete with the people in Taiwan. The subsidies only make this a viable option for political reasons. The decision to create a fab in Arizona is strictly speaking unprofitable and essentially a economically irrational mo…
The “various reasons we all know about” I’m guessing are: theft of intellectual property, theft of the technology and skills. I wonder if Arizona US will be an easier espionage point than Taiwan for China to exfiltrate the tech.
The main reason is the looming threat of invasion of Taiwan from China. Such an action is catastrophic for Taiwan and the US. I thought this was obvious. Guess not.
The US is an easier espionage point for the US to steal technology from Taiwan. Most likely it will happen. But simple espionage isn't enough for this technology to fully transfer. The expertise and knowhow is just too challenging.
Do not let your patriotism blind you from the moral grayness that operates within the US as well.
Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia
#283Earlier quoted context omitted.
It is categorically NOT a huge win for the stock. This is all happening because of US subsidies. The US has more expensive workers who are overall worse at the job and don't have the expertise to be compete with the people in Taiwan. The subsidies only make this a viable option for political reasons. The decision to create a fab in Arizona is strictly speaking unprofitable and essentially a economically irrational mo…
The “various reasons we all know about” I’m guessing are: theft of intellectual property, theft of the technology and skills. I wonder if Arizona US will be an easier espionage point than Taiwan for China to exfiltrate the tech.
For a US company, probably. They seem to pick up Chinese Ph.D.s with ease.
Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia
#284Earlier quoted context omitted.
It is categorically NOT a huge win for the stock. This is all happening because of US subsidies. The US has more expensive workers who are overall worse at the job and don't have the expertise to be compete with the people in Taiwan. The subsidies only make this a viable option for political reasons. The decision to create a fab in Arizona is strictly speaking unprofitable and essentially a economically irrational mo…
Good thing a stock price is about the future growth of a company. Hell, many public companies are valued at billions but still take a yearly loss. They are "subsidizing" their own growth in a sense.
Your post looks like a rationalization of your own purchasing decisions. If this is a correct observation I would self reflect on your own biases.
Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia
#285Earlier quoted context omitted.
Your build quality comparison is off, a cheap $500 laptop should be compared to prior years Macbook Air M1 which is $300 more, not $2000 more. A $800 macbook has far better build quality than any $500 Windows laptop, probably better than most $800 laptops. Its Windows that's the issue for me. Having too many bad experiences and strong bias against Microsoft, I choose Apple because its not MS and it does work vs. tink…
>A $800 macbook has far better build quality than any $500 Windows laptop Took a peak at the apple store, there is no $800 Macbook for sale. So we're comparing, an older (used?) higher-end Macbook to a budget Windows laptop? Why not compare an older higher-end Windows laptop to an older Macbook? Why not compare a new $500 budget Windows laptop to a $500 used Macbook? >Its Windows that's the issue for me. Having too m…
$849
Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia
#286Great news for the US. Great news for Apple, AMD, and Nvidia. Not so good news for Taiwan. The fact that the whole tech world is dependent on chips produced in Hsinchu is a huge advantage for the safety of Taiwan. Moving the fabs and talent further away from the island will not benefit the people of Taiwan at all. TSMC with its global influence has been a huge factor for guaranteeing safety of the island and peace in…
It is categorically NOT a huge win for the stock. This is all happening because of US subsidies. The US has more expensive workers who are overall worse at the job and don't have the expertise to be compete with the people in Taiwan. The subsidies only make this a viable option for political reasons. The decision to create a fab in Arizona is strictly speaking unprofitable and essentially a economically irrational mo…
Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia
#287Earlier quoted context omitted.
The “various reasons we all know about” I’m guessing are: theft of intellectual property, theft of the technology and skills. I wonder if Arizona US will be an easier espionage point than Taiwan for China to exfiltrate the tech.
Espionage is a minor reason. Trivial really. The main reason is the looming threat of invasion of Taiwan from China. Such an action is catastrophic for Taiwan and the US. I thought this was obvious. Guess not. The US is an easier espionage point for the US to steal technology from Taiwan. Most likely it will happen. But simple espionage isn't enough for this technology to fully transfer. The expertise and knowhow is…
Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia
#288Great news for the US. Great news for Apple, AMD, and Nvidia. Not so good news for Taiwan. The fact that the whole tech world is dependent on chips produced in Hsinchu is a huge advantage for the safety of Taiwan. Moving the fabs and talent further away from the island will not benefit the people of Taiwan at all. TSMC with its global influence has been a huge factor for guaranteeing safety of the island and peace in…
TSMC also has a dozen or so fabs in Asia, so it's not clear how the single plant in Arizona is going to meet capacity requirements or how often that plant will be retrofitted with newer equipment.
This plant and the federal subsidies backing it seem more like a way for defense contractors to domestically source relatively recent fab processes over the next couple decades rather than something intended solely for consumer products.
The fact that consumer facing companies are interested in using the fab when it comes online doesn't necessarily mean they'll still be using it 10 years from now unless TSMC keeps it up to date.
Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia
#289Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The fact that the whole tech world is dependent on chips produced in Hsinchu is a huge advantage for the safety of Taiwan. But if they're entirely dependent on the US for defense in case of PRC invasion, is that healthy for the country?
what are the alternatives?
Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia
#290Earlier quoted context omitted.
Thats interesting. My initial thoughts on this came the from the opposite side in terms of Taiwans security. One of the major bounties for invading Taiwan would be in the acquisition and control of their chip manufacturing. Which - as you mention, the entire tech world is dependant on. By moving some of that capability offshore, that incentive is gone. Though I can see it from both sides.
Without the staff from TSMC, the Chinese Government probably can't run those facilities. I suspect there isn't much probability that china could mobilize and take those facilities as-is with no sabotage. The US has taken steps recently to reduce china's ability to make chips domestically. See - https://www.seattletimes.com/business/chip-gear-maker-asml-a...