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Crypto exchange AAX suspends withdrawals

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Re: Crypto exchange AAX suspends withdrawals

#651

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When Ethereum/ another crypto VM becomes fast enough, decentralised applications will be the new iPhone - stuff we can’t imagine will be built there. As far as NFTs, 90-99% of the activity is nonsense, fraud and money laundering, but there are real artists in the space. Whether that’s satisfactory for you is really a matter of perspective.

That was the premise of Solana, but it turns out speed in a distributed system needs some form of centralized coordination.

For now that’s true. I’m not giving judgment on crypto VMs for 10-20-30 years.

Right now 90-99% of the space is scams and nonsense, which happened because of the lack of a regulatory environment. Any smart white collar criminal and fraudster with brains knows they can make millions to billions on crypto and never be charged of a crime.

Crypto is in its ARPANET whatever days. It’s purpose is not fully clear, there are a few usable applications (Uniswap, NFTs, MakerDAO) but really it’s purpose will only be realised when the main snags are solved:

- it needs massive throughput - it needs some form of hack resistance, even if that means the ability to reverse transactions - it needs some form of regulations to avoid rampant crime and fraud - UX/UI need to be dramatically improved (I’ve heard good things about Rainbow and Argent Wallets).

Then user facing applications will show up naturally. You just need it to be able to process some X amount of quantity of transactions, and potentially, reversibility.

Re: Crypto exchange AAX suspends withdrawals

#652

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When Ethereum/ another crypto VM becomes fast enough, decentralised applications will be the new iPhone - stuff we can’t imagine will be built there. As far as NFTs, 90-99% of the activity is nonsense, fraud and money laundering, but there are real artists in the space. Whether that’s satisfactory for you is really a matter of perspective.

The use case is "stuff we can't imagine"?

I can imagine lots of apps, and I also think lots of currently centralised apps would be replicated in crypto VMs, when they become fast enough.

But even talking about Uber on chain or Airbnb on chain is silly right now, since the whole space is yet again on “collapse” days.

I wouldn’t judge crypto for 10-20-30 years. I think we’re on the ARPANET days, and even suggesting Amazon would get you laughed out of the room.

Re: Crypto exchange AAX suspends withdrawals

#653

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Imagine someone told you in 1989 when all the internet did was email and ftp, that the internet was going to do a lot of other things but they didn't really know what yet.

There was still plenty that could be imagined in 1989 that the Internet could be capable of - there was none of this "it is just too unimaginable to even consider" nonsense. E.g. there were plenty of dialup BBS services and things like Prodigy with GUI, chat, etc. in the 80s. It wasn't that much of a great leap to see how moving those types of things from proprietary networks to the Internet would occur.

DAOs are fantastically interesting and if you look into the ones that work, Vitalik’s ideas for Quadratic Voting, there’s a lot toucan imagine could happen there.

DAOs and NFTs are already incredible in my view, they are just in pre-alpha stage and everything is kind of a mess. But people see the pre-alpha and goes “this will never work”. I really disagree. I see for instance how DAOs and blockchain could help developers receive compensation for commits to open source software, creating a possibility for the commercialisation of open source that competes with even large companies. I know people who looked into this. And I hope it happens.

It would dramatically change the incentives if you could get as much or even more money from open source software as a developer, and even more so if you could colect royalties for your work wherever it’s used. The entire digital economy would change if you could have open source software that’s fully open, permission less and paid for.

Re: Crypto exchange AAX suspends withdrawals

#654

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You're guaranteed to get your money back from an Overnight loan to the Fed. (literally a 1-day loan to the USA's central bank). Well, then those loans are also risk-free, right? Because they are also financed by increasing the money supply and the Fed can't spend the money that was loaned to them. But normal loans and bonds are not risk-free, they have a default risk. Which is the entire reason why when you loan yo…

Frankly, I see no contradiction, with what I said in any of my posts. Could you lay out more clearly where you think a contradiction has occurred?

> Frankly, I see no contradiction, with what I said in any of my posts. Could you lay out more clearly where you think a contradiction has occurred?

Sure. You said (in the context of talking about Binance and Coinbase):

> Everyone in the cryptocoin world is doing this "staking" == crappy loans / bonds business.

This phrase, in the context of the news we're discussing (about suspending withdrawals), implies that Coinbase and Binance are also incurring in a risk of suspending withdrawals because they might run out of liquidity due to staking (which you said is equivalent to a "crappy loans / bonds business").

However, staking is not equivalent to a "crappy loans / bonds business".

To argue that point, someone said that "Staking is not a loan", implying that unlike loans you can't lose money because of staking, but you said "it's totally a bond" because, I suppose, you're not allowed to get the money back until a certain time.

However, I think that you are missing the fact that unlike with loans and bonds, there is no risk of running out of liquidity because of staking.

If Coinbase and Binance were operating a real loans and bonds business (like banks do), and suddenly all customers demanded their deposits back, these exchanges couldn't force the borrowers to pay back their loans/bonds immediately so that they could fulfill the withdrawal demand. Not to mention that if the borrowers went bankrupt, the money would be lost, which would lead to Coinbase and Binance potentially losing customer funds, also becoming bankrupt and suspending withdrawals.

This seems to be more or less what is happening with some of these exchanges that are running out of liquidity, because they seem to be essentially gambling with customer funds.

But I think in staking it's completely different, because, as I argued, in staking there is no risk that borrowers go bankrupt and default on the loan/bond, as there are no borrowers. Instead, the yield is financed through inflation and the staked coins remain your property throughout the whole staking process -- nobody can spend them, so there is no risk that they can't be payed back.

And on top of that, customers aren't allowed to withdraw the staked amount until the staking expires, so there is no risk that Coinbase and Binance can't fulfill withdrawals because of staking.

Which means there is no risk of running out of liquidity because of staking.

In fact, coins can only be staked if the customer decides to stake them. Which is also completely unlike the loans/bonds business, which happens behind the customer's back, essentially. The latter leads to broken customer expectations (and ruined lives) if/when the loans/bonds business goes under.

Well, that's my understanding at least, but I'm sure I may be missing some points as I'm not actually an expert (or anything close to it) on staking.

Re: Crypto exchange AAX suspends withdrawals

#655

The warning bells should be going off in the entire crypto sector right now. If you have money in crypto, I'd strongly recommend going off-exchange

And this will be how the cryptocurrency / DeFi world learns another concept of regulated banks: bank run.

Re: Crypto exchange AAX suspends withdrawals

#656
post #149

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Defi is not this. In defi exchanges you place your coins into a smart contract or have them always on your account. If anything a crypto exchange is a misnomer as it's not even needed. The only reason it exists is because smart contracts didn't exist when they first started.

>The only reason it exists is because smart contracts didn't exist when they first started. Calm down. That is not true. Smart contract based exchanges do not let people exchange real money into crypto. There will always need to be offchain exchanges for trading USD for crypto. Additionally, trading off chain is much cheaper than on chain. Centralized exchanges will always exist because people want on / off ramps, pe…

The flaw of BTC: everyone wants to cash out in dollars, euros or Swiss francs. Real money

BTC is barely used as an actual currency to buy things with. I could be wrong but I thought the idea was that you'd be using BTC in daily life so that you wouldn't need to go "off the ramp".

Re: Crypto exchange AAX suspends withdrawals

#657
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Crypto has really only lived in a zero interest rate policy world and it is shitting the bed majorly now when rates are going up. It is likely far from the bottom.

Why do you believe that is the case? How is this hypothesis explained?

Crypto was a play thing for people with too much money that didn't know what to do with it. The money dries up, the only use case for crypto (gambling) disappears.

Re: Crypto exchange AAX suspends withdrawals

#658

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When Ethereum/ another crypto VM becomes fast enough, decentralised applications will be the new iPhone - stuff we can’t imagine will be built there. As far as NFTs, 90-99% of the activity is nonsense, fraud and money laundering, but there are real artists in the space. Whether that’s satisfactory for you is really a matter of perspective.

> decentralised applications will be the new iPhone. What makes you think that? Genuinely curious. I can think of lots of reasons that the opposite might be true, so I’m curious as to what my blind spots may be.

It’s a long discussion.

Unfortunately in order to learn about crypto you have to ignore virtually everything that exists in the space right now, since white collar criminals have realised this is a free for all space where they can commit fraud at will and never get charged (with some exceptions).

Really there is only one interesting thing you need to study. And that’s Ethereum. Bitcoin is pretty much stuck in the past and it’s a mummified open source project imo. And all the other interesting chains are just Ethereum clones with some changes - Polkadot, Algorand, Tezos are perhaps the very few that matter. But everything comes from Ethereum, and if you study and earn about ETH you will understand the whole space.

So look at the interesting ideas and read the books from the good people who’ve done their research - Cryptopians came out recently and that’s a good one even though I haven’t read it I trust Laura Shin (her podcast is also excellent ). Out of the Ether is also good.

But here are some thoughts:

- DAOs are already working in making fully decentralized open source dev collectives and rewarding them for work done. See MakerDAO

- dapps running in cryptoVMs can be made to run at no cost to the developer. That’s pretty cool, since a lot of the “moat” that Uber, FB and Twitter build is two-fold - first they own your data, then they build giant infrastructure to serve you the app. With crypto VMs you don’t need this - people pay for usage. If you could figure out an algorithm that’s better than Uber’s at allocating people who want to drive point to point, you don’t need to go “oh well I guess I go fund raising to build the infra”. Crypto VMs give you that for free, since the user pays for the usage of the application in the transaction.

- decentralised applications can be made safely, even though again they are hard to make and lots of them are just copy paste by fraudsters and schemers (and inevitably get hacked). Uniswap, Compound, Lido, Curve Finance. There are multiple dapps that have never been hacked as far as I know.

- Gitcoin is already quite an incredible little way to fund projects, I believe it’s implemented some form of Quadratic Voting, which Vitalik Buterin has talked about

- NFTs actually work - in the sense that there are real artists building communities and selling their digital art (not monkey pictures) I know of multiple artists who quit mind numbing work at big Corp and became quite successful in NFTs. Again 99% of the space is money laundering, fraud, wash trading - but so is real art (the idea that NFTs are special in that regard is a fiction only someone who hasn’t interacted with the “art world” can hold).

I can go on but illl have to think. But DAOs, NFTs, decentralised VMs with immutable data are pretty cool already. The reason I say I can’t predict what’s going to happen is because even being a digital artist myself, I had no idea about NFTs. And when I discovered them I was blown away. The possibilities that NFTs open up as a digital artist are pretty incredible - you could in theory make “designer levels” for Mario Maker and sell only 7 copies of the map! Making it a collector’s item. And you would colect royalties forever on chain if people sold your map to each other. That’s pretty cool and just couldn’t be done before.

So I have no faith in my ability to predict the future, but I like the internet better with DAOs and NFTs, instead of likes and digital feudal lords who own all your data.

https://overcast.fm/+YVsUUTgOg - the Blockchain Socialist’s interview with Buterin is really interesting, giving you a nice overview of Vitalik’s thinking about the space atm.

Re: Crypto exchange AAX suspends withdrawals

#659

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And that's largely because of the lack of regulation that so many cryptocurrency fans tout. If it's not legally regulated as a currency, or a security, or anything of the sort, then why would it be considered to belong to you, and not Mt Gox, once you've given it to them? All you have is a digital account that's basically the legal equivalent of an IOU on a napkin. Welcome to your libertarian utopia.

> And that's largely because of the lack of regulation that so many cryptocurrency fans tout. In next sentence they will tell you, that you shouldn't have kept the private keys at the exchange. Use your own wallet and keep your copy of the Blockchain.

Your "own wallet" is just a piece of software, so it could potentially steal your "coins" could it not?

Re: Crypto exchange AAX suspends withdrawals

#660
post #637

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Lending money to somebody else It is not a loan! > promise for future returns There is no such promise! It is an alternative to proof-of-work, which requires capital investment to provide security to the network (e.g. purchase and run Bitcoin mining machines). Staking is a substitute for that capital requirement. You are refusing to understand this simple fact. If you loan a business money or buy a government bond,…

> It is not a loan! So lets say I own 10 ETH. Explain to me how I get my staking rewards. Because step #1 involves me transferring that ETH to Coinbase (or some other entity with a large enough ETH basis to serve as a trusted staking entity). That is a loan. I don't own ETH anymore, I gave it to Coinbase. Coinbase creates an "IOU", saying "I promise that dragontamer will get his 10 ETH back", through some system of t…

> I don't own ETH anymore, I gave it to Coinbase.

You DO own the ETH. Regardless of whether you are staking it yourself, or have given it to Coinbase to stake. Similar to how you maintain ownership of your rental property even if you allow a property management company to run it.

This is true if you move your ETH from a self-custody wallet to coinbase (custodial wallet). Either way, you maintain ownership. The tokens earned are taxable as income, just as income from a paying tenant on your rental property is taxed.

Also, the IRS defines crypto tokens as "property." As far as I know, there is no such distinction for bonds or loans.

From https://www.irs.gov/businesses/small-businesses-self-employe...:

"For federal tax purposes, digital assets are treated as property."

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