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U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001

reuters.com

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Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001

#61
post #5

This will pressure prices down presumably which is a good thing for cash buyers but basically no one else.

If it causes real estate to be seen as an investment unlikely to appreciate, whereas higher interest rates make bonds more attractive, then it could cause big money to rotate out of real estate and into other assets whose rate of return is proportional to the interest rates. When it happens, that will be a good thing. But, a lot of pain between here and there.

Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001

#64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

you think people are going to pay mortgages they are massively underwater on? This also ignores the fact that the Fed's stated goal with raising interests rates is to increase unemployment to slow inflation. You are already seeing the results in quarterly financials. Once layoffs start happening people won't have an option but to sell when they can't make payments

Good point, and I wonder if the term "jingle mail" (mailing the bank your house keys instead of a monthly mortgage check) is going to make a comeback.

[deleted]

Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001

#65

I saw someone point out that this interest rate hike will effectively nullify any bubble breaks. House prices could drop over 30% (the amount it dropped in the last housing bubble popping) and the monthly mortgage payment will still be more than it was before. A terrible time to be looking for a house.

A good time to be looking for a house. A terrible time to be looking for a mortgage.

It’s still not a great time to look for a house. Prices have come down some but no where near enough to offset how much they went up by in the first 2 years. I guess if someone’s price anchor has been reset to the new normal, a house now looks great…

Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001

#66

If rates go from a low of 2% up to, say, 9%, then in order to keep the mortgage payment the same, the price of a $400,000 house would have to drop to around $230,000. This assumes a 30-year fixed rate mortgage, and the details will vary depending on money down, etc. but the basic fact remains that house prices will need to fall by a lot, down to levels of 5 years ago or more, before the current interest rate hiking c…

Most of the people I speak to who locked in Current renters will have lower potential to save on a monthly basis, only to get 30-40% off on their first home with a >7% interest rate. If you sum the lost savings from rent plus the additional interest payment, it is uncertain whether that is the best strategy. That is also assuming real estate prices in certain regions wont hold stronger value, which they probably will…

Demand was high. It’s dropped by 50% since the peak with inventory up by over 2x from the low

Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001

#67

Well great. If you didn't buy a house last year, you won't get another chance for 10-15 years.

Prices for homes last year were crazy high, because of the low interest rate. You should have a chance to get a house in the next year or two when prices come down a bit, and then refinance in 5 years.

Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001

#68
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A lot of people simply won't sell in that situation which is going to further constrain supply.

There isn’t a supply issue. There is a corporations buying property issue.

I sometimes hear people say this, but it makes zero sense to me, and I can never get anybody to explain what they mean by it. Could you try to explain how we have enough houses but somehow corporations are the problem?

Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001

#69

I saw someone point out that this interest rate hike will effectively nullify any bubble breaks. House prices could drop over 30% (the amount it dropped in the last housing bubble popping) and the monthly mortgage payment will still be more than it was before. A terrible time to be looking for a house.

A good time to be looking for a house. A terrible time to be looking for a mortgage.

I guess in my mind, short of the ultra-rich (someone with half a million plus in cash) and investment firms, the two are equivalent.

Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001

#70

If rates go from a low of 2% up to, say, 9%, then in order to keep the mortgage payment the same, the price of a $400,000 house would have to drop to around $230,000. This assumes a 30-year fixed rate mortgage, and the details will vary depending on money down, etc. but the basic fact remains that house prices will need to fall by a lot, down to levels of 5 years ago or more, before the current interest rate hiking c…

>I don't think most people who invested in housing in the last couple years, are ready to believe that yet.

Because it isn't going to happen. The people who invested in houses years ago locked in a low interest rate, and will happily just rent them out to cover the cost until they appreciate again.

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