I saw someone point out that this interest rate hike will effectively nullify any bubble breaks. House prices could drop over 30% (the amount it dropped in the last housing bubble popping) and the monthly mortgage payment will still be more than it was before. A terrible time to be looking for a house.
>A terrible time to be looking for a house. This has been a true statement since like, what, 2008?
U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001
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Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001
#52Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001
#53I saw someone point out that this interest rate hike will effectively nullify any bubble breaks. House prices could drop over 30% (the amount it dropped in the last housing bubble popping) and the monthly mortgage payment will still be more than it was before. A terrible time to be looking for a house.
Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001
#54If rates go from a low of 2% up to, say, 9%, then in order to keep the mortgage payment the same, the price of a $400,000 house would have to drop to around $230,000. This assumes a 30-year fixed rate mortgage, and the details will vary depending on money down, etc. but the basic fact remains that house prices will need to fall by a lot, down to levels of 5 years ago or more, before the current interest rate hiking c…
Most of the people I speak to who locked in Current renters will have lower potential to save on a monthly basis, only to get 30-40% off on their first home with a >7% interest rate. If you sum the lost savings from rent plus the additional interest payment, it is uncertain whether that is the best strategy. That is also assuming real estate prices in certain regions wont hold stronger value, which they probably will…
It's cheaper to rent than to buy in many markets and if you own you have to factor in maintenance, property taxes, and insurance. It's definitely not as black and white as you're making it out to be.
Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001
#55Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001
#56If rates go from a low of 2% up to, say, 9%, then in order to keep the mortgage payment the same, the price of a $400,000 house would have to drop to around $230,000. This assumes a 30-year fixed rate mortgage, and the details will vary depending on money down, etc. but the basic fact remains that house prices will need to fall by a lot, down to levels of 5 years ago or more, before the current interest rate hiking c…
A lot of people simply won't sell in that situation which is going to further constrain supply.
Now it we are facing truly cataclysmic long term situation down the road never ever seen before (or at least comparable to 1929) that's a different story, but few insiders believe that now.
Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001
#57Isn't there "midterm" elections coming up in two months in the US? Aren't moves like spiking the rent to induce mass unemployment likely to benefit the Republican party? It can't be a winning strategy.
Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001
#58Isn't there "midterm" elections coming up in two months in the US? Aren't moves like spiking the rent to induce mass unemployment likely to benefit the Republican party? It can't be a winning strategy.
I'm sure the Democrats are not crazy about higher interest rates (although inflation is also bad politically), but they don't have control of the Fed, at least not in the short term.
Re: U.S. mortgage interest rates jump to 7.16%, highest since 2001
#59I saw someone point out that this interest rate hike will effectively nullify any bubble breaks. House prices could drop over 30% (the amount it dropped in the last housing bubble popping) and the monthly mortgage payment will still be more than it was before. A terrible time to be looking for a house.