What is the difference between 'invest' and 'gamble'?
Ask HN: How to deal with markets down turn? Feeling down
121–130 of 228 posts
Re: Ask HN: How to deal with markets down turn? Feeling down
#122I am not a financial advisor, but I think markets are far from bottoming out. NASDAQ touched the resistance line, if it breaks it, we will go down even more. I also have multiple stocks that are >50% down, but if the fundamentals of the company has not changed since you invested when the price was higher, why not to buy it cheaper with discount to DCA. As for me, in this market turmoil I just keep saving cash for the…
Are you in aggressive short positions?
I do not have any short positions. Mainly investing in long term positions and sometimes speculation.
Re: Ask HN: How to deal with markets down turn? Feeling down
#123In January 2021 the market seemed overheated so I mostly cashed out, and sold a lot of my 401K stock, putting it into safer assets. From May to September as tech indexes got cheaper I began buying them up in my rollover IRA. Two and a half weeks ago I started loading up on tech indexes with my spare liquid assets - I am down about 2.3% on that right now. I still have some spare liquid assets, but it's easily possible…
Timing the market is luck :) If you want to be wealthy stay in it and wait 30, 40, or 50 years. It isn't a get rich quick scheme.
As there is one good saying in investors community: Time in the market beats timing the market.
Re: Ask HN: How to deal with markets down turn? Feeling down
#124What is the difference between 'invest' and 'gamble'?
Being more methodical than emotional?
https://www.alphagamma.eu/finance/making-safe-investment/
Smaller historic alpha or standard-deviation?
Re: Ask HN: How to deal with markets down turn? Feeling down
#125> Market is collapsing. If you are not retired, then markets being down are a good thing, because everything is "on sale" / at 'discounted' prices. At least for the US† (S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russel 2000), the historical 1-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year returns after a 25% drop are quite good: * https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/10/getting-long-term-b... If you've been foolish enough to cash out—which should really never been…
I started investing during this downturn. I'm investing for 30 years. Either this is the end of the world as we know it and my money is going to be worthless or it'll be fine over 30 years.
Re: Ask HN: How to deal with markets down turn? Feeling down
#126Well, I got laid off this week, so I win.
Re: Ask HN: How to deal with markets down turn? Feeling down
#127first time?
don't worry it's only money
Re: Ask HN: How to deal with markets down turn? Feeling down
#128Earlier quoted context omitted.
Can you expand on this? What do you mean when you say that the cost of capital will triple over the next decade?
The US population pyramid is no longer a pyramid, and neither are those of most of the rest of the world. Not having to pay to raise a larger generation created a golden age that's lasted thirty years. It's now time to pay the piper. https://i.imgur.com/iUYcuTQ.png
This model is not consistent with what we've seen in Japan over the past several decades.
Re: Ask HN: How to deal with markets down turn? Feeling down
#129Earlier quoted context omitted.
What was your motivation to invest in such a way that 95% loss was even possible?
To make money, why else? Look folks, this wasn't my retirement money, it was money I didn't particularly need and had no idea what to do with. It always worked for me before. My investing history is a long string of huge successes beginning in 2014. I've always invested in companies I believed in and that had solid fundamentals. It appears the market doesn't give a shit about company fundamentals right now. Most smal…
which companies @jeremyt are marked below liquidation value
Re: Ask HN: How to deal with markets down turn? Feeling down
#130Be aware that: 1) we're likely in a declining/sideways market for at least another year until inflation subsides, possibly longer 2) the Fed has most of the control over the inflation/deflation levers (on demand side) 3) markets will most likely recover over the long term, historically speaking The Fed is purposefully reducing their asset holdings and increasing interest rates to slow down demand, which in theory sho…
1) we're likely in a declining/sideways market for at least another year until inflation subsides Gonna be a lot longer than that, at least as far as inflation goes. Q3 2022 is the median date for retirement of the largest generation, the Boomers. When they retire they take their capital with them. Expect the cost of capital triple for at least the next decade.
> Q3 2022 is the median date for retirement of the largest generation, the Boomers.
Just to nitpick: the largest generation is the millennials, not the boomers.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/797321/us-population-by-...