Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months • Hacker News Board

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#101

Post by pbz » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 6:19 PM UTC

slg wrote: post #78

citilife wrote: post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> This could be considered a good thing. Lower wages, lower job mobility, asset deflation, consumable inflation -- YAY! ...

It is still wild to me that this is the approach we are taking, things are getting too expensive so let's shrink the economy. That can't be the best solution. We are throwing the baby out with the bathwater.

It's the only way we know of to stop greed/fomo running rampant. Folks need to be put in a time-out to cool off and force them to reprioritize. We like to think of the market as this calculated and rational entity. It's far from that, in fact it's closer to the opposite of that. The other option is to do price control, but that won't fly in capitalism.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#102

Post by [deleted] » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 6:20 PM UTC

citilife wrote: post #52

battery_glasses wrote: post #38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This could be considered a good thing. The whole point of increasing interest rates is to lower business investment and consumer purchasing power, which is what we need to do to combat inflation (or magically fix all supply chain issues.)

> This could be considered a good thing. Lower wages, lower job mobility, asset deflation, consumable inflation -- YAY! ...

[deleted]

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#103

Post by User23 » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 6:20 PM UTC

battery_glasses wrote: post #38

harryvederci wrote: post #23

I don't know the intention of the author, but I see like a lot of "Look, it's happening! The economy is going down!" posts pop up these days. Which may be true, but it can also be a self-fulfilling profecy if everyone is doing that on all platforms. Which would be a shame. I'm not saying HN and other platforms should censor (/ take action) either. It's just a thought I have on this subject, and I don't know if there…

This could be considered a good thing. The whole point of increasing interest rates is to lower business investment and consumer purchasing power, which is what we need to do to combat inflation (or magically fix all supply chain issues.)

Another option for lowering inflation is increasing productivity to allow the same amount of money to chase more goods and services, thus resulting in lower prices.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#104

Post by gorbachev » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 6:20 PM UTC

Any analysis such as this should account for seasonality and/or some sort of trending.

Not saying the results would different, but just comparing arbitrary dates for this sort of data is not going to give you data to derive any meaningful conclusions.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#105

Post by minimaxir » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 6:21 PM UTC

dandigangi wrote: post #100

Minor but I wish it got posted only on business days when it falls on a weekend. I tend to wait until the following Monday but then we usually lost in all the other comments.

> This account automatically submits a 'Who is Hiring?' post at 11 AM Eastern time on the first weekday of every month.

https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=whoishiring

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#106

Post by verdverm » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 6:22 PM UTC

dandigangi wrote: post #100

Minor but I wish it got posted only on business days when it falls on a weekend. I tend to wait until the following Monday but then we usually lost in all the other comments.

> A regular "Who Is Hiring?" thread appears on the first weekday of each month

From the FAQ

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#107

Post by giantrobot » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 6:23 PM UTC

kiernanmcgowan wrote: post #47

anonygler wrote: post #37

I feel like people are trying to wish the economy into a recession / depression, but I really don't see it happening. I do see some belt tightening wrt SaaS expenditures. There's still a massive demand for labor. While the housing market has fallen, the actual cost of buying a house is still rising. Rate increases have well outpaced the list price reductions. So I think all this talk of a recession is just a bunch of…

It feels like _something_ is happening, but it's not quite the recession that people are fearing. The US is somehow at the lowest unemployment rates we've seen and people are saying it's all going to collapse which just feels off. If the US hits 5% unemployment that simultaneously worse off than where we are but still a solid economic position. My pet theory is that everyone is just tired, so damned tired, and seeps…

Something that is very hard to measure WRT unemployment is the number of people that dropped out of the workforce during COVID. There's also poor reporting on underemployment. I'm not saying that to say the US is just going to drop into a recession or something, it's just unemployment numbers have always been very loose figures.

We could have low unemployment but high underemployment and end up with a similar softening of consumer demand just because people don't have the discretionary income to buy stuff. Underemployment combined with inflation is extra painful.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#108

Post by NaturalPhallacy » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 6:24 PM UTC

harryvederci wrote: post #23

I don't know the intention of the author, but I see like a lot of "Look, it's happening! The economy is going down!" posts pop up these days. Which may be true, but it can also be a self-fulfilling profecy if everyone is doing that on all platforms. Which would be a shame. I'm not saying HN and other platforms should censor (/ take action) either. It's just a thought I have on this subject, and I don't know if there…

We're also heading into the holiday season, and notably "Open Enrollment" for health insurance, which is titanic industry who typically freezes their code in September. Lots of companies slack off or halt their hiring, particularly health insurance during this period.

And also all the inflation and recession action going on.

So it's likely a combination of the two.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#109

Post by minimaxir » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 6:25 PM UTC

OJFord wrote: post #7

Who is hiring vs. wants to be hired (top-level) post count disparity could be a fun one to track.

Here's the chart for those threads, which isn't too exciting: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kqUnALPvgpM6HiK5s-GP...

Although I'm not sure why 2019 ushered in much better performance on those threads.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#110

Post by NaturalPhallacy » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 6:26 PM UTC

citilife wrote: post #52

battery_glasses wrote: post #38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This could be considered a good thing. The whole point of increasing interest rates is to lower business investment and consumer purchasing power, which is what we need to do to combat inflation (or magically fix all supply chain issues.)

> This could be considered a good thing. Lower wages, lower job mobility, asset deflation, consumable inflation -- YAY! ...

Not to mention the greatest wealth transfer in history from the poor to the rich: https://www.newsweek.com/were-living-through-greatest-transf...