Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#1

Post by trenning » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 5:02 PM UTC

October 2022 - 408

April 2020 - 608

January 2016 - 471

First time the thread has been under 600 posts since January 2016.

Posts still trickle in throughout the month but the first 12 hours is when the majority of posts show up. I'm sure someone could do a more thorough analysis of post count but the overall number is unusually low.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#2

Post by asdadsdad » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 5:09 PM UTC

hiring freeze =)

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#3

Post by minimaxir » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 5:11 PM UTC

Similar discussion a few months ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31675201

This thread by myself contains a BigQuery to reproduce the data + a chart of Who is Hiring posts over time: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31675750

Here's a new chart of up-to-date data: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13yGlJzFpVzZ-WNHAOsdo...

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#4

Post by angrais » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 5:11 PM UTC

Do you have data for the past 12 months rather than only October? That way, we can observe how gradual (or not) the curve was.

All data in CSV format would be ideal if someone has it to share via gist or such.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#5

Post by anonu » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 5:12 PM UTC

Is there seasonality? Like hiring slows down into the end of the year, is my guess. In which case, can you get 10-15 years of HN posts? Then you would need to adjust by user base as well..

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ICNSA Conclusion: not enough data points.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#6

Post by atemerev » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 5:14 PM UTC

Well, third quarter in the row — now it is finally a recession, or what?

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#7

Post by OJFord » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 5:15 PM UTC

Who is hiring vs. wants to be hired (top-level) post count disparity could be a fun one to track.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#8

Post by minimaxir » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 5:15 PM UTC

angrais wrote: post #4

Do you have data for the past 12 months rather than only October? That way, we can observe how gradual (or not) the curve was. All data in CSV format would be ideal if someone has it to share via gist or such.

Here's a chart from the thread I linked above: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13yGlJzFpVzZ-WNHAOsdo...

EDIT: I generated a new sheet for the chart with up-to-date data and fixed a data issue noted below.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#9

Post by angrais » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 5:16 PM UTC

minimaxir wrote: post #8

angrais wrote: post #4

Do you have data for the past 12 months rather than only October? That way, we can observe how gradual (or not) the curve was. All data in CSV format would be ideal if someone has it to share via gist or such.

Here's a chart from the thread I linked above: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13yGlJzFpVzZ-WNHAOsdo... EDIT: I generated a new sheet for the chart with up-to-date data and fixed a data issue noted below.

Does anyone have any idea _why_ there's a peak in Q1 2020?

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#10

Post by vuln » Tue, Oct 04, 2022, 5:17 PM UTC

atemerev wrote: post #6

Well, third quarter in the row — now it is finally a recession, or what?

Nah, that’s how it was defined historically, it has been changed to be defined in another way in order to influence certain demographics.