Tech is reflexive. Since most tech/saas companies sell/support other saas companies, they all go down. Think about all the startups who rely on AWS, Apple computers, and Facebook ads. What happens when they all die? The tech bull run is over, and we'll find out where the bodies lie soon.
Too much cheap money and a grow at any costs mentality has lead to exactly this is problem where every tech company is very tightly coupled with every other tech company.
I'm in the B2B space for one of the many non-profitable, recently IPO'd companies. As far as companies goes, this one is pretty sane. Healthy growth, a product that makes sense, thoughtful leadership. However when I look at our customers the vast majority are small tech startups, many of which will obviously cease to exist in a down turn.
When I look at our spending, it's mostly to other larger tech companies, those big tech companies everyone wants to work for.
But those small startups, that have weird products that don't make sense, price sensitive customers, unsustainable growth and crazy leadership, they make up a huge amount of our revenue. When they start to collapse, we'll have to downsize, both in headcount and in services we pay for. And we won't be alone.
On top of that, I look at my own spending. My other tech friends and I have no problem paying what would have been crazy amounts for services like Door Dash, or a constant stream of slightly over price but so convenient stuff from Amazon. Why not subscribe to another streaming services, it's only $10/month. So many of these direct to consumer companies mostly exist because of highly paid techworkers that have more cash than they need.
I get laid off I'll just pick up my food myself, I'm not going to be ordering everything of Amazon, I'm cancelling all but my most active subscriptions.
There are a lot of positive feedbacks in the current tech ecosystem what will continue to be triggered and continue to bring down the massive, massive tech bubble we're in.