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We don't know how the universe began, and we will never know

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Re: We don't know how the universe began, and we will never know

#561
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

to which the current best though unsatisfactory answer is “because!”

Hawking’s history of time actually anwsers this question with „we don’t know and don’t have any information from before big bang we can access to use in research”.

which means that science then states that T-1 "We have absolutely noe clue and we will never have one"

So a spaghetti god monster could have created it? It could but you would never be able to prove it.

Re: We don't know how the universe began, and we will never know

#562
post #558

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> All I argue is that science doesn't give you one at all. But I have given you examples of arriving at moral rules through arguments that are not based on religious thought. > Proving this would take at least a whole book, maybe more, but such books have been written many times in the past when science vs religion was more topical. Most people don't demand such a book because "science can tell you how to do it but n…

I don't quite see where you provided examples before this comment, sorry, could you repeat them? I looked through the thread and see you asserting we don't need religions anymore, but not where you give concrete worked examples of moral questions and how to resolve them with science. "You can use science to debate if Nagasaki should have been nuked" I'm not really sure how. It would be interesting to see an attempt.…

  > I don't quite see where you provided examples before this comment, sorry, could you repeat them? I looked through the thread and see you asserting we don't need religions anymore, but not where you give concrete worked examples of moral questions and how to resolve them with science.

I gave an example right in my comment to which you replied. Further explanation below. Another example was when al_mandi asked me to give an example how rape can be argued against.

  > This isn't a logical argument from first principles. Harming someone else can very much be in your interest in all sorts of situations. For it to be considered immoral, there must be some higher justification that states that your clear self-interest in harming an enemy is subservient to some other principle.
I think I see where your misunderstanding is. That you can find a specific situation where harming someone else can be in your interest does not invalidate the argument that says so in the grand scheme of things and in most situations. Nearly nothing is absolute.

The same logical fallacy has been shown in this HN discussion about a dozen times.

A general rule can be true even if in a specific case it does not apply. Killing someone in the general case is bad but in specific cases it can be good. Take for example a suicide bomber running into a crowd. That killing is bad in general can be argued for with logic and without resulting to religion. It should be obvious that killing in general will harm your own chances of survival in general. I can deduce that with my own brain and don't need a prophet to tell me. You can ask me to go the full chain of logic back to first principles but you know full well that's a lot to do. Can we see the desire to not get killed as something given not by religion?

For example: if you show that science can not explain a certain thing then that does not mean science can not explain anything at all.

If B follows A then NOT B does not follow NOT A.

A triangle is a geometric shape. It does not follow that if something is not a triangle then it's not a geometric shape.

  > I'm not really sure how. It would be interesting to see an attempt. Note that doing this without relying on ambient moral principles like "killing people is bad" is probably impossible but those moral principles don't come from science, as I point out, hence why I don't see how to do it.
The claim is that morals can only come from religion but I argued and showed that this is not the case.

Your claim is that something ALWAYS applies (e.g. ONLY religion can bring morals). If I can show a single counter example then I invalidate your claim. If I claim that something is true ON AVERAGE and you show one counter example then that does NOT invalidate my claim.

If you say that ONLY a 6 sided dice can throw a 4 and I have an 8 sided dice and throw a 4 then you lose. If I say on average you will roll at least a 2 with your dice then rolling a 1 does not prove me wrong.

  > Claims like "we optimize for a good quality of life of society" don't mean anything concrete. It's just restating a belief that the original position is morally correct in different words. Every tyrant in history has always claimed to be acting for the betterment of society and how can you argue otherwise without some system deeper than "this is morally good because we say it's best for everyone therefore it is"?
This is simple evolution. If we don't optimize for life in our society then we have a clear disadvantage compared to other societies that do so. Animals follow the same and they don't need religion for that.

  > So by analogy it's OK to kill other races but not your own?
No, you again fell into the same logical fallacy. You can see two races as individual members of a larger society. Put random animals from different species into a room and most of them will also not kill each other. That does not mean some of them will not kill the other. And the fact that some will kill the other does not mean they all will do so.

  > But it's an odd argument because it's really common that animals will fight and injure each other within the same species, sometimes fatally. Usually fights over territory or mating dominance. Even in pack animals there are fights over who gets the mates. By coincidence I was at a zoo just two days ago and they had a few cages where there was only a single animal, with an explanation that they had to do this because if they put more than one animal of the same type in the same cage they would fight for dominance. It's normal e.g. the antlers on a deer are for fighting. One of them was a type of crane, and the explanation was that cranes pick a single mate for life and this one had picked "Man", so would fight with any other crane. Animal jealousy!
Some and sometimes. As explained, that does not invalidate the argument. You can't claim that the majority of animals constantly fight within their species.

  > After what we saw in the last two years! Wow yes, absolutely I seriously claim that. The amount of pseudo-scientific garbage that the population swallowed about COVID is just incredible. Claims that fell apart the moment you read the papers or even just thought about them were routinely passed off and accepted by the population because they came from "experts". It is one of the major themes of our age. 
Yea the past two years have been... difficult in many respects. But again, same logical issue. It does not mean that they always blindly believe in all of science.

Re: We don't know how the universe began, and we will never know

#563
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hawking’s history of time actually anwsers this question with „we don’t know and don’t have any information from before big bang we can access to use in research”.

which means that science then states that T-1 "We have absolutely noe clue and we will never have one" So a spaghetti god monster could have created it? It could but you would never be able to prove it.

Not quite. There is still the possibility that at some point in the future we will be able to figure it out unless it can be proven that it is impossible.

The only observation is that currently we don't know. Could it be the spaghetti god monster? Maybe. Maybe not. We simply can't tell at the moment.

There are things we don't know the answer to. We just have to keep looking.

Re: We don't know how the universe began, and we will never know

#564

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why does there have to be time before The Big Bang? IIUC, the hypothesis is that everything was packed into one super-dense black hole. Wouldn't there not be any time?

However, you play around with words the same question always remains what was before. Where did this super dense black hole come from? What caused it to be? What was it before it was a black hole? Our current theories for the origin of black holes as far as I know does not include the spontaneous appearance of a black hole for no reaosn.

  > However, you play around with words the same question always remains what was before.
  > Where did this super dense black hole come from? What caused it to be? What was it before it was a black hole?
These theories are just that - thought experiments to try to come up with possible explanations. They are not claimed as proven or facts.

There are a lot of open equestions. It is work in progress.

  > Our current theories for the origin of black holes as far as I know does not include the spontaneous appearance of a black hole for no reaosn. 
There are actually theories that black holes can form spontaneously. This is because particles are theorized to be able to spontaneously form and under the right circumstances they'd form a black hole. They would most likely though evaporate nearly instantly. But again that is not proven.

Re: We don't know how the universe began, and we will never know

#565
post #562

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't quite see where you provided examples before this comment, sorry, could you repeat them? I looked through the thread and see you asserting we don't need religions anymore, but not where you give concrete worked examples of moral questions and how to resolve them with science. "You can use science to debate if Nagasaki should have been nuked" I'm not really sure how. It would be interesting to see an attempt.…

> I don't quite see where you provided examples before this comment, sorry, could you repeat them? I looked through the thread and see you asserting we don't need religions anymore, but not where you give concrete worked examples of moral questions and how to resolve them with science. I gave an example right in my comment to which you replied. Further explanation below. Another example was when al_mandi asked me to…

Thanks. I wasn't reading all your other posts in this thread. I have now read your proposal for a non-religious opposition to rape.

I'd like to clarify what I'm arguing here. I'm not arguing that only religion can provide a moral code. I don't think I've stated that anywhere. To try and clarify, what I'm claiming is:

- Science is not in and of itself a moral code. NB: science is not the same thing as rationality!

- Creating a moral code as comprehensive and useful as those that religions provide, based on nothing more than logic applied to a handful of axioms (first principles), is really hard. Maybe not impossible! But it's definitely harder than it looks, and this can easily lead to bizarre and destructive conclusions, or arguments that sound logical on the surface but which actually contain fallacies.

You are arguing (I think) that the codes provided by religions are totally irrational and should be discarded. I'm not actually religious but find myself in the Nietzschian camp, thinking that is risky and has to be refined a bit. If you accept the axioms (e.g. that the word of God/Jesus is axiomatically moral, that the Bible records the word of God/Jesus), then the reasoning from that point on is pretty straightforward. And in particular it's fairly complete because the Bible covers how to treat a lot of common situations. We know this moral code sorta mostly works, because it's been around a long time and we have a lot of experience with it. We also know what happened to communist societies that deliberately erased religion and replaced it with Marxist morality - hundreds of millions of deaths, which is why a common American insult to the Soviets in the 20th century was to call them "godless". This is what Nietzsche predicted in "The Will To Power".

"It should be obvious that killing in general will harm your own chances of survival in general ... This is simple evolution. If we don't optimize for life in our society then we have a clear disadvantage compared to other societies that do so."

OK, now we're getting somewhere. This is a Darwinian argument: that which leads to successful reproduction is moral.

The problem is that this justification fails in the case where one side is overwhelmingly strong. If my side knows about guns and has them, and all you have is spears, then realistically I can kill as many of you as I want without any real risk. Moreover I can then move in and take all your land and women, so at that point it's an evolutionary fit strategy to do so. Yet this shouldn't be considered morally OK merely because the risk of dying in return is very low. Indeed, it's critical to have a moral code that doesn't involve relative risks here to stop exactly that genocidal situation from occurring.

"Put random animals from different species into a room and most of them will also not kill each other. That does not mean some of them will not kill the other"

Correct but I've never claimed 100% consistent or even majority behaviour; it'd be irrelevant to my argument to do so. My point is that if you build a Darwinian moral code then there's nothing really wrong with me fighting and killing you. After all, animals do it sometimes. Sure not all the time, and I wouldn't go around killing people all the time anyway for the risk related reasons you previously highlighted. But so what? If evolution is all there is to it then how could anyone tell me not to kill you for moral reasons? The fact that most of the time, animals don't do it? Not convincing.

Re: We don't know how the universe began, and we will never know

#566
post #562

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I don't quite see where you provided examples before this comment, sorry, could you repeat them? I looked through the thread and see you asserting we don't need religions anymore, but not where you give concrete worked examples of moral questions and how to resolve them with science. I gave an example right in my comment to which you replied. Further explanation below. Another example was when al_mandi asked me to…

Thanks. I wasn't reading all your other posts in this thread. I have now read your proposal for a non-religious opposition to rape. I'd like to clarify what I'm arguing here. I'm not arguing that only religion can provide a moral code. I don't think I've stated that anywhere. To try and clarify, what I'm claiming is: - Science is not in and of itself a moral code. NB: science is not the same thing as rationality! - C…

  > I'd like to clarify what I'm arguing here. I'm not arguing that only religion can provide a moral code.
I am sorry if I misunderstoo your position or possibly mixed it up with what al_mandi said. He was the one who stated it is only religion that can give us morals and without it we'd be a barbaric society and living like animals.

  > - Science is not in and of itself a moral code. NB: science is not the same thing as rationality!
I would agree with this. Science uses rational thought to build knowledge about reality.

  > - Creating a moral code as comprehensive and useful as those that religions provide, based on nothing more than logic applied to a handful of axioms (first principles), is really hard. Maybe not impossible! But it's definitely harder than it looks, and this can easily lead to bizarre and destructive conclusions, or arguments that sound logical on the surface but which actually contain fallacies.
I would also agree here that building a moral code from axioms is a lot of work and hard. And it has to be because there is a huge amount of situations in life for which the moral code would need to be queried for guidance. But wouldn't it provide an immense value if we did all that work and it turned out to be workable? The problems you listed exist just as well in moral code derived from religious axioms.

  > You are arguing (I think) that the codes provided by religions are totally irrational and should be discarded
No, I would not say that all of the moral code provided by the various religions are completely irrational and should be discarded. There is a lot of guidelines that I would probably agree with. I just reject some of the axioms like the existance of god. I can agree with a conclusion even if I disagree with how they arrived at said conclusion. Note that I do not claim there is no god. I am not an atheist. But I see no proof for it and we just don't know if there is one or not. It is not proven and it seems not falsifiable.

  > If you accept the axioms (e.g. that the word of God/Jesus is axiomatically moral, that the Bible records the word of God/Jesus), then the reasoning from that point on is pretty straightforward.
I don't accept these axioms.

  >  And in particular it's fairly complete because the Bible covers how to treat a lot of common situations. We know this moral code sorta mostly works, because it's been around a long time and we have a lot of experience with it.
Sure, it might sorta mostly work but at that point we could also have just come up with random moral rules and tried them all over a long time and stuck with the set that sorta mostly works. We would not need to justify them with religious axioms. I think you will agree with me here because you also said religion is not the only way that can provide a moral code.

  > We also know what happened to communist societies that deliberately erased religion and replaced it with Marxist morality - hundreds of millions of deaths,
I don't think the soviet era was following the core spirit of science though. It had a lot more in common with religious doctrine. That they pushed to erase religion was rather a play in order to remove any competing power systems that could endanger them.

  > The problem is that this justification fails in the case where one side is overwhelmingly strong. If my side knows about guns and has them, and all you have is spears, then realistically I can kill as many of you as I want without any real risk. Moreover I can then move in and take all your land and women, so at that point it's an evolutionary fit strategy to do so. Yet this shouldn't be considered morally OK merely because the risk of dying in return is very low. Indeed, it's critical to have a moral code that doesn't involve relative risks here to stop exactly that genocidal situation from occurring.
I have actually already addressed this. Your argument overlooks that the two groups belong to a bigger group which again needs to optimize for survival. If one part of a species kills another part of the same species then the species has weakend itself. This goes all the way up to all living things. It is an often held misconception that survival of the fittest means it has to be a contest where the winner is the last man standing. If we killed every living being that might be a threat to us no matter how remote then that would actually harm ourselves because it destroys large parts of a working ecosystem and would create all kinds of unforseeable, possibly fatal problems. Religion might arrive at a similar view by proclaiming god has declared life sacred because it was his creation. To me, this while being a useful thought can create a lot more issues because it is intellectually lazier and when people don't understand or are even allowed to question "why" then they have a higher chance of applying the rule in a destructive way. One has to be concious that no rule in a moral code must be assumed 100% correct in all situations.

  > Correct but I've never claimed 100% consistent or even majority behaviour; it'd be irrelevant to my argument to do so. My point is that if you build a Darwinian moral code then there's nothing really wrong with me fighting and killing you. After all, animals do it sometimes. Sure not all the time, and I wouldn't go around killing people all the time anyway for the risk related reasons you previously highlighted. But so what? If evolution is all there is to it then how could anyone tell me not to kill you for moral reasons? The fact that most of the time, animals don't do it? Not convincing. 
My previous paragraph gave some more explanation on my point of view. To specifically address your example: you killing me for arbitrary reasons poses a risk to you. Society will see your behaviour as destructive to itself and will try to prevent it or punish you for it. This does not mean that killing is always bad. Killing someone that is about to kill other people for no reason would be justified.

Animals don't have the same cognitive capabilities that we have. Nonetheless nature has baked into them traits that are common and result in a lot of behavior that one could reasonably argue that they must have some kind of moral code as well. Human morals are more sophisticated but there are similarities. Now, we are surely not the be-all end-all of evolution which means our cognitive capabilities are also limited. Maybe in a million years our ancestors will look back and pity us for our limited understanding and poor morals :)

At this point I'd like to thank you for a much more intellectually interesting conversation. I was a bit exhausted after the one with al_mandi.

Re: We don't know how the universe began, and we will never know

#567
post #504

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree it is a simple plausible explanation and Occam's Razor argues that simple explanations are the most likely. So yes maybe it is the most likely explanation. But that is not the same as saying we know it is the explanation. Big Bang itself is a counter-intuitive explanation: Something came out of nothing.

> But that is not the same as saying we know it is the explanation. No scientist says that. If evidence ever comes up against any scientific theory (and that's why we call it a theory) it's readily replaced with the most seemingly correct theory. > Big Bang itself is a counter-intuitive explanation: Something came out of nothing. Can a theory of creation exist that does not involve something coming out of nothing?

Perhaps not. I'm just pointing out we should not dismiss theories simply because they are counter-intuitive.

There is another theory, which says universe expands then contracts, then expands and so on and it has always, always been like that. I understand many scientists today don't vote for that theory but I think it is less counter-intuitive than something coming out of nothing.

Re: We don't know how the universe began, and we will never know

#568
post #504

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> But that is not the same as saying we know it is the explanation. No scientist says that. If evidence ever comes up against any scientific theory (and that's why we call it a theory) it's readily replaced with the most seemingly correct theory. > Big Bang itself is a counter-intuitive explanation: Something came out of nothing. Can a theory of creation exist that does not involve something coming out of nothing?

Perhaps not. I'm just pointing out we should not dismiss theories simply because they are counter-intuitive. There is another theory, which says universe expands then contracts, then expands and so on and it has always, always been like that. I understand many scientists today don't vote for that theory but I think it is less counter-intuitive than something coming out of nothing.

IMHO it is equally hard to wrap our head around the concept of inifity (has always been there) versus there being a start or end to time and space.

It's a bit weird because if we try to think about the end of space our brain immediately asks "well what is beyond the end?" and so implicitly expects there to be more and more - ad infinitum.

But on the other hand if we think about something being infinite then our brain immediately tells us "hold on! that seems fishy, I've never experienced something infinite, it has to start somehow" and so implicitly expects there to be a limit to everything.

Re: We don't know how the universe began, and we will never know

#569
post #554

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Please bring a single proof of god here in your own words. I have already wasted one hour on that video which didn't lead anywhere. That video was a good start, the fine tuning argument, the fact that something cannot come out of nothing, etc. The next step is that when someone claims to have been sent by God, we look at the evidence he brings forth. Prophet Muhammad Prayers of God be upon brought with him signs an…

> That video was a good start, the fine tuning argument, the fact that something cannot come out of nothing, etc. No it was terrible. In another comment I explained why the fine tuning argument has been refuted because there are plenty other explanations. > The next step is that when someone claims to have been sent by God, we look at the evidence he brings forth. Prophet Muhammad Prayers of God be upon brought with…

> You are calling writing a book a miracle?

The Quran challenges anyone to bring something like it. The challenge is open. Seeminly easy right? It's gone unchallenged all these millenia.

> Horoscopes also "predict" the future

No they don't. The prophecies of Muhammad Prayers of God be upon him are extremely nuanced, from things like the emergence of a green Arabia, to the desolate bedouins competing to build tall towers, to naming individuals and their exact spot where they will die on the battle field, to the intricate and nuanced knowledge he had about other traditions while living in Makkah (https://youtu.be/nTsEZXx8kRg). More at provingislam.com

> You are confusing secular people with materialistic people

Materialism as in explaining reality with only a purely materalistic tangible point of view, not monetary materialism.

> The book made him famous, but offended a Muslim priest who ordered the doctor to be beaten over the head with his own manuscript,

Who was that "Muslim priest"? (we don't have priests in Islam by the way). According to wikipedia (to be taken with a grain of salt):

> He spent the last years of his life in his native Rey suffering from glaucoma. His eye affliction started with cataracts and ended in total blindness.[19] The cause of his blindness is uncertain. One account mentioned by Ibn Juljul attributed the cause to a blow to his head by his patron, Mansur ibn Ishaq, for failing to provide proof for his alchemy theories;[20] while Abulfaraj and Casiri claimed that the cause was a diet of beans only

If this indeed happened, he would have had the right to seek retribution from a judge. You failed to show that this is a systemic problem as Europe was in the darsk ages.

> Even police does not dare to confront when there is open illegal behavior unless it is really serious.

What you're describing is not different from what happens in poor ghettos in America. Nothing to do with religion. I'm willing to bet that neighborhood is poor and uneducated.

> This is in Asia btw and the US is not meddling here.

The West has been meddling for a long long time, if not directly, then indirectly.

> That some atheist makes some claims

That's not any atheist. Those are the people claiming "enlightenement" and spearheading the atheist movement like Dawkins and his ilk. The difference is that with atheists, there is no moral compass or ultimate reference or authority to confirm or debate their thoughts. Whereas with a religion, we can go back to their scriptures.

> Not sure where the "chemical scum" comes from?

Stephen Hawking

Re: We don't know how the universe began, and we will never know

#570
post #548

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> That any theory that cannot be proven should not be paid much attention to So we continue to live our life as animals? As I mentioned elsewhere, in Islam, we have logic, observational evidence, and the honest news to get to truth. Disregarding any one of them is nonsensical. > Neither does it make it true. The point is if there can't be proof then it's pointless to think too much about it. Honest news is a source o…

>> That any theory that cannot be proven should not be paid much attention to > So we continue to live our life as animals? What? How does yours follow from mine? I absolutely can't follow your way of thinking. Please explain. We seperated from animals long before religions were a thing. I am not living life as an animal just because I am not a theist (nor atheist). > As I mentioned elsewhere, in Islam, we have logic…

> "Honest news" is hearsay. I can't go and verify any of it. I cannot logically explain any of it even. You are asking me to just believe it is true what someone a millenia ago said, something (miracles) that goes against any real life obvervation I can do. Sorry, not happening.

Look up the Islamic Isnad system.

Furthermore, if that's how you're going to view the world, then you can't accept any news about history. Obviously that is not wise or rational.

> I did so using basic logic and understanding of statistics. Can you tell me where exactly I was wrong?

By assuming there were many "tries" before the current universe came into existence. Who was behind those tries? When was the first try? Those are all metaphysical claims.

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