I had invested in AMD when Lisa Su took over as CEO. I had been keeping tabs on the company for some time. Unfortunately I needed money to cover my basic living expenses and had to sell all my shares about a year later. Even at the time, it was painful because I had spent a lot of time researching AMD and I was very optimistic about Lisa Su based on her background and her tenacity. I could have made maybe 20x on my i…
AMD passes Intel in market cap
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Re: AMD passes Intel in market cap
#112Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The top ten automakers have huge amounts of debt They have huge amounts of debt because they run huge financing departments and therefore also have a huge number of assets on the balance sheet. > Their gross margin on cars is the highest in the industry. They have a completely different sales model, so it's apples to oranges. Most OEMs wholesale cars to dealers, of course those margins will be smaller. > Tesla has…
> They have a completely different sales model, so it's apples to oranges. Most OEMs wholesale cars to dealers, of course those margins will be smaller. Well yes, but they've been successful with this sales model, and sell cars all the same, so that makes them more valuable in comparison.
There's also a lot of super weird dealer kickbacks behind the scenes that can make gross margin misleading for traditional autos, probably in Tesla's favor.
Re: AMD passes Intel in market cap
#113Re: AMD passes Intel in market cap
#114Re: AMD passes Intel in market cap
#115Re: AMD passes Intel in market cap
#116One of the most destructive things you can do to a company is give them a near market monopoly for a while.
Re: AMD passes Intel in market cap
#117Earlier quoted context omitted.
I heard the same arguments when Apple had a hit with the iPhone. The high end of the market is saturated, and soon the competition would bring down the prices. But the price of the iPhone continued to go up. It never stopped going up. Because it continued to offer more and more value. People already see some value in Teslas self-driving technology. And that value will continue to go up for a long time.
>> People already see some value in Teslas self-driving technology. And that value will continue to go up for a long time. Up to the point where you tell your car "Hey, go get me a pizza". You are aware that real self driving(L5) is not possible without some AI breakthroughs, right? All the promises you see from Elon are just pure BS. Your tesla has issues seeing a big truck straight in front of the driver lane so yo…
That's only part of it. It also includes the prestige and social cache. Once upon a time, apple was the same. Me, i don't care, but all the fancy ppl around me, the multi generational wealthy and boomers, can't get enough Teslas. That desire for luxury may wax like apple... or the coming recession may sponch it.
Re: AMD passes Intel in market cap
#118Earlier quoted context omitted.
This is implicit when understanding market cap. Market cap means yes, a certain number of people willing to buy Tesla believe it is worth the combined cap of the next 10 auto makers. It doesn't matter if that is right or wrong, all that matters is that stock traders believe it. If they didn't, the stock wouldn't be that price. That is literally how the stock market / market cap works: if someone will buy it at that p…
> and he likes luxury I would argue otherwise, his movement in the recent past showing.
Re: AMD passes Intel in market cap
#119Earlier quoted context omitted.
I doubt that Tesla can continue to grow 50% YoY as soon as 2023. The Model S, X, and Y are extremely expensive compared to the competition. I’m in the market for an electric SUV right now. The Kia EV6 and Hyundai Ioniq 5 both seem legitimately better than the Model Y, and they are substantially less expensive. The Model Y AWD Long Range is $68,000. The Ioniq 5 SEL is $52,000. Tesla has historically never had to compe…
Tesla has a 20% margin and are still bringing online many measures to drastically reduce their costs. The complexity reduction in the upcoming Model Y's with dual gigacasts and batteries is massive. If they have to compete on price, they will. They know price competition is coming and are planning for it. Mass market was in their long term plan from day one. But they won't lower their price until they're forced too.…
Hard to take this seriously when Tesla has raised their prices multiple times over the past 18 months. Their margins aren't increasing, just their prices.
Re: AMD passes Intel in market cap
#120Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yes, people think Tesla is more valuable than the other car markets combined. I honestly don't see the ICE manufacturers really having an edge when it comes to the future of transportation. If anything, I see them having a huge liability - that is a large workforce to reskill, pensions to pay, antiquitated plants to upgrade/maintain, old supply chains to wind down, new supply chains to wind up - if anything, newer en…
Maybe some people think that, but sometimes people are deluded or simply are investing based on the greater fool theory. The latter reason means that even the market as a whole might not actually believe in the current market cap, in the long term. I'm personally super skeptical of this market cap. I've been renting a Tesla Model 3 the last couple weeks. It's an awesome car that I would recommend to anyone. When you…