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Crypto Winter, or Crypto Ice Age?

technollama.co.uk

41–50 of 167 posts

Re: Crypto Winter, or Crypto Ice Age?

#42
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ethereum’s famously expensive and slow though.

And yet it was faster / cheaper / easier for the OP vs the traditional banking mechanisms. That says more about the US and Canadian banks than anything else.

How did it happen? A country that generates so much innovation and lacks quality in his basics systems.

Re: Crypto Winter, or Crypto Ice Age?

#43
post #13

I live in Canada and recently invested a small amount in a startup via AngelList RUV. There were two funding options: (1) wire transfer, (2) transfer USDC via Ethereum network. One of these options is cheaper, faster, and more flexible than the other. Crypto has long been criticized for being gambling and lacking utility. I think utility is finally trickling in, although currently in limited settings. If you look at…

It's difficult to comprehend just how bad traditional finance is at this unless you regularly experience it. No, I'm not talking about chafing under regulations against doing crime -- the number of unforced idiotic bureaucratic errors is absolutely off the charts, in addition to being very slow and very expensive.

Re: Crypto Winter, or Crypto Ice Age?

#44
post #29
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wire transfers in North America are literally 40 years behind the evolution of bank transfers in EU and UK. Sending money in Europe is free and increasingly often instantaneous 24/7. It will be very difficult for crypto to reach the level of convenience available on unified infrastructure created through sensible regulation. Lacking that, maybe Americans will have to keep settling for all these clunky, incompatible i…

> Sending money in Europe is free and increasingly often instantaneous 24/7. It will be very difficult for crypto to reach the level of convenience available on unified infrastructure created through sensible regulation. Lacking that, maybe Americans will have to keep settling for all these clunky, incompatible intermediated patchwork solutions like Zelle and Venmo and USDC-on-Ethereum and whatever. While true, I do…

While there is value in the avoidance of Anti-Money Laundering and Know Your Customer regulations, it's also not a feature that bodes well for the future lawfulness of the ecosystem.

Re: Crypto Winter, or Crypto Ice Age?

#45
post #13

I live in Canada and recently invested a small amount in a startup via AngelList RUV. There were two funding options: (1) wire transfer, (2) transfer USDC via Ethereum network. One of these options is cheaper, faster, and more flexible than the other. Crypto has long been criticized for being gambling and lacking utility. I think utility is finally trickling in, although currently in limited settings. If you look at…

It is easier for me to call my bank and initiate a wire transfer than it is to transfer money via USDC. I think the assumption a lot of people in crypto make is that everyone has a crypto account/wallet setup.

For those in Canada, the banks and telephone lines were all down at one point. Even if you were on a different internet provider that was up, you bank would still be down.

So the 'call my bank' option won't work here and wire transfer is no different to transferring money in crypto as they are both irreversible.

But I don't know how entering a .eth/.sol/etc address or scanning a QR code to send USDC over is harder than typing in the sort code, account number, IBAN number, etc to do a wire transfer.

Re: Crypto Winter, or Crypto Ice Age?

#46
post #5

Bitcoin is absolute garbage and in theory any critique is good, but it bothers me that half of the points in this article aren't even internally logically consistent: > “Blockchain is just like the early internet”. No, it isn’t. Satoshi Nakamoto’s paper was published in October 2008 ... . Nothing about the original statement is predicated on the age of the tech. Even if it did, I don't see what modern tech corps have…

Regarding (1), the real statement here is, "many of us were there at the start of the Web, it was evident that it was going to change the world, and it was usable from the start." And it's mostly about the the Web (but you may include things like The Well, which were promising from the start.) The point is really about immediately apparent use. And, if you're going to date the Web back to the humble beginnings of ARP…

To be clear, I'm not disagreeing with the intent behind the article, I just think the execution is exceptionally poor. If you're going to argue against something, make your arguments compelling (your comment's first point is, the author's wasn't).

On your second & third points:

2: Improving tech over time is good. Creating perfect tech on day 1 isn't realistic. The early internet was built on a lot of tech we no longer use (or are a attempting to move away from)

3: The "I already have gold but no bitcoin in a time of crisis" qualifier seems odd and contrived. Gold is a resource valued for its scarcity, Bitcoin is an attempt to move away from artificial scarcity of fiat to mathematically guaranteed scarcity. Ultimately they share problems: mining of physical goods is environmentally destructive and tying economic prosperity to inflating resource value based on scarcity instead of utility is also ultimately problematic for society in the long term. So the analogy does work -they're fundamentally very comparable. The primary differentiators are (a) the scale of cryptomining is greater per-unit than for physical resources (+ transactional impact), and (b) Bitcoin's got a whole load of extra bad problems that gold doesn't: e.g. instability.

Re: Crypto Winter, or Crypto Ice Age?

#47
post #22
post #13

I live in Canada and recently invested a small amount in a startup via AngelList RUV. There were two funding options: (1) wire transfer, (2) transfer USDC via Ethereum network. One of these options is cheaper, faster, and more flexible than the other. Crypto has long been criticized for being gambling and lacking utility. I think utility is finally trickling in, although currently in limited settings. If you look at…

Wire transfers in North America are literally 40 years behind the evolution of bank transfers in EU and UK. Sending money in Europe is free and increasingly often instantaneous 24/7. It will be very difficult for crypto to reach the level of convenience available on unified infrastructure created through sensible regulation. Lacking that, maybe Americans will have to keep settling for all these clunky, incompatible i…

But that's the point, crypto is a coordination mechanism that in most cases serves as an alternative when you don't have effective and trustworthy centralized institutions. It's pretty clear that (in this case) European financial regulators did a good job coordinating an effective and efficient electronic money transmission system.

But the whole world is not Sweden. Even in America, which is relatively first world with relatively decent institutions, our regulators failed to coordinate a decent electronic money transmission system. Now imagine being in Turkey or LatAm or Sri Lanka. (Or even just being in Europe and needing to interface with anywhere outside the European utopia.) Agree that decentralized protocols come with many inherent inefficiencies and frictions. But when institutions fail, the only alternative are decentralized protocols.

In many ways I see the pro- vs. anti- crypto division coming down to how much people believe in institutions. Most crypto criticisms come down to an appeal to just focus on building better institutions rather than waste mountains of talent on overly complex decentralized protocols. "Instead of all this on-chain stablecoin nonsense, why don't we focus our efforts on electing better financial regulators, who can bring European like money transfers to North America and eventually the globe?"

Whereas I think pro-crypto people (myself included), tend to think of any attempts to change public policy as /dev/null. Most of the world is saddled with horribly dysfunctional institutions, and it's not easy to fix. I have much more confidence in our ability to engineer solutions than mustering the necessary political and social coordination necessary to fix governments, policy, regulators and institutions.

Re: Crypto Winter, or Crypto Ice Age?

#48
post #5

Bitcoin is absolute garbage and in theory any critique is good, but it bothers me that half of the points in this article aren't even internally logically consistent: > “Blockchain is just like the early internet”. No, it isn’t. Satoshi Nakamoto’s paper was published in October 2008 ... . Nothing about the original statement is predicated on the age of the tech. Even if it did, I don't see what modern tech corps have…

Regarding (1), the real statement here is, "many of us were there at the start of the Web, it was evident that it was going to change the world, and it was usable from the start." And it's mostly about the the Web (but you may include things like The Well, which were promising from the start.) The point is really about immediately apparent use. And, if you're going to date the Web back to the humble beginnings of ARP…

> it was evident that it was going to change the world

That's easy to say in hindsight, but the utility of the internet was debated as hotly back then as the utility of cryptocurrency is today.

> By 2005 or so, it will become clear that the Internet’s impact on the economy has been no greater than the fax machine’s.

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/paul-krugman-internets-eff...

Re: Crypto Winter, or Crypto Ice Age?

#49
post #22
post #13

I live in Canada and recently invested a small amount in a startup via AngelList RUV. There were two funding options: (1) wire transfer, (2) transfer USDC via Ethereum network. One of these options is cheaper, faster, and more flexible than the other. Crypto has long been criticized for being gambling and lacking utility. I think utility is finally trickling in, although currently in limited settings. If you look at…

Wire transfers in North America are literally 40 years behind the evolution of bank transfers in EU and UK. Sending money in Europe is free and increasingly often instantaneous 24/7. It will be very difficult for crypto to reach the level of convenience available on unified infrastructure created through sensible regulation. Lacking that, maybe Americans will have to keep settling for all these clunky, incompatible i…

I think Paypal only got off the ground because the US banking system is so amazingly awful (compared to, say, continental Europe). Somewhat sad that it still seems to be the case.

Re: Crypto Winter, or Crypto Ice Age?

#50
post #13

I live in Canada and recently invested a small amount in a startup via AngelList RUV. There were two funding options: (1) wire transfer, (2) transfer USDC via Ethereum network. One of these options is cheaper, faster, and more flexible than the other. Crypto has long been criticized for being gambling and lacking utility. I think utility is finally trickling in, although currently in limited settings. If you look at…

If you zoom into the right applications, there are use cases that are gaining product market fit.

A CBDC will supplant most use cases for crypto simply by being a practical currency.

What will be left is pretty much what you have now --- criminal activity, anarchist cult and naive speculation.

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