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Tell HN: Job interview canceled due to looming recession

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Re: Tell HN: Job interview canceled due to looming recession

#112
post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Caveat: not an expert. Well, demand is high and supply is constrained. This has caused a spike in inflation. It’s a good question whether interest rates should be used to counter this. In order to counter this interest rates are going up, this reduces the attractiveness of the stock market causing a crash- as you’ve seen in the main indices. But on top of that inflation is high in energy and Putins war is going to sp…

Economists like to say "the cure for high prices is high prices." High prices should reduce demand and also increase supply. I don't see how this necessarily leads to a recession (a contraction in the economy) which is usually caused by fewer people working. We have record low unemployment. A lot of people are just parroting political talking points at this point about the inevitability of a recession, there is no in…

The Fed is going to raise rates until something breaks, and a recession or "hard landing" is just the likely cost to be paid. It's a healthy part of the business cycle, and closer to an intentional policy outcome than something that is just happening out of nowhere. The excesses of the past decade are exemplified by the tech industry and it will likely be disproportionately impacted.

Re: Tell HN: Job interview canceled due to looming recession

#113

I bet the non-profitable, feeding-on-VC startups are getting worried and we'll see more of this. I work at a non-VC-funded, profitable, stable, small place and we're desperately trying to hire. I've never made FAANG/startup income, and I've always felt a little left-out because of that. But we've been stable for nearly 30 years, and have never had the big layoffs or hiring freezes including, dot-com bust, 2008, 2020…

FAANGs are slowing down and freezing hiring too. It's not just startups that are worried.

Re: Tell HN: Job interview canceled due to looming recession

#114

Anecdotally, the recruiter calls surged in the previous few months and have slowed to a trickle in the last couple.

Mine are still off charts. I had 15 reach out today, alone. Currently have interviews at Github, Google, Stripe, and Reddit.

Re: Tell HN: Job interview canceled due to looming recession

#115
post #64
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not sure about other places but MSFT recruitment just reached out to me today.

Every team at MSFT does their own hiring, so experiences there won't be uniform.

Do they literally do the whole hiring process, or do take use a central hiring department to help them. It sounds really inefficient to have every team duplicate hiring personnel? Though of course you need the team to be in control of the process.

Do the teams organise any other company wide functions in that way? Hardware procurement, maybe?

Re: Tell HN: Job interview canceled due to looming recession

#117
Companies are pre-emptively closing open recs for non essential positions. It's a defensive posture to protect budgets, which are going down as the economy winds down.

This could have been prevented, or mitigated, it they'd increased [edit] interest rates 6 months to a year ago as many voices were calling. And we spoke of corporate greed causing inflation rather than money printing. Rhetoric aside, now we're needing to climb down a steeper hill.

Re: Tell HN: Job interview canceled due to looming recession

#119

Anecdotally, the recruiter calls surged in the previous few months and have slowed to a trickle in the last couple.

My anecdata is that it seems tech is where the bubble has bursted, other sectors are still looking for people. It is late state valuation where the squeeze has happened and this has impacted in turn how VCs raise their funds, we could see contagion in other part of the economy but i hear almost nothing in the regular press about this problem (except for inflation/stagflation warnings). Maybe it is wishful thinking on my part but I for one welcome the return of "rationality" to this marked. Everyone was playing fast and loose, AI generated NFT and other BS like that, but as a slow and tight player I prefer it this way.

Re: Tell HN: Job interview canceled due to looming recession

#120
The 2000 recession sucked and lasted a while. I remember Intel was hiring web programmers for $12/hour and were getting swarmed with applicants.

In those kinds of environments, contractors do a little better. Employers are all freaked out, they want to get work done but they don't want to make long-term commitments. It's not until they start making noise about contractors being expensive and wanting to convert you to full-time that you know the recession is over.

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