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Ask HN: WFH – will I be outsourced?

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Re: Ask HN: WFH – will I be outsourced?

#91
post #81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

outsourcing doesnt necessarily mean india/eastern europe. we had great luck with south america and they were able to work the same time. this was a few years ago, the contracting company thought we were a little abnormal at the time, but everyone put on our project went through a regular interview so they were talented, and were treated as a member of the team instead of some remote contractor.

I co-founded a startup as the technical co-founder. Left after a few years. They leaned on a local development shop in the same town. Development shop got bought by one of their clients (not the startup). They found some developers in South America and have been using them ever since. I don't talk to the founder much, but when I do, it is clear they have no problems with remote talent (other than that they'd like to…

> they'd like to hire 1-2 more developers and are having a hard time finding them

Sound familiar? It's surprising to hear this so early in the 'remote-first' trend. I think what we'll find is that actually, there is still a dearth of top software talent (even if you include hiring worldwide). It will probably depress wages some, but not as much as people think.

Re: Ask HN: WFH – will I be outsourced?

#92
On another point, the standards of quality in developing countries where wages are lower are not that great.

For a person in one of these countries, its normal for things to not work. The electricity goes down, the internet goes down. Maybe a government website goes down for an hour each night under heavy load.

We actually have it quite good in the developed world in that we expect most things we rely on to work. An important government website going down for an hour is unacceptable.

Because these things are considered more expected and normal and this type of mindset can creep into the mind of an engineer. If their code breaks or has a lot of bugs, its not much different to what they are used to with the services they rely on every day.

Lets say your orders stop processing for an hour because the engineer didn't follow standards and write tests? You might loose more than you gained in wage savings

Re: Ask HN: WFH – will I be outsourced?

#93
post #61

No better or worse than before, IMO. It's a pendulum that keeps swinging back and forth. Cost cutting leads to outsourcing, which leads to reduced quality and or output, which leads to people coming in to grow and revamp, which comes back to hiring local, rinse and repeat. I'm mostly convinced great and established software engineers around the world already do well for themselves. If you're cheaping out on salaries,…

> I'd much, much, much rather have one proficient, in my timezone developer at 200k. Yes, but do you think you'll get proficient developers on the west coast for just 200k, when unicorn startups and FAANGs pay at least twice that for great people? For the fully loaded cost of one really good developer in the Bay Area (400k) you can get four equally good developers anywhere in Europe (I'm not even talking Eastern Euro…

> For the fully loaded cost of one really good developer in the Bay Area (400k) you can get four equally good developers anywhere in Europe

I think the 'equally good' is the part that I am really unsure of. From personal experience, the difference in competence of my coworkers when I moved from a medium-sized US city to the Bay Area was massive, and I had been working at one of the better/well-respected employers in my old geography.

There's also some research I've seen that supports this on a global level -- see eg https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1814646116

Re: Ask HN: WFH – will I be outsourced?

#94
I think the risk is low, for the following reasons:

1. Many (if not most) companies still prefer even WFH jobs to be in the same or nearby time zones.

2. There are jobs that cannot be outsourced to other countries for legal reasons, e.g. if you have govt contracts, some in healthcare, etc.

3. If your company doesn't already have a legal entity in the other country, then managing payroll is a bit of a hassle.

If your company has not already embraced a globally fully remote culture, I'd say the chances of your job being outsourced are pretty low.

Re: Ask HN: WFH – will I be outsourced?

#95
I think you didn't phrase your question properly.

Outsourcing the workforce is very different from hiring from the global market. Many comments here focus on outsourcing because you asked about it. Outsourcing has been around for a long time. Tradeoffs are well known and some companies still choose it. WFH has little effect on it.

What WFH can change is expanding the job market across borders to the extent that time zone differences allow companies to do so.

Is this a bad thing for employees? Hard to know! All I know is that demand is now much higher than supply in a single market. So companies with a WFH culture can benefit.

I think the smartest thing to do is to use this trend as an opportunity. Work for companies that pay better and live where the cost of living is lower and the quality of life is better.

Re: Ask HN: WFH – will I be outsourced?

#96
post #76

I worked for a company that embraced remote, distributed work long before COVID. WFH doesn’t automatically lead to outsourcing, but it does move it a lot closer. Once the company dynamic has shifted to all communications and interactions being online, it’s very easy to add someone from a different country as long as the time zones aren’t too far apart and the logistics of employing and paying them aren’t too onerous…

The thing I never understood about this argument is that it seems to imply that working from the office makes one immune to the same outsourcing. Maybe it was kickstarted by the pandemic or maybe videoconference/remote tools finally hit the inflection point, but if outsourcing is easy enough now and is really the quality-for-cheap deal it proports to be, nobody is safe. Commuting daily to some horrific open-office an…

Even without outsourcing the existence of the foreign talent opens US companies up to harsh competition anyway.

Re: Ask HN: WFH – will I be outsourced?

#97
If you've worked with any outsourced teams you will quickly learn that while of course your employer can and might outsource you, it is a terrible idea. Such a company inevitably turns into a digital shithole with many barely working components interacting in the most destructive manner possible.

Ask yourself if you work in a short-sighted company that exists only to enrich the next shark in the tank, or a company that is adding anything to the world. If it's the former, don't worry about being outsourced, worry about finding a job that adds something to the world. If it's the latter, you have nothing to worry about.

Re: Ask HN: WFH – will I be outsourced?

#98
post #56

I find it funny that with the WFH movement people some to have forgotten the lessons learned from the early 2000s outsourcing/offshoring craze. Many companies tried to move their development offices offshore to India, Vietnam, Bulgaria, Ukraine, anywhere with significantly cheaper labour. And the first lesson these companies learned was the second you've trained a person from that area to the point that you are happy…

> the second you've trained a person from that area to the point that you are happy, they will quit Isn't this a significant problem with developers in the USA also? I keep hearing the advice to change jobs every year or two in order to keep building skills and compensation.

It depends, a lot of modern companies (perhaps even most) have lost the ability to see workers as people. Turns out when you treat people like objects, they won't like you and will leave the moment someone comes along that treats their "property" better. This is less of an issue for the rare companies that still see you as a person to be investing in.

Re: Ask HN: WFH – will I be outsourced?

#99

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think that example may be more a matter of being separated by a common language (and/or poor written communication skills) than a time zone difference.

Not at all. You can’t document everything precisely when you do new and complex stuff. Sometimes it’s way more efficient to talk to people directly.

[deleted]

Re: Ask HN: WFH – will I be outsourced?

#100
I spent just about 2 years WFH at my job with FedEx, shortly after I left to join TrueNorth they went permanent WFH for my former office, I highly doubt they outsource that.

I'm also WFH with TrueNorth, again I see zero reason why they would replace me. I'm already arguably quite cheaper than people in HCOL cities, I'm competent, I'm proving I can work largely autonomously and deliver quality work and I don't have a job role that simply doesn't require me to be in person for anything, what meetings I do have work fine with Zoom as they often involve screen sharing and might use all of the allotted time or a fraction of the allotted time.

WFH is going to be the new norm going forward for a lot of roles, roles like mine that don't involve a lot of heavy in-person discussion.

Will you get replaced by someone better qualified in another geographic area that may or may not be cheaper? Maybe, but the same can be said for in-person roles you're just competing against a much smaller pool of people for a given role.

Will you get replaced by someone in another country, that can work for a fractional amount of what you can? Probably not, there's a myriad of tax implications as well as time zones and general reliability to deal with. It's much harder to vet people in a country that's going to make economic sense to outsource to, there's usually a language (or at least considerable accent) barrier, cultural differences (Based on Reddit and HN, Europe for example generally finds the bulk of what Americans experience at work to be absolutely unacceptable, things like a 40+ hour work week with a half hour unpaid lunch, being expected to be actively working all 40+ hours) the tax implications in both countries, data laws might be different in the second country which could become a royal pain, etc.

And if you do lose your job to outsourcing to increase company profits, did you really want to be working there anyway?

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