Live data from Hacker News

Mercedes-Benz says Level 3 self-driving option ready to roll

thedetroitbureau.com

151–160 of 410 posts

Re: Mercedes-Benz says Level 3 self-driving option ready to roll

#151
post #129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

http://inaneexplained.blogspot.com/2011/03/fight-club-car-re... TL;DR; If there's a defect that kills or maims people, car manufacturers compute if it's cheaper to recall or just deal with the lawsuits. And this happens regularly: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unsafe_at_Any_Speed

There's always a tradeoff between cost and safety, how else would you imagine this to work?

[deleted]

Re: Mercedes-Benz says Level 3 self-driving option ready to roll

#152
post #129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

http://inaneexplained.blogspot.com/2011/03/fight-club-car-re... TL;DR; If there's a defect that kills or maims people, car manufacturers compute if it's cheaper to recall or just deal with the lawsuits. And this happens regularly: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unsafe_at_Any_Speed

There's always a tradeoff between cost and safety, how else would you imagine this to work?

Maybe cars with known technical/mechanical defects that will result in death could be recalled even in cases where it eats a bit more into the profits of the auto manufacturer than it would if they just paid settlements to the families who lost loved ones. That seems like a pretty good way to imagine this to work.

Re: Mercedes-Benz says Level 3 self-driving option ready to roll

#153
post #76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But haven't we all seen Fight Club? It isn't a question a confidence, it is a question of financial math. This decision tells us nothing about the safety of the Mercedes system compared to its competitors. All it tells us is that adding these limitations to ensure the system is only used in the safest possible scenarios makes taking over liability more reasonable. That isn't surprising. Their competitors' systems are…

It’s both, right? The competitors may very well be just as safe in those conditions, but we wouldn’t know based on their liability stance; the Fight Club equation simply doesn’t apply. With Mercedes, the Fight Club equation gives something like a mathematical guarantee of their estimated confidence of the safety of the system. There are no mathematical guarantees from the competitors.

>It’s both, right? The competitors may very well be just as safe in those conditions, but we wouldn’t know based on their liability stance; the Fight Club equation simply doesn’t apply.

I was referencing Fight Club as an example of an auto manufacturer making a life and death decision based off their financial incentives and not the best interest of the customer. The decision to take on liability is about money, not confidence in safety.

>With Mercedes, the Fight Club equation gives something like a mathematical guarantee of their estimated confidence of the safety of the system. There are no mathematical guarantees from the competitors.

You also have to factor in the marketing aspects. I'll reference another movie here in Tommy Boy[1]. Mercedes knows a move like this is attractive to consumers. People will look at it and think it means the system is safer. This decision will sell cars. But a guarantee doesn't tell you anything about the quality of the product. As Chris Farley's character says, you can "take a dump in a box and mark it guaranteed".

Maybe the system is truly dangerous and taking on this liability would be a losing proposition alone, yet adding in these additional sales from the marketing of this liability coverage yields a net positive for the decision. Or maybe the system truly is incredibly safe. There is no way for us to know. I am simply pointing out that this decision about liability is largely meaningless when judging safety because safety is only one of numerous criteria used to make the decision.

[1] - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mEB7WbTTlu4&t=49s

Re: Mercedes-Benz says Level 3 self-driving option ready to roll

#154
post #129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

http://inaneexplained.blogspot.com/2011/03/fight-club-car-re... TL;DR; If there's a defect that kills or maims people, car manufacturers compute if it's cheaper to recall or just deal with the lawsuits. And this happens regularly: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unsafe_at_Any_Speed

There's always a tradeoff between cost and safety, how else would you imagine this to work?

The proposed alternative, I think, is that the car company values a customer's life at more than the expected cost of settling.

The cost of settling is supposed to approximate the value of a human life, but it sounds pretty bad to say "yeah, we knew this defect would cost $50MM to fix, but we estimated only 5 people would die, and each person's life is worth less than $10MM because the settlement is only like $400k per life".

The proposed alternative is that the car company has to say "We calculated this defect will probably kill 5 people, so we will spend any amount of money to fix it, up to and including us having no profit"

Re: Mercedes-Benz says Level 3 self-driving option ready to roll

#155

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Breadth of operating conditions is a trade off with reliability of operation. It’s possible to do a lot of things okay, or a couple things perfectly, but not yet possible to do a lot of things perfectly. When you remove the driver from the equation, the requirement for reliability goes up. There’s going to come a day when Tesla is forced to make difficult decisions about their “FSD” system. They’re either going to be…

The big risk that Waymo/Mercedes is taking with this approach is that they do not know what blocking issues they will run into when adding new functionality to these systems. What if driving in rain or snow is incompatible with their architecture and they have to do a major rewrite to expand into that functionality? With the Tesla Approach they already know where the system fails and where the system isn't making any…

Yeah and they certainly have a lot of data because of their approach. I just wonder how (or if) they’ll make the shift to level 3 without angering customers. Or, if they’ll choose to stay at level 2 so they can have more features.

Re: Mercedes-Benz says Level 3 self-driving option ready to roll

#156
post #129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

http://inaneexplained.blogspot.com/2011/03/fight-club-car-re... TL;DR; If there's a defect that kills or maims people, car manufacturers compute if it's cheaper to recall or just deal with the lawsuits. And this happens regularly: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unsafe_at_Any_Speed

There's always a tradeoff between cost and safety, how else would you imagine this to work?

I imagine that they'd ddmit that the car as designed is bad and fix or replace the bad cars. Leaving cars on the road that have a design flaw that randomly kills people, because it's cheaper to pay off dead people's families is reprehensible.

Re: Mercedes-Benz says Level 3 self-driving option ready to roll

#157

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're making a pretty big leap there from "our experimental self-driving mode only works inside the geofence" to "the government won't let you drive where you want".

Quoted post unavailable.

You're saving fake quotes? If that's your hobby go for it I guess. You don't need to tell us though.

Re: Mercedes-Benz says Level 3 self-driving option ready to roll

#158
post #125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The point they're making is that this is coming and the groundwork is already being laid, both legally and technologically.

Wondering how would they prevent the faraday cage solution? I guess the OEM could disable the car if it cant phone home but surely that would lead to accidents e.g. blocking the modem while driving.

Probably just say the car won't start if it hasn't phoned home in a certain amount of time. Attempt to phone on start-up, shutdown if it can't. You don't have to rug-pull while the car is active.

I could see this being a "feature" of leased vehicles for example since you don't own it.

Tesla's should be fully functional currently, it's the self-driving that's a subscription.

Re: Mercedes-Benz says Level 3 self-driving option ready to roll

#159
post #146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can a driver wake up, be calm, get spatial understanding, do bayesian physics predictions and decide the corrective maneuver in 10 seconds?

That's plenty of time. Find a clock and watch the second hand move for ten seconds. It's a long time.

[deleted]

Re: Mercedes-Benz says Level 3 self-driving option ready to roll

#160
This is real progress.

Ad video.[1]

Still very limited. Won't work at night. Has a LIDAR, but it's in the front grille, which only gives it enough of a view for anti-collision.

We should be seeing review videos soon.

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Ue7ISC3eHQ

Post reply on HN