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Oh, 2022

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Re: Oh, 2022

#301

Post by tyrfing »

AnotherGoodName wrote: post #200
walrus01 wrote: post #12

Regarding spacex in this, my starlink terminal recently hit a milestone of 0.00% ICMP loss to terrestrial ISP things in the pacific northwest. Averaged over 5, 6 hour periods. 20 icmp pings every 60s, basically a default smokeping install set to once a minute. Previously it was running somewhere around 0.15% to 0.60% which was still totally usable... if you put a similar test setup on a noisy/oversubscribed coaxial c…

I'll go as far as to say that Starlink is now so good i honestly believe it's going to change the other industries and not just its own. As an example I've been looking at properties outside of suburbia since testing a friends Starlink terminal. I know i can get proper broadband on par with cable anywhere. It's changed my personal long term future plans. I think it's going to change a lot of things.

This shift is already happening, look at property values over the last 1-2 years.

My guess is that enough rich people moving into the middle of nowhere will cause the government to pay for terrestrial solutions ("incentivize") within the next 10 or so years.

Re: Oh, 2022

#302

Post by archsurface »

nsonha wrote: post #213

posts like this are the worst for meaningful discussion. Imagine a person comes at you and dump all sort of thoughts about everything under the sun in one go, most of the time mixing informed opinions with those on fields they have no expertise in. Who are you, the president? An activist with no agenda (all of them)? A generic "scientist"? A wise person? I would run from that as quickly as I can. I wouldn't assume a…

I found it all quite shallow and pointless I'm afraid. The space commentary for example, I would expect you can find that information in a BBC or CNN article.

Re: Oh, 2022

#303

Post by LeoPanthera »

tschwimmer wrote: post #284
AnotherGoodName wrote: post #200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'll go as far as to say that Starlink is now so good i honestly believe it's going to change the other industries and not just its own. As an example I've been looking at properties outside of suburbia since testing a friends Starlink terminal. I know i can get proper broadband on par with cable anywhere. It's changed my personal long term future plans. I think it's going to change a lot of things.

What are the chances of Starlink getting worse as adoption grows and available bandwidth gets saturated?

You're only competing with your neighbors, since different regions connect to different ground stations. If you live in a rural location it's unlikely the user density will ever be high enough to cause a problem.

If you live in a dense metro area it will probably fill up very quickly - but then again Starlink is not really designed for those locations, which probably already have good connectivity.

Re: Oh, 2022

#304

Post by LeoPanthera »

runarberg wrote: post #262
AnotherGoodName wrote: post #200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'll go as far as to say that Starlink is now so good i honestly believe it's going to change the other industries and not just its own. As an example I've been looking at properties outside of suburbia since testing a friends Starlink terminal. I know i can get proper broadband on par with cable anywhere. It's changed my personal long term future plans. I think it's going to change a lot of things.

Question: How is starlink going to be a game changer in ways publicly funded infrastructure (either traditional cables or cables + 5G towers) aren’t? Your anecdote doesn’t really cover “game changer” since land outside of suburbia is pretty either scarce, big and expensive, underdeveloped, etc. and not many people want to live there (and I doubt fast broadband is the only thing holding people back). I honestly don’t…

> How is starlink going to be a game changer in ways publicly funded infrastructure (either traditional cables or cables + 5G towers) aren’t?

Starlink exists.

Re: Oh, 2022

#305

Post by xvilka »

jcoq wrote: post #285

Long covid is definitely a scary prospect, but I think it's interesting that people also complain about long-term flu symptoms. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-58726775

Influenza is widely underappreciated and causes many deaths, life-long traumas too.

Re: Oh, 2022

#306

Post by samplatt »

postmeta wrote: post #212
j0057 wrote: post #61

> low-lying coastal nations like Bangladesh And lots of other places. About 1 billion people live along coastlines at 20 meters or less above sea level, and 200 million at 5 meters or less. I live in a wealthy country but well within the 5 meters range and am already having to think about whether it wouldn't be more prudent to sell my house today, now that it's still worth something, and emigrate to somewhere with a…

what model predicts 5m rise in 100 years?

It's not (necessarily) about sea-level rise drowning us out.

It's about proximity to the sea-level being an indicator of severe damage done to property and infrastructure done by sea-level-rise and other climate-change factors like increased storm severity and frequency, increased dilapidation speed from salt and extreme temperature changes, etc. Not to mention the increased cost of living due to the above even if damage to life and property is minimal.

Re: Oh, 2022

#307

Post by JamisonM »

ceejayoz wrote: post #111
JamisonM wrote: post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It is nonsensical but not because of the way the viruses evolved - if SARS1 or MERS had been capable of causing a genuine pandemic with their fatality rate then the response would have been different, so it wouldn't have been a mass extinction event! With SARS1 we actually managed to make a vaccine - we just didn't end up needing it.

> if SARS1 or MERS had been capable of causing a genuine pandemic with their fatality rate then the response would have been different, so it wouldn't have been a mass extinction event! That depends quite a bit on how rapidly it spreads. If COVID had started with Omicron's level of infectiousness, it'd have been a dramatically more deadly pandemic.

Agreed, but then the response to its infectiousness would have been different as well! And even Omicron wouldn't rise to anything close to an extinction event, it is like the opposite of MERS, way better at transmission, relatively bad at killing.

If the first wave of SARS-Cov-2 was Omicron we'd have seen a worse 1st wave on net, but a far higher survival rate, more population immunity pre-vaccine.. and part of me thinks that the response would have been better, the original SARS-Cov-2 hit a bit of a sweet-spot in terms of political accountability with respect to how slowly it moved across the world and the gradual build up of hospital crisis in most places (1st wave hot-spots excepted of course).

Re: Oh, 2022

#308

Post by ensan »

“each time you roll 1d6 and if you come up with a 1 you get organ damage, cognitive impairment, and chronic fatigue lasting for years”

So he’s claiming long COVID (what ever its definition) has 16.7% chance of organ damage etc.

Except that’s not supported by the data at all.

Re: Oh, 2022

#309

Post by pjbeam »

ensan wrote: post #308

“each time you roll 1d6 and if you come up with a 1 you get organ damage, cognitive impairment, and chronic fatigue lasting for years” So he’s claiming long COVID (what ever its definition) has 16.7% chance of organ damage etc. Except that’s not supported by the data at all.

I think you're reading that a bit too literally.

Re: Oh, 2022

#310

Post by rickosborne »

Teknoman117 wrote: post #290
walrus01 wrote: post #12

Regarding spacex in this, my starlink terminal recently hit a milestone of 0.00% ICMP loss to terrestrial ISP things in the pacific northwest. Averaged over 5, 6 hour periods. 20 icmp pings every 60s, basically a default smokeping install set to once a minute. Previously it was running somewhere around 0.15% to 0.60% which was still totally usable... if you put a similar test setup on a noisy/oversubscribed coaxial c…

That's awesome! On Starlink in Mendocino county (CA) (in the woods), I'm still dropping out for a few seconds every couple of minutes. Fine for calls, Netflix, and browsing, but most video games will boot me whenever they happen. Some streaming services seem to buffer far less than others. Disney+ seems to stop playing the moment it can't phone home. Admittedly, most of my trouble is probably caused by the 70 meter c…

Hello from Philo!

We were seeing drops of a few minutes each day, but as of December we've gone days without even the slightest interruption. We had to really work to get Dishy to not have any obstructions, but since then it's been great:

https://pics.rickosborne.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2022/01...

We also have Ukiah Wireless, point to point microwave, as a backup. I use it for my work uplink as it has more stable upload bandwidth than Starlink. And when we had those really bad storms over the last few weeks, Starlink definitely struggled more than microwave.

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