[deleted]
Oh, 2022
11–20 of 557 posts
Re: Oh, 2022
#12Regarding spacex in this, my starlink terminal recently hit a milestone of 0.00% ICMP loss to terrestrial ISP things in the pacific northwest. Averaged over 5, 6 hour periods. 20 icmp pings every 60s, basically a default smokeping install set to once a minute.
Previously it was running somewhere around 0.15% to 0.60% which was still totally usable... if you put a similar test setup on a noisy/oversubscribed coaxial cablemodem DOCSIS3 segment in a randomly chosen house in a suburb somewhere, you might also see an average of 0.50% loss in many cities.
For anyone who has seen packet loss, jitter and transfer quotas on deeply oversubscribed consumer geostationary services, this is amazing.
The next big thing will be to see if they can really get satellite-to-satellite laser links working so that starlink service area and coverage is not limited by having multiple moving LEO satellites in line of sight of both the CPE and a regional spacex earth station at the same time. for instance if people wanted to put a working starlink terminal somewhere really difficult to reach like socotra, yemen.
Re: Oh, 2022
#13Charlie Stross is a hard science fiction author, I believe his works (like Accelerado) have been quite influential and inspiring for many hn users. I believe it could be interesting to discuss his (pessimistic) take on this year.
He's also a HN user: https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=cstross
He'll block you on twitter for politely quibbling with his presentation of facts.
Re: Oh, 2022
#14Regarding spacex in this, my starlink terminal recently hit a milestone of 0.00% ICMP loss to terrestrial ISP things in the pacific northwest. Averaged over 5, 6 hour periods. 20 icmp pings every 60s, basically a default smokeping install set to once a minute. Previously it was running somewhere around 0.15% to 0.60% which was still totally usable... if you put a similar test setup on a noisy/oversubscribed coaxial c…
Do you know if this based on some technical aspect, or simply that has Space X not yet to saturated their network capacity?
Re: Oh, 2022
#15Charlie Stross is a hard science fiction author, I believe his works (like Accelerado) have been quite influential and inspiring for many hn users. I believe it could be interesting to discuss his (pessimistic) take on this year.
programmer in a former life
Re: Oh, 2022
#16Asking because I have no idea - Will other mRNA vaccines have short-lived efficacy like the covid one does? Will you need an AIDS vaccine booster every six months?
Re: Oh, 2022
#17Regarding spacex in this, my starlink terminal recently hit a milestone of 0.00% ICMP loss to terrestrial ISP things in the pacific northwest. Averaged over 5, 6 hour periods. 20 icmp pings every 60s, basically a default smokeping install set to once a minute. Previously it was running somewhere around 0.15% to 0.60% which was still totally usable... if you put a similar test setup on a noisy/oversubscribed coaxial c…
Do you know if this based on some technical aspect, or simply that has Space X not yet to saturated their network capacity?
there was a 1-hour full outage at 0200 immediately preceding it. without inside info into what they're doing, I believe it's a combination of new cpe terminal firmware, satellite firmware/software loads, and more of the recently launched satellites being put into use at their intended orbits, so there's greater simultaneous satellite coverage over my area now.
Re: Oh, 2022
#18> Quite possibly the Antarctic ice shelves will be destablized decades ahead of schedule, leading to gradual but inexorable sea levels rising around the world. This may paradoxically trigger an economic boom in construction this is known as the broken window fallacy
comparatively "rich" countries might have a boom in seawall construction and coastal related construction, but I'm much less optimistic about places like Bangladesh.
Re: Oh, 2022
#19Should be be worried that the author of Accelerando complains about things going too fast?
Future is complex, and not only "good" developments happens and start changing everything faster than ever before, bad ones does too. And we aren't rational enough to avoid the bad ones.
Anyway, I'm more worried about the consequences of climate change that are not the slow rise of the global sea level than about COVID. That is a general area where things are happening faster than predicted, and where we act slower than predicted.
Re: Oh, 2022
#20> Quite possibly the Antarctic ice shelves will be destablized decades ahead of schedule, leading to gradual but inexorable sea levels rising around the world. This may paradoxically trigger an economic boom in construction this is known as the broken window fallacy
I don't think it is at all. It falls under the 'that which is seen' in Bastiat's original parable. > I grant it; I have not a word to say against it; you reason justly. The glazier comes, performs his task, receives his six francs, rubs his hands, and, in his heart, blesses the careless child. All this is that which is seen. What Stross does not say is that because rising sea levels are good for the construction indu…
Ok granted, yes. When I read it I thought he meant that an economic boom will result from all the new construction, but I hope you are right that he merely meant that a lot of construction will occur, to the benefit of the construction industry.