81–90 of 427 posts
If lifespans increases then the population will still grow for some time. And it's increased steadily for the past 70 years.
I hope there is more context with that statement, because it sounds downright evil.
Isn't this going to create another problem. Where the country gets old before it gets rich?
With accelerating automation, most people are going to have to depend on a much smaller set of people/industries. A shrinking population is not bad given we make plans for the future.
I wish the US had some of the options for male sterilization/contraception that are available in India. I've asked my doctor for years about some of the options available in other countries and am always given a blank stare of ignorance.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Average lifespan has increased because of changes on the low end. Fewer people are dying young. There has been very little movement on the upper end of lifespan. The current trend of improvement has a natural wall at about 100-110 average lifespan. Having said that, I suspect that once we crack aging, we may blow past the current limit and see a relativly sudden jump in lifespan
Cancer therapies might result in significant gains. We already see CAR T to be very effective. Hopefully we’ll finally crack Alzheimer’s and the likes as well.
Global population will basically top out at 9-10bn. I look forward to the problems we will face then, and the apocalyptic narratives the media will invent about this new problem. Here's my shot at a few: - Even with better quality of life its going to be hard to make people who are over 70 work productively. But without children less and less people will need to take care of this large old age group. And they will ne…
Isn't this going to create another problem. Where the country gets old before it gets rich?
They didn’t mention the last two years as possibly contributing to less childbirth. There could be counteracting effects there, stuck together with nothing to do, vs nobody to meet and nothing to do - but it at least deserves a mention. This 2019-2021 drop could bounce right back up if people chose to delay childbirth.
I know more Indian couples who has only 1 child vs 3. In my family (my generation), not a single couple has more than 2 child. My family's replacement rate is below 2. From my dads side, we are 12 cousins. We only have 18 kids. My village in India has roughly 440 people. Not a single couple that got married in last 20 years has more than 2 kids. Before Covid, we had a middle school reunion. Every single one of us had…
This is not to say your anecdotes are wrong but there exist different Indias and some of them have not seen the modern light.
Global population will basically top out at 9-10bn. I look forward to the problems we will face then, and the apocalyptic narratives the media will invent about this new problem. Here's my shot at a few: - Even with better quality of life its going to be hard to make people who are over 70 work productively. But without children less and less people will need to take care of this large old age group. And they will ne…
The "population bomb" is the invention of eugenicists trying remake themselves into demographers in a bid to stay relevant. The very same people who funded "sterilisation vans" in Asia were rooting for abortion bans in the West, and promoting "traditional family," in other words plain, old HITLERITES.
You've made a similar comment twice in the same thread now. You seem to think overpopulation is a myth.