Epidemics Plugin for the UG4 software
41–50 of 53 posts
Re: Epidemics Plugin for the UG4 software
#42Living in Germany I have to say that no one predicted anything remotely correct regarding Corona. It is mostly anxiety and panic driven and short sighted and working against people not with the people. Corona brings live and death questions to the doors of normal people and also plays havoc with our political parties. It is embarrasing to observe to watch them for the most part. Seems for some of them the first probl…
I actually never expected that somehow my home country would be able to manage better at decisions, instead of the yes/no/but-elections-are-coming that we had here.
Re: Epidemics Plugin for the UG4 software
#43Earlier quoted context omitted.
> no one predicted anything remotely correct regarding Corona. That is simply not true. The RKI (Germany's main institute for disease control and prevention) almost exactly predicted the current Covid numbers back in July [1]. The top left of the picture on page 7 shows the prediction under the assumption that 65% of Germans get vaccinated; currently 68% of Germans are vaccinated. [1]: https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/I…
I fail to see how their prediction was "almost exactly correct." The prediction expected a bell curve peaking at the end of December, at around 400 7d incidence, assuming ~65% vaccinated. We are at then end of november, ~68% vaccinated, and the 7d incidence is already above 400, and still rising. We can only hope that they got the shape right, the timing slighly off and the peek not too off.
I personally think that for such a chaotic, human system, a prediction from six-months previous is pretty good if it's within a few weeks and probably less than an order of magnitude.
Re: Epidemics Plugin for the UG4 software
#44How can one model (or simulate) what one do not fully understood? Remember that simulation of covid from UK with all the pomp and bravado? Not even close to reality. By the way, all simulations have the same relationship to reality as cartoons. This is just philosophy 101.
On the contrary. When you fully understand something, there's no longer a need for a model.
Re: Epidemics Plugin for the UG4 software
#45Earlier quoted context omitted.
Thank you for making public money sponsored code public. If you don't mind why was the software written in C++?
Maybe they did not have a useless idiot sitting around asking to rewrite shit in Rust.
If you wouldn't mind reviewing https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and taking the intended spirit of the site more to heart, we'd be grateful.
Re: Epidemics Plugin for the UG4 software
#46Earlier quoted context omitted.
Thank you for making public money sponsored code public. If you don't mind why was the software written in C++?
The code was written in C++ because of performance considerations of the ODE solvers.
Re: Epidemics Plugin for the UG4 software
#47Hello World! It appears the EpidemicsRunner software toolkit has been made open source. It was developed by a crossfunctional team of the German Goethe Center for Scientific Computation Universität and has apparently been used in real life settings as guidance tool. Images, description and source code can be found on https://github.com/devanshr/epidemics The EpidemicsRunner allows the user to run various algorithms u…
Re: Epidemics Plugin for the UG4 software
#48[flagged]
Commies are really, really rare in Germany. I find it personally doubtful that so many are involved in that research area. Also try to assume that they are acting in good faith.
a.k.a. please don't feed the trolls
Re: Epidemics Plugin for the UG4 software
#49find_package(Threads), people...
Re: Epidemics Plugin for the UG4 software
#50find_package(Threads), people...
What's the issue with that?