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Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

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261–270 of 273 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#261

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> - The "lie-flat" movement massively picks up. This is a serious symptom that is being swept under the rug. Efforts needs to be put in to better understand the issue and enforce steps to resolve it. I lack the basic training in trying to understand the issue - sociology, psychology or whatever is the relevant field. But I feel that "lie-flat" is just an acute variant of the general issue - "checking out of reality".…

> "checking out of reality". The lie-flat movement came about in response to the 996. Workers realized they were being worked to death in factories for little pay and opportunities to climb up society's ladder dried up. The older generation sees it as laziness but if you look at it from their perspective, its a natural conclusion. The only people that benefits from being overworked, little pay, and few opportunities…

Thanks for taking the time to write this down. It would be great if this was more widely understood but sadly it is not and won’t be - instead it will remain “a mystery”.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#263
post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

... which facilitates and end of free and fair elections in the US

Elections in the US have never been entirely free or fair.

Sure but the GOP are pushing extremely hard to ensure that it's even more not fair and not free.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#264
post #20

I think the fake 'inflation' we are seeing (which is really supply-side shock) will vanish, and reveal that we are in a huge deflationary environment. Remote work is here to stay. Rents go up as over-leveraged landlords will have to pay back rising interest rates (QE is tapering already now). Climate issues, real and not so real, will be used to achieve the control agenda of established power in the same way the pand…

But don't most people just get fixed rates?

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#265
post #64
post #20

I think the fake 'inflation' we are seeing (which is really supply-side shock) will vanish, and reveal that we are in a huge deflationary environment. Remote work is here to stay. Rents go up as over-leveraged landlords will have to pay back rising interest rates (QE is tapering already now). Climate issues, real and not so real, will be used to achieve the control agenda of established power in the same way the pand…

I'd argue that rents will fall as large volumes of "investment" housing starts to hit the market. The end of a decade (almost 2, actually) of quantitative easing and and resulting increase in interest rates is the death knell for asset value-derived investment. This includes any stock where the value is not correlated with revenue.

Don't most just get fixed rate mortgages?

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#266

Social media-reality and outside-your-window reality will finally diverge so much people will begin to notice.

They won't notice because the dopamine reinforcement of media-reality is too large. Media and marketing is just hacking the circuits of the brain that we all have.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#267
- Republicans will continue to make electoral gains because of a) Gerrymandering; b) the fact that Trump is no longer in the picture.

- Covid will be the same as it is right now; basically a non-factor for a lot of people except that certain spaces require them to wear masks in what feels like a very perfunctory manner.

- Stephen Breyer will die in the middle of the 2024 election campaign and, for whatever reason, the Senate will not be able to confirm someone to fill the vacancy in time...

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#268
post #20

I think the fake 'inflation' we are seeing (which is really supply-side shock) will vanish, and reveal that we are in a huge deflationary environment. Remote work is here to stay. Rents go up as over-leveraged landlords will have to pay back rising interest rates (QE is tapering already now). Climate issues, real and not so real, will be used to achieve the control agenda of established power in the same way the pand…

Rents going up (faster than usual) is nearly a per se inflationary environment for most Americans due to rent being a high % of income. You're arguing that would happen, but you'd label it a deflationary environment?

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#269
post #64
post #20

I think the fake 'inflation' we are seeing (which is really supply-side shock) will vanish, and reveal that we are in a huge deflationary environment. Remote work is here to stay. Rents go up as over-leveraged landlords will have to pay back rising interest rates (QE is tapering already now). Climate issues, real and not so real, will be used to achieve the control agenda of established power in the same way the pand…

I'd argue that rents will fall as large volumes of "investment" housing starts to hit the market. The end of a decade (almost 2, actually) of quantitative easing and and resulting increase in interest rates is the death knell for asset value-derived investment. This includes any stock where the value is not correlated with revenue.

> large volumes of "investment" housing starts to hit the market

Are people currently not living in this housing? How much un-lived in property is there? I don't see much, if any, in Houston. But house purchase prices here still doubled in the past few years.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#270

A physical in ear device which does real time translation of almost all major languages. A successful drone assassination of a world leader by terrorists. Massive explosion in international tourism at some point. Great leaps in biotechnology which has surprising implications. Increasing geopolitical tensions due to a flexing China and insecure America.

loving that ear device

Was it not google pixel buds? 4 years ago: https://support.google.com/googlepixelbuds/answer/7573100?hl...
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