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U.S. sets goal to drive down cost of removing CO2 from atmosphere

reuters.com

301–310 of 347 posts

Re: U.S. sets goal to drive down cost of removing CO2 from atmosphere

#301
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How do you expect humanity to get to pre-industrial revolution carbon dioxide levels without atmospheric extraction?

The US could halve their emissions and still emit at the same level of an industrialized country like France. A good starting point is to invest more in nuclear energy.

Did you reply to the wrong question? I'm not sure what your point is and how it relates to mine?

Re: U.S. sets goal to drive down cost of removing CO2 from atmosphere

#303

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This sounds great, but how likely is it that the US will manage to reach 100$/GT?

Early estimates were at $600/ton, getting under $100/ton doesn't sound completely implausible.

Indeed, but the "upper bound for net zero cost" is only a scenario.

Re: U.S. sets goal to drive down cost of removing CO2 from atmosphere

#304

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It is ironic as Bangladesh is going to be one of the countries hardest hit by rising sea levels and climate change.

Which is why it’s in their interest to develop economically as fast as possible so they can be best prepared for the future. The Netherlands handled a similar degree of their land being underwater using 19th century technology. But there is zero appetite for curbing growth. Bangladesh is a miracle of capitalism. When my dad was a kid 1 out of 3 children died by age 5. Now it’s 1 out of 40 and the life expectancy is 7…

Oh I certainly did not mean Bangladesh should not develop. Even outside of the things like child mortality, transitioning to less carbon-intensive economy will require certain level of economic development. In the longer term, ignoring climate change in politics will not work though, because (a) rising seas do not care (b) even if developed world introduces enough innovation to fight climate change, they will find a way for everyone else either to adopt it or pay for it.

Re: U.S. sets goal to drive down cost of removing CO2 from atmosphere

#305
post #239

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't see how we're going to use CO2 as energy again. It's not like the original hydrocarbons we dug up.

Right, which is why mostly the idea is to just bury the CO2. However, if you do want to make fuel from it, say for airliners, then it's totally possible, you just have to add hydrogen, and more energy than you'll get from burning the fuel. E.g. the Sabatier process to make methane.

But if you already have loads of hydrogen to play with you might as well just burn that, right?

Re: U.S. sets goal to drive down cost of removing CO2 from atmosphere

#306

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you look at a map of all airline flights there are many thousands of short-range flights. Replacing them all with trains would be interesting. Just the right-of-way property transactions would be daunting. Look at California as a lesson in how this can't be easily done. The other thing is, people move around. Airlines can change flights easily to map to demographic changes; that's a major strength of air travel. N…

It's much easier, IMHO, to switch over these short haul flights to electric aircraft than to High Speed Rail in the US. By the time even one major new HSR route will be finished, we'll have certified and be flying electric passenger aircraft with just as much speed and just as long of a route (500 miles) BUT with ability to go anywhere in the country by hopping.

I kinda doubt it will go that quickly. See how many problems Boeing had with their lithium batteries in the 787. And those were just auxiliary power. This will take a hundred times that many batteries with the scale bringing many engineering challenges. And then the totally different engines.. I think it'll take a long time to have a battery powered airliner built, in mass production and as reliable and safe as current airliners. There's a lot of stuff to be built from scratch without half a century of trial and error to learn from.

I think biofuels might be a better option for aviation until the tech has time to catch up.

Re: U.S. sets goal to drive down cost of removing CO2 from atmosphere

#307

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Right, which is why mostly the idea is to just bury the CO2. However, if you do want to make fuel from it, say for airliners, then it's totally possible, you just have to add hydrogen, and more energy than you'll get from burning the fuel. E.g. the Sabatier process to make methane.

But if you already have loads of hydrogen to play with you might as well just burn that, right?

Spend much time working with hydrogen as a fuel and you'll mostly be learning just how amazingly convenient sticking your hydrogens on to carbon chains is compared to the alternative.

Re: U.S. sets goal to drive down cost of removing CO2 from atmosphere

#308
This is a very bad idea. Photosynthesis and sea life suck CO2 out of the atmosphere very fast, which is why CO2 isn't as high as people used to forecast it would be.

Moreover, each glacial period ends with CO2 levels lower than at the end of the preceding one. The last one ended with CO2 levels not too far from starvation for photosynthesis. At the current rate of CO2 depletion we were headed for mass extinctions in just a few more glacial periods. Bringing CO2 up above 400ppm at the end of the current interglacial will extend life on Earth by a lot, possibly millions of years.

Re: U.S. sets goal to drive down cost of removing CO2 from atmosphere

#309
post #296

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It's probably still cheaper to avoid emitting the CO2 in the first place, but that does put an upper bound on the cost of reaching net zero. It seems hard to believe that removing CO2 from the atmosphere could ever be less expensive than not emitting it to begin with. You're working against thermodynamics. So the whole thing seems like a fraud. An excuse to keep emitting CO2 while claiming that you'll do something…

Sadly the amount of CO2 in our atmosphere even if we stopped polluting today. Will still bring about huge negative effects down the road. We need to decarbonize our society(listed first because it’s the first priority) AND remove CO2. Source & a great read: https://www.orbuch.com/carbon-removal/ If you want to learn about carbon dioxide removal check out AirMiners: https://bootup.airminers.org/ they have a useful sel…

We do, but right now we have to start somewhere. It'll take less energy and effort and production resources to reduce emissions than capture the same amount.

Once we get closer to zero emissions it makes more sense to think about capture IMO.

Edit: oh wait I think you are saying the same as you mention reduction is first priority, sorry.

Re: U.S. sets goal to drive down cost of removing CO2 from atmosphere

#310

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you look at a map of all airline flights there are many thousands of short-range flights. Replacing them all with trains would be interesting. Just the right-of-way property transactions would be daunting. Look at California as a lesson in how this can't be easily done. The other thing is, people move around. Airlines can change flights easily to map to demographic changes; that's a major strength of air travel. N…

It's much easier, IMHO, to switch over these short haul flights to electric aircraft than to High Speed Rail in the US. By the time even one major new HSR route will be finished, we'll have certified and be flying electric passenger aircraft with just as much speed and just as long of a route (500 miles) BUT with ability to go anywhere in the country by hopping.

I'd love for that to be true, but I am quite dubious. Flight technology tends to be very weight sensitive, and our battery densities are just nowhere close to the density that flight needs.

Current batteries have an energy density of 90-190 Wh/kg, depending on the specific chemistry. Jet fuel on the other hand has an energy density around 12,000 Wh/kg. Obviously some amount of that will be made back up with the relative light weight and high efficiency of electric motors, but that is a very step energy difference to overcome.

A quick bit of Googling says that turbofan engines are about 40% efficient, while triple phase electric motors are roughly 85% efficient. Given the 3,000 nautical mile range of a 737NG, some back of the envelope math says that an EV equivalent would have a range of about 100 miles at best[0]. Forget LAX -> SFO, this isn't even enough to get you from LA to Bakersfield. And even 100 is optimistic, given that the FAA requires that all planes have extra fuel for diversions, weather, holding, etc.

At this point, I suspect it might be easier to refine kerosene out of capture CO2 using excess renewable energy than it would be to make an EV 737 replacement.

0 - I'm obviously not accounting for weight and aerodynamic differences, which are beyond my capability to estimate, but I doubt that would make a significant difference. I'm also assuming that we're using Li-Ion Cobalt batteries, which have the highest density. The more common Phosphate chemistry makes these numbers even more bleak.

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